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Berger: Knicks still weighing pros and cons of matching Lin offer.
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nyk4ever
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7/16/2012  8:58 PM
great article crzy - leave it to berger to write an informative, unbiased and articulate article.

i think we can all agree - no matter where you stand on lin, is there are definitely pros and cons to the knicks matching or letting him walk.

"OMG - did we just go on a two-trade-wining-streak?" -SupremeCommander
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sidsanders
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7/16/2012  9:05 PM
Knicksfan wrote:
sidsanders wrote:
Knicksfan wrote:
crzymdups wrote:
Knicksfan wrote:
Gymkata wrote:Would matching Lin affect Shumpert's signing down the road? Could we get poison-pilled again?

Yes. We may even have to trade him in order to trade a big contract to make room for Lin's poison pill. But who cares? The future of New York's humanity rests on the Knicks matching Lin.

Shumpert is on a real rookie deal which is much more favorable for the team that drafted him. They'll have to make a decision on Shump after two more years aka the same summer they'll have to try to move one or two of the massive expiring deals of Melo, Amar'e, Tyson or... (possibly Lin).

My whole thing is that the Knicks will be above the luxury tax threshold with or without signing Lin. Signing Lin gives them a young asset and much more flexibility that summer.

And if Lin turns into a star, something I think is a very real possibility, he will be worth his contract and then some.

The only downside to matching Lin is that in two years this team will have some big decisions to make. Signing him means this team has a two year window to do some damage. With Kidd and Camby on board as key pieces, a two year window is about all they have anyway.

Letting Lin walk means they STILL have no way to add more pieces and they have a core with much less potential.

To me, signing Lin is a no-brainer. And I won't quit the team because I'm in love with Lin. I will be extremely frustrated that the best young player on this team was given away because the whole contract negotiation was poorly handled - actually it wasn't even handled, the Knicks let some other team do the negotiation. You can't do that and then be pissed about the result. Knicks gambled Lin wouldn't get a great offer and he did. They HAVE to match it or this whole "All In" charade is just that and the team has a dramatically lower ceiling.

BUT, you roll out a line up of:

Lin / Felton
Kidd / JR / (Shump)
Melo / Novak
Amar'e / Kurt
Tyson / Camby

and you've got something potentially special that might just be able to make some noise. But have no illusions - Lin is a MAJOR piece of this puzzle. To let him walk for nothing is insane.

Good post but no need to preach the choir, as I also hope/expect the Knicks match. But I think with so much hysteria over losing Lin, people are not understanding how tough the Knicks situation will be in that third year.

First, we have to understant it isn't simply paying the Tax, but understanding exactly how limited will the team be because of being SO over the Tax limit. We haven't read a true report yet on the consequences of that, but just the fact that NY is considering not matching and exploring scenarios where they have to make moves to improve their cap situation tells you this isn't just Dolan being petty.

Second, we have to understand that it isn't as simple as saying "don't worry, if the Knicks have to make a move, they'll do it year three." If we hate some of the trades the Knicls do with no pressure, just imagine a desperate NY team trying to trade Amare, Melo, Chandler or even Lin because of this. If Lin becomes a superstar, you keep him. If not, he is untradeable unless you send him as an expiring contract, but again, how limited we will be of making moves in that third year? Real qiestion.

I trully think this is the sotuation we are: NY expected one offer to Lin and made other moves around it. Once it changed, they jumped the gun on the Felton trade in case of emergency. Now they must be studying the new CBA and projecting their situation in year 3. If they see they will benefit from Lin whilw being able to make moves and avoid Tax limitations, they will match.

I don't think it is a personal thing like we have been made to believe by the crap media like ESPN and the crappy NY media.

it seems odd the knicks would not be prepared for a team making a tough offer. if it isnt official, they should know better than to believe it or worse, act on that.

Lin has verbally agreed to one offer. Knicks then made moves with that in mind. Then the offer changed.

unless its official they should not act/start making decisions based on that.

GO TEAM VENTURE!!!!!
Knicksfan
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7/16/2012  9:10 PM
sidsanders wrote:
Knicksfan wrote:
sidsanders wrote:
Knicksfan wrote:
crzymdups wrote:
Knicksfan wrote:
Gymkata wrote:Would matching Lin affect Shumpert's signing down the road? Could we get poison-pilled again?

Yes. We may even have to trade him in order to trade a big contract to make room for Lin's poison pill. But who cares? The future of New York's humanity rests on the Knicks matching Lin.

Shumpert is on a real rookie deal which is much more favorable for the team that drafted him. They'll have to make a decision on Shump after two more years aka the same summer they'll have to try to move one or two of the massive expiring deals of Melo, Amar'e, Tyson or... (possibly Lin).

