38 wins is a disaster. You have a 5 time all star bigman in his prime. You have a very good veteran PG. You have a couple of young up and coming players who can play and contribute right now. You have a lot of size and some very good role players as well. Its a young team but Felton/Amare gives you a veteran stabalizing presense, and both guys play very hard and very tough and play to win the game. This team is extremely big and athletic. Its got a lot of multi skilled players, guys who can handle, shoot, post, score, push, defend, etc. The only thing its a little light on is playmakers. After Felton there isnt much there and losing Lee and his high post passing will really hurt, but thats the only real weak spot.
I will certainly accept that wins might be hard to come by for some early stretches because its a young group and a they have not played together but I would EXPECT this to be a .500 team by the all star break at the very worst. After that we should be good enough to rattle off some nice streaks, like winning 10 of 12 or something like that. We are big enough and so long as Felton/Amare stay healthy smart enough to win games.
We dont have a SG, but Chandler/Douglas both bring good things there and we have shooters to spread the defense.
Barring an extended injury to Felton or Amare this is a 45 win team. We should beat up on the lower echelon teams plain and simple. We are too big, too skilled and too deep not to beat up on the losing teams of the league. Likewise we should get some wins against the upper echelon teams (certainly at home) as well.
I EXPECT to win 45 games and make the playoffs. If it takes some times for us to gell and figure things out fine, thats normal, but I also think its a pretty unselfish group who wants to win. No matter how good you look on paper we werent as good as Bos/Orl because they are established. Obviously Miami is going to win a ton of regular season games with that line up. No reason we cant go after the Hawks, Bulls, Bucks in the standings. Teams like Cle, NJ, Cha, Phili, Toronto, Pacers... we are simply better and should be winning a very high % against these guys. Thats how you pump up your record.
"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs