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O.T. War in the middle East...
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nykshaknbake
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8/11/2006  4:05 PM
I doubt Isreal would accept that if that's the final format.
Posted by simrud:

Well looks like UN is passing a resolution today.

And from it says online, as far as I found, it is a spectacular faliure. They are basically returning everything to the pre-war status. Not a word in the resolution about disarming Hizbollah. And the UN troops are going in under chapter 6, hence can't use force, unless directly assualted.

I know this makes Arabs happy, but how does this make the situation any better for the future?

AUTOADVERT
colorfl1
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8/11/2006  4:42 PM
Posted by nykshaknbake:

I doubt Isreal would accept that if that's the final format.
Posted by simrud:

Well looks like UN is passing a resolution today.

And from it says online, as far as I found, it is a spectacular faliure. They are basically returning everything to the pre-war status. Not a word in the resolution about disarming Hizbollah. And the UN troops are going in under chapter 6, hence can't use force, unless directly assualted.

I know this makes Arabs happy, but how does this make the situation any better for the future?

I would trust that Hezbollah needs to save face... Israel probably conceeded to not having a fighting buffer force on condition that Syria commits to reign in this non-sense. In this way, the Hezbollah get to tell the Arab world that they proved their power w/o resulting in an occupying army in Lebonon... while Israel gets assurances of immediate safety and an informal leash on Hezzbolah's hostility. This would all be negotiated through the back channels with Syria...

The more prudent question is what arrangement has been made for the captured Israeli servicemen. Israel cannot be seen as rewarding acts of terror or invite future abductions and just do another 400 for 2 deal - so I would be curious if they have been collecting Hezbollah members throughout the fighting to use for an eventual swap.
colorfl1
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8/11/2006  4:49 PM
Reutersgate strikes other news outlets

Sheera Claire Frenkel, THE JERUSALEM POST Aug. 11, 2006
At first everyone thought they were just blowing smoke, but the debunking of a Reuters photograph by a group of Web sites has launched a fiery online war in which bloggers have taken on the mainstream media.

Bloggers, or writers on web logs, were the first to reveal that a Reuters photograph depicting plumes of black smoke rising over Beirut was doctored to enhance smoke above the city. The Web site www.LittleGreenFootballs.com is credited with first revealing the scandal, which has been dubbed Reutersgate, but the affair has spread far wider than the Reuters News Agency and into several of the most esteemed media outlets.

More than a dozen accusations of staged or doctored photographs have made their way through various Web sites in the past several weeks. None has been treated by the news outlets as seriously as the original Reuters incident, which saw the photographer Adnin Hajj fired and over 900 of his photos removed from the Reuters wire list. But numerous other outlets - including the BBC, The New York Times and AP - have been forced to recall photos or change captions following inaccuracies pointed out in online forums.

The fact that the online community rather than fellow mainstream media has become a watchdog of accuracy has surprised many who originally derided blogs as being "devoid of accuracy."

"In a blog you don't have to be accurate to anyone but yourself and your readers," said Laya Millman from the Jewlicious.com blog. "There is a great deal of accountability because, if you get anything wrong, the readers will quickly, very quickly, point it out."

As was demonstrated in the case with the Reuters photograph, blogs come with their own teams of investigators: the thousands of readers who stream through the site. Within hours of Charles Johnson's posting on Little Green Footballs, readers of the Web site had gone to work uncovering an array of damning evidence against Hajj, the most serious of which - a second doctored photograph, an Israeli plane altered to make it look as though it was dropping a series of bombs - may have pushed Reuters to fire Hajj after initially announcing that the freelance photographer would be suspended. That photograph, which was discovered by blogger Rusty Shackleford of The Jawa Report, included an illustrated account of how the photos had been doctored.

Photographs whose veracity has been questioned by blogs in the past few weeks since Reutersgate began include:

Two pictures used by The Associated Press and Reuters, in which the same woman appeared to be crying over the destruction of her Beirut home. Distinguished by a red-checkered scarf and scar on her right cheek, the woman was pictured crying in front of two different locations two weeks apart.
Several photographs of a bombed bridge in Beirut which appear on Reuters and AFP with the different captions stating that the bridge had been bombed on July 18, July 24 and August 5. Bloggers claim that the striking image was photographed to look like several different bombings in order to make destruction in Beirut appear more severe.
In The New York Times photo essay "Attack on Tyre," a photograph of a man who appears dead is accompanied with the caption reading "bodies were still buried under the rubble." However, in a later photograph in the same series, the same man appears to be walking in the foreground of a photo. The Times issued a correction for the first photograph, stating that the man was injured.
Some claim that the online controversy over the photos has gotten out of hand, with many blogs now launching investigations and hurling accusations at a variety of news sources.