My whole thing is that the Knicks will be above the luxury tax threshold with or without signing Lin. Signing Lin gives them a young asset and much more flexibility that summer.

And if Lin turns into a star, something I think is a very real possibility, he will be worth his contract and then some.

The only downside to matching Lin is that in two years this team will have some big decisions to make. Signing him means this team has a two year window to do some damage. With Kidd and Camby on board as key pieces, a two year window is about all they have anyway.

Letting Lin walk means they STILL have no way to add more pieces and they have a core with much less potential.

To me, signing Lin is a no-brainer. And I won't quit the team because I'm in love with Lin. I will be extremely frustrated that the best young player on this team was given away because the whole contract negotiation was poorly handled - actually it wasn't even handled, the Knicks let some other team do the negotiation. You can't do that and then be pissed about the result. Knicks gambled Lin wouldn't get a great offer and he did. They HAVE to match it or this whole "All In" charade is just that and the team has a dramatically lower ceiling.

BUT, you roll out a line up of:

Lin / Felton
Kidd / JR / (Shump)
Melo / Novak
Amar'e / Kurt
Tyson / Camby

and you've got something potentially special that might just be able to make some noise. But have no illusions - Lin is a MAJOR piece of this puzzle. To let him walk for nothing is insane.

Good post but no need to preach the choir, as I also hope/expect the Knicks match. But I think with so much hysteria over losing Lin, people are not understanding how tough the Knicks situation will be in that third year.

First, we have to understant it isn't simply paying the Tax, but understanding exactly how limited will the team be because of being SO over the Tax limit. We haven't read a true report yet on the consequences of that, but just the fact that NY is considering not matching and exploring scenarios where they have to make moves to improve their cap situation tells you this isn't just Dolan being petty.

Second, we have to understand that it isn't as simple as saying "don't worry, if the Knicks have to make a move, they'll do it year three." If we hate some of the trades the Knicls do with no pressure, just imagine a desperate NY team trying to trade Amare, Melo, Chandler or even Lin because of this. If Lin becomes a superstar, you keep him. If not, he is untradeable unless you send him as an expiring contract, but again, how limited we will be of making moves in that third year? Real qiestion.

I trully think this is the sotuation we are: NY expected one offer to Lin and made other moves around it. Once it changed, they jumped the gun on the Felton trade in case of emergency. Now they must be studying the new CBA and projecting their situation in year 3. If they see they will benefit from Lin whilw being able to make moves and avoid Tax limitations, they will match.

I don't think it is a personal thing like we have been made to believe by the crap media like ESPN and the crappy NY media.

it seems odd the knicks would not be prepared for a team making a tough offer. if it isnt official, they should know better than to believe it or worse, act on that.

Lin has verbally agreed to one offer. Knicks then made moves with that in mind. Then the offer changed.

unless its official they should not act/start making decisions based on that.

So easy to say that if you only think of Lin, but the Knicks actually have a whole team to improve amd many of their targeted players were about to join other teams. This isn't the simple situation everyone wants to believe it is.

Knicks_Fan
y2zipper
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7/16/2012  9:22 PM
sidsanders wrote:question for folks: arent the reports of the tax bill due in 3 years possibly misleading? that is, the salary cap 3 years from now is not set, nor is the tax level.

if the knicks keep most of the contracts that are 3+ years and longer, and if they add some draft picks, fill out the roster, and if the cap/tax level project out to the same value it is now, perhaps the calculations are legit.

if something changes,: get rid of some larger contracts, sal cap/tax level could go up or down, then these projections are not accurate. given certain scenarios it could be worse or not that much of a concern... just seems like poor reporting to me, lots of assumptions based on what might be 3 years from now.

No. The tax rate isn't going down and the salary cap isn't going up. In fact, the tax is only going to cost the Knicks more. I want to see Lin come back, but it is a huge pill.

sidsanders
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7/16/2012  9:26 PM
y2zipper wrote:
sidsanders wrote:question for folks: arent the reports of the tax bill due in 3 years possibly misleading? that is, the salary cap 3 years from now is not set, nor is the tax level.

if the knicks keep most of the contracts that are 3+ years and longer, and if they add some draft picks, fill out the roster, and if the cap/tax level project out to the same value it is now, perhaps the calculations are legit.

if something changes,: get rid of some larger contracts, sal cap/tax level could go up or down, then these projections are not accurate. given certain scenarios it could be worse or not that much of a concern... just seems like poor reporting to me, lots of assumptions based on what might be 3 years from now.