"These accusations can be very damning, and need to be handled with care and not thrown out by any angry blogger," said one anonymous poster on Little Green Footballs.

In the meantime, however, Little Green Footballs - along with many other online forums - has been flooded with investigations into mainstream media, with the entire army of its hundreds of thousands of readers eagerly at hand.
Rich
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8/11/2006  4:53 PM
Hezbollah cannot be permitted to have the ability to declare victory in any way, shape, or form.

We must crush them.
simrud
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8/11/2006  7:24 PM
Well Olmert accepted, and I think its total crap. Hizbollah got everything they wanted in the resolution. Good old UN strikes again. US sells out another ally. What else is new.

I'm going to laugh when these French toops that are supposed to come in will get blown up by the none-disamred Hizbollah and they wount even be able to do anything about it. That will serve the French right for riding on the Arab ****.
A glimmer of hope maybe?!?
colorfl1
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8/13/2006  2:09 PM
Israel has done, is doing and will do all it is able to do in order to effect the return home of the sons," Olmert told his cabinet at the outset of its weekly session on Sunday.

Israel Radio quoted Olmert as telling ministers he would name a senior official to deal with the issue and "a tremendous struggle is being waged to free them."

Haaretz said Israel would negotiate the release of the troops and that in exchange Israel would be ready to free several Lebanese prisoners and about 20 other Hizbollah men it has captured during its current offensive in Lebanon.
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8/14/2006  2:22 PM
Hizbullah inspires Hamas with war-fighting tactics vs Israel

Special to World Tribune.com

MIDDLE EAST NEWSLINE Monday, August 14, 2006
TEL AVIV — Hamas intends to adopt the Hizbullah model in the Palestinian war against Israel.

Officials said the Hamas-led Palestinian Authority would facilitate intensified missile attacks as well as infiltration of Israel. They said Hamas has been impressed by the Hizbullah war in Lebanon.



"The accent will be on better equipment and training," an official said. "We expect to see anti-tank missiles, roadside bombs and greater use of tunnels to infiltrate Israel."
Officials said Hamas has been smuggling a range of rockets into Israel. They said they included the Soviet-origin BM-21 Grad.

"They are smuggling Katyushas and Grad missiles into the Gaza Strip," Knesset member Avigdor Lieberman said. "The southern Lebanon scenario must be prevented from being repeated in southern Israel."

Lieberman, head of Israel's Yisrael Beiteinu Party, said neither the government nor the military has briefed the Knesset of Hamas war plans. He said websites found on the Internet contained more detailed information than that presented to parliamentary committees.

Over the last year, Hamas has developed missiles that could strike Ashkelon and beyond. Officials said Hamas's priority was to launch serial production of a Grad variant with a range of about 30 kilometers.
simrud
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8/14/2006  11:34 PM
Dude Gaza is no South Lebanon. It is not a rocky region. You can't hide big rockets in there. And Grad is EXPENSIVE, and is not even sold. Gaza is tiny, a flat surface. If they ever shoot something big and hurta lot of people, 30000 troops with 500 tanks will clean the area out in a few days. You will see hundreds of thousands of refuges, but if they actually do shoot rockets with Grad's level of destruction, it will be all out war, and no response will be considered unjustified.
A glimmer of hope maybe?!?
firefly
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8/15/2006  7:02 AM
http://switch3.castup.net/cunet/gm.asp?ai=214&ar=1050wmv&ak=null

This is absolutely brilliant! I recommend everyone here to watch this. Fantastic!
Some men see things as they are and ask why. I dream things that never were and ask why not?
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8/15/2006  9:50 AM
www.telegraph.co.uk

Israel humbled by arms from Iran
By Adrian Blomfield in Ghandouriyeh

(Filed: 15/08/2006)

Abandoned Hizbollah positions in Lebanon yesterday revealed conclusive evidence that Syria - and almost certainly Iran - provided the anti-tank missiles that have blunted the power of Israel's once invincible armour.

After one of the fiercest confrontations of the war, Israeli forces took the small town of Ghandouriyeh, east of the southern city of Tyre, on Sunday evening, hours before a ceasefire brokered by the United Nations took effect.