No. The tax rate isn't going down and the salary cap isn't going up. In fact, the tax is only going to cost the Knicks more. I want to see Lin come back, but it is a huge pill.

it will cost more if they make zero major roster changes and the cap/level does not change. they will be paying regardless of lin in that case.

GO TEAM VENTURE!!!!!
Gymkata
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7/16/2012  9:28 PM
On the bright side, if Lin walks, we're primed for the next big thing to replace Linsanity--going Pab-loco!
"I can not say all the secrets."
crzymdups
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7/16/2012  9:36 PM
sidsanders wrote:
Knicksfan wrote:
sidsanders wrote:
Knicksfan wrote:
crzymdups wrote:
Knicksfan wrote:
Gymkata wrote:Would matching Lin affect Shumpert's signing down the road? Could we get poison-pilled again?

Yes. We may even have to trade him in order to trade a big contract to make room for Lin's poison pill. But who cares? The future of New York's humanity rests on the Knicks matching Lin.

Shumpert is on a real rookie deal which is much more favorable for the team that drafted him. They'll have to make a decision on Shump after two more years aka the same summer they'll have to try to move one or two of the massive expiring deals of Melo, Amar'e, Tyson or... (possibly Lin).

My whole thing is that the Knicks will be above the luxury tax threshold with or without signing Lin. Signing Lin gives them a young asset and much more flexibility that summer.

And if Lin turns into a star, something I think is a very real possibility, he will be worth his contract and then some.

The only downside to matching Lin is that in two years this team will have some big decisions to make. Signing him means this team has a two year window to do some damage. With Kidd and Camby on board as key pieces, a two year window is about all they have anyway.

Letting Lin walk means they STILL have no way to add more pieces and they have a core with much less potential.

To me, signing Lin is a no-brainer. And I won't quit the team because I'm in love with Lin. I will be extremely frustrated that the best young player on this team was given away because the whole contract negotiation was poorly handled - actually it wasn't even handled, the Knicks let some other team do the negotiation. You can't do that and then be pissed about the result. Knicks gambled Lin wouldn't get a great offer and he did. They HAVE to match it or this whole "All In" charade is just that and the team has a dramatically lower ceiling.

BUT, you roll out a line up of:

Lin / Felton
Kidd / JR / (Shump)
Melo / Novak
Amar'e / Kurt
Tyson / Camby

and you've got something potentially special that might just be able to make some noise. But have no illusions - Lin is a MAJOR piece of this puzzle. To let him walk for nothing is insane.

Good post but no need to preach the choir, as I also hope/expect the Knicks match. But I think with so much hysteria over losing Lin, people are not understanding how tough the Knicks situation will be in that third year.

First, we have to understant it isn't simply paying the Tax, but understanding exactly how limited will the team be because of being SO over the Tax limit. We haven't read a true report yet on the consequences of that, but just the fact that NY is considering not matching and exploring scenarios where they have to make moves to improve their cap situation tells you this isn't just Dolan being petty.

Second, we have to understand that it isn't as simple as saying "don't worry, if the Knicks have to make a move, they'll do it year three." If we hate some of the trades the Knicls do with no pressure, just imagine a desperate NY team trying to trade Amare, Melo, Chandler or even Lin because of this. If Lin becomes a superstar, you keep him. If not, he is untradeable unless you send him as an expiring contract, but again, how limited we will be of making moves in that third year? Real qiestion.

I trully think this is the sotuation we are: NY expected one offer to Lin and made other moves around it. Once it changed, they jumped the gun on the Felton trade in case of emergency. Now they must be studying the new CBA and projecting their situation in year 3. If they see they will benefit from Lin whilw being able to make moves and avoid Tax limitations, they will match.

I don't think it is a personal thing like we have been made to believe by the crap media like ESPN and the crappy NY media.

it seems odd the knicks would not be prepared for a team making a tough offer. if it isnt official, they should know better than to believe it or worse, act on that.

Lin has verbally agreed to one offer. Knicks then made moves with that in mind. Then the offer changed.

unless its official they should not act/start making decisions based on that.

i agree. but there's no denying it was a bit of dirty pool by the rockets. i hope it comes back to bite them.

¿ △ ?
loweyecue
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7/16/2012  9:42 PM
y2zipper wrote:
sidsanders wrote:question for folks: arent the reports of the tax bill due in 3 years possibly misleading? that is, the salary cap 3 years from now is not set, nor is the tax level.

if the knicks keep most of the contracts that are 3+ years and longer, and if they add some draft picks, fill out the roster, and if the cap/tax level project out to the same value it is now, perhaps the calculations are legit.

if something changes,: get rid of some larger contracts, sal cap/tax level could go up or down, then these projections are not accurate. given certain scenarios it could be worse or not that much of a concern... just seems like poor reporting to me, lots of assumptions based on what might be 3 years from now.