Israeli soldiers hold a Israeli flag after returning from Lebanon
At least 24 Israeli soldiers were killed in the advance on the strategic hilltop town as Hizbollah fighters were pushed back to its outskirts, abandoning many weapons.

The discovery helped to explain the slow progress made by Israeli ground forces in nearly five weeks of a war which Hizbollah last night claimed as "a historic victory." Israeli political and military leaders are facing mounting criticism over the conduct of the offensive, which was intended to smash the Iranian-backed Shia militia.

Outside one of the town's two mosques a van was found filled with green casings about 6ft long. The serial numbers identified them as AT-5 Spandrel anti-tank missiles. The wire-guided weapon was developed in Russia but Iran began making a copy in 2000.

Beyond no-man's land, in the east of the village, was evidence of Syrian-supplied hardware. In a garden next to a junction used as an outpost by Hizbollah lay eight Kornet anti-tank rockets, described by Brig Mickey Edelstein, the commander of the Nahal troops who took Ghandouriyeh, as "some of the best in the world".

Written underneath a contract number on each casing were the words: "Customer: Ministry of Defence of Syria. Supplier: KBP, Tula, Russia."

Brig Edelstein said: "If they tell you that Syria knew nothing about this, just look. This is the evidence. Proof, not just talk."

The discovery of the origin of the weapons proved to the Israelis that their enemy was not a ragged and lightly armed militia but a semi-professional army equipped by Syria and Iran to take on Israel. The weapons require serious training to operate and could be beyond the capabilities of some supposedly regular armies in the Middle East. The Kornet was unveiled by Russia in 1994. It is laser-guided, has a range of three miles and carries a double warhead capable of penetrating the reactive armour on Israeli Merkava tanks. Russia started supplying them to Syria in 1998.

Israeli forces were taken by surprise by the sophistication of the anti-tank weapons they faced. They are believed to have accounted for many of the 116 deaths the army suffered. Dozens of tanks were hit and an unknown number destroyed.

The missiles were also used against infantry, in one case bringing down a house and killing nine soldiers. They played an important part in Hizbollah's tactics of using a network of concealed positions to set up ambushes for the Israelis as they inched in. Last night, Hassan Nasrallah, the Hizbollah leader, said his men had achieved "a strategic, historic victory" over "a confused, cowardly and defea-ted" enemy. He said the militia would not disarm, as Israel and the UN Security Council were demanding. It would be "immoral, incorrect and inappropriate," he said. "It is the wrong timing on a pyschological and moral level."

As the militia leader was claiming victory, Ehud Olmert, the Israeli prime minister, defended his handling of the crisis and said that the massive air, ground and sea attack had changed the face of the Middle East. But he admitted that the military and political leadership was guilty of "shortcomings", not least in underestimating the threat from anti-tank weapons.

Critics say that he placed too much faith in the ability of the air force to break the back of Hizbollah and delayed launching a major ground offensive until it was too late.

Benjamin Netanyahu, the Likud Party leader and a rival, said: "There were many failures - failures on identifying the threat, failures in preparing to meet the threat, failures in the management of the war, failures in the management of the home front."

Last night, President George W. Bush blamed Iran and Syria for fomenting the conflict between Israel and Hizbollah. "We can only imagine how much more dangerous this conflict would be if Iran had the nuclear weapon it seeks," he said.
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8/15/2006  12:27 PM
tp://users2.wsj.com/lmda/do/checkLogin?mg=wsj-users2&url=http%3A%2F%2Fonline.wsj.com%2Farticle%2FSB115508199528130506.html%3Fmod%3Dtodays_us_opinion


Red State Jews
By THANE ROSENBAUM
August 9, 2006; Page A10

This is a soul-searching moment for the Jewish left. Actually, for many Jewish liberals, navigating the gloomy politics of the Middle East is like walking with two left feet.
I would know. For six years I was the literary editor of Tikkun magazine, a leading voice for progressive Jewish politics that never avoided subjecting Israel to moral scrutiny. I also teach human rights at a Jesuit university, imparting the lessons of reciprocal grievances and the moral necessity to regard all people with dignity and mutual respect. And I am deeply sensitive to Palestinian pain, and mortified when innocent civilians are used as human shields and then cynically martyred as casualties of war.
Yet, since 9/11 and the second intifada, where suicide bombings and beheadings have become the calling cards of Arab diplomacy, and with Hamas and Hezbollah emerging as elected entities that, paradoxically, reject the first principles of liberal democracy, I feel a great deal of moral anguish. Perhaps I have been naïve all along.
And I am not alone. Many Jews are in my position -- the children and grandchildren of labor leaders, socialists, pacifists, humanitarians, antiwar protestors -- instinctively leaning left, rejecting war, unwilling to demonize, and insisting that violence only breeds more violence. Most of all we share the profound belief that killing, humiliation and the infliction of unnecessary pain are not Jewish attributes.
However, the world as we know it today -- post-Holocaust, post-9/11, post-sanity -- is not cooperating. Given the realities of the new Middle East, perhaps it is time for a reality check. For this reason, many Jewish liberals are surrendering to the mindset that there are no solutions other than to allow Israel to defend itself -- with whatever means necessary. Unfortunately, the inevitability of Israel coincides with the inevitability of anti-Semitism.
This is what more politically conservative Jews and hardcore Zionists maintained from the outset. And it was this nightmare that the Jewish left always refused to imagine. So we lay awake at night, afraid to sleep. Surely the Arabs were tired, too. Surely they would want to improve their societies and educate their children rather than strap bombs on to them.
If the Palestinians didn't want that for themselves, if building a nation was not their priority, then peace in exchange for territories was nothing but a pipe dream. It was all wish-fulfillment, morally and practically necessary, yet ultimately motivated by a weary Israeli society -- the harsh reality of Arab animus, the spiritual toll that the occupation had taken on a Jewish state battered by negative world opinion.
Despite the deep cynicism, however, Israel knew that it must try. It would have to set aside nearly 60 years of hard-won experience, starting from the very first days of its independence, and believe that the Arab world had softened, would become more welcoming neighbors, and would stop chanting: "Not in our backyard -- the Middle East is for Arabs only."
It is true that Israel has entered into peace agreements with Egypt and Jordan that have brought some measure of historic stability to the region. But with Israel having withdrawn from Lebanon and Gaza, and with Israeli public opinion virtually united in favor of near-total withdrawal from the West Bank, why are rockets being launched at Israel now, why are their soldiers being kidnapped if the aspirations of the Palestinian people, and the intentions of Hamas and Hezbollah, stand for something other than the total destruction of Israel? And if Palestinians and the Lebanese are electing terrorists and giving them the portfolio of statesmen, then what message is being sent to moderate voices, what incentives are there to negotiate, and how can any of this sobering news be recast in a more favorable light?
The Jewish left is now in shambles. Peace Now advocates have lost their momentum, and, in some sense, their moral clarity. Opinion polls in Israel are showing near unanimous support for stronger incursions into Lebanon. And until kidnapped soldiers are returned and acts of terror curtailed, any further conversations about the future of the West Bank have been set aside.
Not unlike the deep divisions between the values of red- and blue-state America, world Jewry is being forced to reconsider all of its underlying assumptions about peace in the Middle East. The recent disastrous events in Lebanon and Gaza have inadvertently created a newly united Jewish consciousness -- bringing right and left together into one deeply cynical red state.
Mr. Rosenbaum, a novelist and professor at Fordham Law School, is author, most recently, of "The Myth of Moral Justice" (HarperCollins, 2004).
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8/15/2006  12:39 PM

http://www.tnr.com/docprint.mhtml?i=w060814&s=halevi081506

Israel's Broken Heart.
Final Reckoning
by Yossi Klein Halevi
Only at TNR Online
Post date: 08.15.06
owever hard Ehud Olmert tries to spin it, the U.N. ceasefire that began yesterday is a disaster for Israel and for the war on terrorism generally. With an unprecedented green light from Washington to do whatever necessary to uproot the Iranian front line against Israel, and with a level of national unity and willingness to sacrifice unseen here since the 1973 Yom Kippur War, our leaders squandered weeks restraining the army and fighting a pretend war. Only in the two days before the ceasefire was the army finally given the go-ahead to fight a real war.