No. The tax rate isn't going down and the salary cap isn't going up. In fact, the tax is only going to cost the Knicks more. I want to see Lin come back, but it is a huge pill.

Read the stretch option thread.

TKF on Melo ::....he is a punk, a jerk, a self absorbed out of shape, self aggrandizing, unprofessional, volume chucking coach killing playoff loser!!
CrushAlot
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7/16/2012  9:45 PM
Knicksfan wrote:
Gymkata wrote:Would matching Lin affect Shumpert's signing down the road? Could we get poison-pilled again?

Yes. We may even have to trade him in order to trade a big contract to make room for Lin's poison pill. But who cares? The future of New York's humanity rests on the Knicks matching Lin.

I am pretty sure anyone with a reasonable contract, possibly a big contract, and future picks will need to be shipped out before year 3 of lin's contract. As Berger said rival gms will not trade for Lin with the 15 mil third year. So yeah keeping Lin probably means shump eventually is moved.

I'm tired,I'm tired, I'm so tired right now......Kristaps Porzingis 1/3/18
DJMUSIC
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7/16/2012  9:46 PM
teams like Miami Heat
are not gonna let Jeremy Lin beat them

End of story unless Lin figures out the tougher foes in nba & how to beat them
mentally and physically

Turntable Musiclover & Mix-Master-ologist
gunsnewing
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7/16/2012  9:48 PM
Im more concerned with next yr than yr 3
misterearl
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7/16/2012  9:52 PM
Leverage

"It is impossible to put a price tag on the good feelings Linsanity generated last year for the Knicks and for the NBA coming back from a difficult lockout and litigation,'' he said. But he added that given the financial ramifications of the deal the Rockets offered - and the fact that the Knicks, not the league, must bear that burden - not matching the deal would show "great restraint."
- Robert Boland, an associate professor of sports management at NYU

The Knicks make their decision at 11:55P Tuesday night.

The Answer Man says we will keep Lin around.

Get Jason Kidd to a rehab center.

once a knick always a knick
Knicksfan
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7/16/2012  10:00 PM
gunsnewing wrote:Im more concerned with next yr than yr 3

Its the Knicks responsability to worry about all those years.

Knicks_Fan
crzymdups
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7/16/2012  10:03 PM
DJMUSIC wrote:teams like Miami Heat
are not gonna let Jeremy Lin beat them

End of story unless Lin figures out the tougher foes in nba & how to beat them
mentally and physically

he had one game against the heat. i'm guessing his second and third and fourth will be better. he's pretty smart. he was blitzed by two of the best players in the league wanting to put an end to linsanity. they were the nba champions for a reason. they're really good.

that said, lin figuring out how to get his against the heat is the best chance this team has of beating them. we've seen what melo ball looks like against the heat.

¿ △ ?
gunsnewing
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7/16/2012  10:04 PM
Since when have the knicks operated thinking 3yrs in advance? They operate on a year to year basis except during the walsh regime
blackisblack
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7/16/2012  10:05 PM    LAST EDITED: 7/16/2012  10:05 PM
DJMUSIC wrote:teams like Miami Heat
are not gonna let Jeremy Lin beat them

End of story unless Lin figures out the tougher foes in nba & how to beat them
mentally and physically

Miami Heat will not let anyone (not Lin) beat them. If we already know this, why are we still hoping for a championship? Do we think they will let Melo, Amare, Felton and Kidd beat them? LMAO!

ATrain
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7/16/2012  10:11 PM
AnubisADL wrote:If Lin stays the same media types will blame the Knicks for giving him the contract if he sucks.

Exactly. Good reporting my ass, it's never good reporting with the Knicks.

gunsnewing
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7/16/2012  10:19 PM    LAST EDITED: 7/16/2012  10:21 PM
Im looking forward to a lin/kidd backcourt and having a 2nd ball handler and floor leader out there to capitalize on melo and amare and tyson strengths and limit to's. If Woodson can just keep kidds minutes down
crzymdups
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7/16/2012  10:20 PM
gunsnewing wrote:Im looking forward to a lin/kidd backcourt and having a 2nd ball handler and floor leader out there to capitalize on melo and amare and tyson strengths

:fingers crossed:

¿ △ ?
mrKnickShot
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7/16/2012  10:20 PM
http://www.newsday.com/sports/basketball/knicks/financial-experts-disagree-about-whether-to-let-jeremy-lin-leave-1.3842047

Financial analysts are far more knowledgeable then dumb sports reporters.

Berger: Knicks still weighing pros and cons of matching Lin offer.

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