But, by then, the U.N. resolution had codified the terms of Israel's defeat. The resolution doesn't require the immediate return of our kidnapped soldiers, but does urgently place the Shebaa Farms on the international agenda--as if the Lebanese jihadists fired some 4,000 rockets at the Israeli homefront over the fate of a bare mountain that the United Nations concluded in 1967 belonged not to Lebanon but Syria. Worst of all, it once again entrusts the security of Israel's northern border to the inept unifil. As one outraged TV anchor put it, Israeli towns were exposed to the worst attacks since the nation's founding, a million residents of the Galilee fled or sat in shelters for a month, more than 150 Israeli civilians and soldiers were killed along with nearly a thousand Lebanese--all in order to ensure the return of U.N. peacekeepers to southern Lebanon.



his is a nation whose heart has been broken: by our failure to uproot the jihadist threat, which will return for another and far more deadly round; by the economic devastation of the Galilee and of a neighboring land we didn't want to attack; by the heroism of our soldiers and the hesitations of our politicians; by the young men buried and crippled in a war we prevented ourselves from winning; by foreign journalists who can't tell the difference between good and evil; by European leaders who equate an army that tries to avoid civilian causalities with a terrorist group that revels in them; by a United Nations that questions Israel's right to defend itself; and by growing voices on the left who question Israel's right to exist at all.

At least some of the disasters of the past weeks were self-inflicted. We forfeited the public relations battle that was, in part, Israel's to lose. How is it possible that we failed to explain the justness of a war fought against a genocidal enemy who attacked us across our U.N.-sanctioned international border? It's hard to remember now, but we began this war with the sympathy of a large part of the international community. Some Arab leaders, for the first time in the history of the Middle East conflict, actually blamed other Arabs for initiating hostilities with Israel. That response came when Israel seemed determined to defeat Hezbollah; but, as the weeks dragged on and Hezbollah appeared to be winning, moderate Arabs adjusted accordingly. They didn't switch sides because we were fighting too assertively but because we weren't fighting assertively enough.

Even before the shooting stopped, the reckoning here had already begun. There are widespread expectations of dismissals for senior military commanders who--when finally given the chance to end the Hezbollah threat they had been warning about for almost 25 years--couldn't implement a creative battle plan. But demands for accountability won't be confined to the army alone. Journalist Ari Shavit, who has taken on something of the role of Motti Ashkenazi--the reservist soldier who led the movement to bring down the government of Golda Meir and Moshe Dayan after the Yom Kippur War--wrote a front-page article in Haaretz calling for Olmert's resignation. And that is only the opening shot. Even Maariv's Ben Caspit, one of Israel's most pro-Olmert journalists, published an imaginary Olmert speech of apology to the nation. A cartoon in Maariv showed Olmert as a boy playing with a yo-yo inscribed with israel defense forces. None of Israel's wars was ever fought with greater micromanagement by a government, and no government was ever less qualified to manage a war as this one. Just as the post-Yom Kippur War period destroyed military and political careers and eventually led to the collapse of the Labor Party's hegemony, so will the post-Lebanon period end careers and perhaps even the short-lived Kadima Party experiment.

A long list of reckonings awaits the Israeli public. There's the scandal of the government's abandonment of tens of thousands of poor Israelis who lacked the means to escape the north and were confined for weeks in public shelters, their needs largely tended to by volunteers. There's the growing bitterness between Jewish Israelis and Arab Israelis, many of whom supported Hezbollah in a war most Jews saw as an existential attack on the state. And there's the emergency need to resurrect the military reserves, which have been so neglected that a majority of men over 21 don't even serve anymore and those that do tend to feel like suckers.

Still, in the Jewish calendar, the summer weeks after the fast of the Ninth of Av, commemorating the destruction of the Temple, are a time of consolation. "Be consoled, be consoled, my people," we read from the Torah on the Sabbath after the fast. And so we console ourselves with the substantial achievements of the people of Israel during this month of war. First, our undiminished capacity for unity. My favorite symbol of that unity is the antiwar rapper, Muki, whose hit song during the era of Palestinian suicide bombings lamented the absence of justice for the Palestinians but who, this time, insisted that the army needs to "finish the job" against Hezbollah. Second, our middle-class children, with their cell phones, iPods, and pizza deliveries to their army bases. In intimate combat, they repeatedly bested Hezbollah fighters, even though the terrorists had the advantage of familiar terrain. This generation has given us some of Israel's most powerful images of heroism, like the soldier from a West Bank settlement and father of two young children who leaped onto a grenade to save his friends, shouting the Shema--the prayer of God's oneness--just before the grenade exploded. Along with the recriminations, there will be many medals of valor awarded in the coming weeks.

But the last month's fighting is only one battle in the jihadist war against Israel's homefront that began with the second intifada in September 2000. Israel won the first phase of that war, the four years of suicide bombings that lasted until 2004. Now, in the second phase, we've lost the battle against the rockets. But the qualities this heartbreak has revealed --unity and sacrifice and faith in the justness of our cause--will ensure our eventual victory in the next, inevitable, bitter round. Such is the nature of consolation in Israel in the summer of 2006.

Yossi Klein Halevi is a foreign correspondent for The New Republic and senior fellow of the Shalem Center in Jerusalem.

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8/15/2006  12:45 PM
http://www.slate.com/id/2147658/nav/tap1/


foreigners
Limited Imagination
Why the U.N.'s timid resolution misses the mark.
By Shmuel Rosner
Posted Monday, Aug. 14, 2006, at 11:55 AM ET



It started with a bang and ended with a bureaucratic maneuver. It started with talk of change for the better in the Middle East and ended with the same crummy old neighborhood. It started with the promise to "dismantle," to "destroy," and to "eliminate"?and ended with no more than modest modifications to the deplorable status-quo ante. But most of all, it started with prophets and pundits declaring it the most vital front in the fight against militant Islam, against extremism and terrorism?and ended up by being treated as yet another local border dispute. Not good battling evil, not righteousness fighting wickedness, but just the same old war between Israel and the Arabs. Two sides reprising an overfamiliar song.

Stories of the glorious hours leading to the final drafting and acceptance of U.N. Security Council Resolution 1701 are now spreading like fire on a Lebanese hill. How Condi Rice went to New York, risking her credibility. How diplomats and officials worked late nights finalizing the wording of the resolution. People pleased with it will praise the secretary of state for her resoluteness; others who think the resolution is a shameful ending to the war will blame her for the same reason, saying that she got carried away because of her ideological weakness and because she can't stand the criticism of former colleagues in the papers.

But the truth is that there's nothing inherently magnificent?or wrong?about Security Council Resolution 1701, which effectively ended the war in Lebanon this morning. It carefully balances the moral obligation to stand on the right side of history?blaming Hezbollah for the eruption of violence?with the more practical need to provide for an end to the bloodshed. It is beneficial enough for the weak Lebanese government, but it contains promises for Israel, too. It takes responsibility for the future but frames this task in a manageable way, so as to make it possible for U.N. member states to participate in the international stabilization force.

Describing Richard Nixon's first visit to Italy as the newly elected president, Henry Kissinger provided a wonderful portrait of the way their hosts approached the world: "Italian ministers acted as if they were too worldly-wise to pretend that their views on international affairs could decisively affect events," he wrote. Still, the Italians of today?arguably no different than their predecessors in their indifference to meddling in the affairs of others?will be sending their sons and daughters to augment the international force in southern Lebanon.

And this is exactly where the Security Council failed to take a stand that will turn the conflict from "just a war" to "a just war." The resolution revisits the same measures that we've seen implemented in the past: separating the combatants, establishing a demilitarized zone, promising to prevent the rearming of the aggressor, deploying neutral forces.

This approach worked well in the case of Israel and Egypt in the Sinai Peninsula, or in the case of Israel and Syria on the Golan Heights. It worked well because it separated states and conventional armies. It can work with a border dispute, with conventional conflict, with a negotiable difference of opinion?but it fails to grasp the uniqueness of the struggle between Israel and Hezbollah.

Three weeks ago, challenging a growing trend, I wrote that this war "contrary to the grandiose prognostications of Armageddon-obsessed pundits?will not bring about World War III or the end of the West or the defeat of extremist Islamism. It is now clear that the war in Lebanon is a limited, contained war, with modest goals and rational expectations." After reading and reporting on Resolution 1701, there's good reason for me to feel vindicated?except for one thing: It got to be even more "limited" than it should have been.

The war was limited in the scope of the fighting and, thank God, in the amount of human blood that was spilled. It was contained geographically to Lebanon, and it didn't involve any countries except Israel. It was long?longer than many expected?but it did end after a few weeks, rather than the months that some commentators predicted. All these were positive limitations.

But in one respect, this war proved to be too limited: The solution that brings it to an end lacks imagination. It fails to grasp the stakes and the risks this war has brought about. It was crafted in haste to halt the violence, but it didn't take into account that this was not just another Arab-Israeli war fought over claims on territory and pride, as we've seen in the past. It was a war between a mighty military and the most capable terror organization in the world?and it ended in a stalemate, making it clear that taking over a country and fighting a war is no longer too demanding for such a force.

So, the chances that 1701 will bring calm and security for both sides are also limited. Hezbollah "will attempt to prevent a comprehensive agreement and to undermine the provisions of Resolution 1701 that do not serve the organization's interests," predicted Israel's Reut Institute. And that's probably the most optimistic expert opinion.

As Italian Prime Minister Romano Prodi has already said, the rules of engagement for the international force will clearly reflect that it is a "peace mission." In other words, Hezbollah will keep its finger on the trigger, enabling it to restart the war whenever it chooses. Despite Resolution 1701, the international community is not really committed to "help secure a permanent ceasefire and a long-term solution to the conflict."

Shmuel Rosner, chief U.S. correspondent for the Israeli paper Haaretz, writes daily at Rosner's Domain.
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8/15/2006  12:53 PM
Iran, Syria Praise Hezbollah, Mock U.S.
Aug 15 12:35 PM US/Eastern
By ALI AKBAR DAREINI
Associated Press Writer

TEHRAN, Iran

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said Tuesday that Hezbollah has "hoisted the banner of victory" over Israel and toppled U.S.-led plans for the Middle East. Hezbollah's main backers _ Iran and Syria _ struck nearly identical tones a day after a cease-fire took effect in Lebanon: heaping praise on the guerrillas as perceived victors for the Islamic world and claiming that Western influence in the region was dealt a serious blow.

"God's promises have come true," Ahmadinejad told a huge crowd in Arbadil in northwestern Iran. "On one side, it's corrupt powers of the criminal U.S. and Britain and the Zionists ... with modern bombs and planes. And on the other side is a group of pious youth relying on God."



In Damascus, Syrian President Syrian President Bashar Assad said Washington's plans for the Middle East were turned into "an illusion" by Hezbollah's resistance to the Israeli military during the 34-day conflict.

Israel "was defeated" and Hezbollah "hoisted the banner of victory," Ahmadinejad told the crowd, including many people waving yellow Hezbollah banners and Iranian flags.

Ahmadinejad drew cheers when he said Hezbollah foiled what he called the plans of Washington and its allies "to create the so-called new Middle East."

"The people of the region are also after the new Middle East, but a Middle East that is free from U.S. and British domination," he said.

After the war broke out July 12, Ahmadinejad and other Iranian leaders repeatedly denounced the U.N. Security Council for moving slowly toward a cease-fire. They also sharply criticized other Muslim nations for what Iran considered a failure to rally around Hezbollah and Lebanese civilians.

Ahmadinejad said the United Nations should force war reparations from Israel and its allies, led by the United States.

"Those who were involved in inflicting damage to the Lebanese nation are responsible," he said.

Ahmadinejad has drawn worldwide condemnation for calling for Israel's destruction and describing the Holocaust as a myth.

Earlier Tuesday, a hard-line Iranian cleric warned Israel that Iran's new long-range missiles will land in Tel Aviv if the Jewish state should attack Iran, state-run television said.

Ahmad Khatami, a mid-ranking cleric, declared that Israel would face dire consequences if it "makes an iota of aggression against Iran."

"They must fear the day 2,000-kilometer (1,250-mile)range missiles land in the heart of Tel Aviv," he said.

Khatami is a Friday prayer leader in Tehran and a member of the Assembly of Experts, a clerical panel that has the power to choose or dismiss Iran's top leader, but he is not considered a government official.

In his address, Ahmadinejad also said his government would stick by its plans to reply on Aug. 22 to a package of Western economic and technology incentives offered in exchange for a suspension of Iranian uranium enrichment.

The U.N. Security Council has told Iran it must halt enrichment by Aug. 31 or face possible sanctions.

Western nations, led by the United States, claim Iran is using its nuclear program as a cover for developing atomic weapons in violation of its commitments under the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty.

Iran denies the allegations, saying its program has the peaceful goal of generating electricity with nuclear reactors
earthmansurfer
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8/15/2006  4:28 PM
Worth watching this:
Olbermann Exposes Nexus Of Politics And Terror

Scroll down to video link, good quality. Great points by Olbermann, about time to see some media who aren't bought.

http://www.prisonplanet.com/articles/august2006/150806thenexus.htm

earthmansurfer
Don't buy into the fear though we are indeed breeding terror and SOME warnings may be real.
The intuitive mind is a sacred gift and the rational mind is a faithful servant. We have created a society that honors the servant and has forgotten the gift. Albert Einstein
simrud
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8/15/2006  8:31 PM
I hate to say I told you so Color, but I don't know how the left leaning Jews were ever able to beleive what they beleive in, in the first place. This entire war is the moral legacy of the many supporters of the "peace for land" idea, a most outlandhish principle.

The pullout out of Gaza and Lebanon, w/out a uniform acceptance by every muslim nation of the right of Israel to exist is a mockery to common sense. The idea of unilateral retreat is just as bad. Israel only has two choices. Have its civilians die, or have its soldiers die. The nation of Israel exists because of the blood of its soldiers, and nothing else.

I found it ironic how the hub of the pro appeasement movement Haifa, suffered the most destruction. Don't take it the wrong way, but it is my hope, that people learned their lesson. The only thing that pullin out of the West Bank will do is have rockets fallin in Jerusalem and Tel Aviv.

At this point if the demographic problem is indeed such a danger, and more Jews are not willin to come, if I were Israel, I would start accepting immigraiton from non-muslim countires, mabye a place like Sudan, and provide benefits for them to settle in the West bank. There are already refuges being smuggled to Israel though Egypt by the Beduins from Sudan. Let the country become a bastion anti militant islam, open the door to non Jewish immigration to the West Bank and beyond, as long as they agree to become full Isareli citizens and serve in the army. Grow the populatoin to over 12 mil and the regular army to 300000 and tell the world to suck it.

[Edited by - simrud on 08-15-2006 8:35 PM]
A glimmer of hope maybe?!?
colorfl1
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8/15/2006  9:03 PM
Posted by simrud:

I hate to say I told you so Color, but I don't know how the left leaning Jews were ever able to beleive what they beleive in, in the first place. This entire war is the moral legacy of the many supporters of the "peace for land" idea, a most outlandhish principle.

The pullout out of Gaza and Lebanon, w/out a uniform acceptance by every muslim nation of the right of Israel to exist is a mockery to common sense. The idea of unilateral retreat is just as bad. Israel only has two choices. Have its civilians die, or have its soldiers die. The nation of Israel exists because of the blood of its soldiers, and nothing else.
[Edited by - simrud on 08-15-2006 8:35 PM]

It is truly a quagmire...

I understood what the unilateralists were trying to do... they recognized they had no true partner for peace and therefore chose to pull within less contested borders... they did not account for the proliferation of rockets and that when push comes to shove this conflict is driven by hatred and not merely terratorial disputes... the Israeli public has been in denial over this point... but I believe there will be great political fallout over the realization that Israel really cannot trade for peace and acceptance.
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8/16/2006  10:54 AM
Wednesday » August 16 » 2006

Nations refuse to disarm Hezbollah
U.S., France, UN and Lebanon put deal in jeopardy

Allan Woods
CanWest News Service

Wednesday, August 16, 2006

WASHINGTON - The countries tasked with upholding the shaky truce in Lebanon appeared unwilling to force the disarmament of Hezbollah yesterday, a development that threatens to delay the creation of a massive United Nations peacekeeping force and could ultimately set off fresh conflict in the region.

France, the United States, the United Nations and Lebanon itself have all refused to accept responsibility for stripping the Lebanese Shiite militia of their weapons, despite a key element of the UN resolution that calls for the group to give up its firepower and vacate the southern part of the country.

Hezbollah leader Sheik Hassan Nasrallah said on Monday that his force will not be pressured into disarming, and he gained key support yesterday from Lebanon's Defence Minister, Elian Murr, who has refused to take up the task of disarmament.

The Lebanese Cabinet agreed to the UN resolution on Saturday, but Mr. Murr explained that his job is not disarmament, but rather to "ensure the security of the [Islamic] Resistance and citizens, to protect the victory of the Resistance."

The Islamic Resistance is the armed wing of Hezbollah. London's al-Hayat newspaper reported yesterday that the Lebanese government is considering allowing fighters to keep their weapons in the southern border zone in violation of the UN resolution.

The about-face is giving the rest of the world second thoughts as well, particularly France, which lost 58 French soldiers to a Hezbollah suicide attack that also killed 231 U.S. Marines the last time it was deployed in Beirut, in 1983.

Philippe Douste-Blazy, the French Foreign Minister, warned yesterday that France, which is expected to contribute 4,000 troops and lead the UN mission, will stay out of Lebanon until it receives guarantees Hezbollah has disarmed. He is expected to discuss the issue at meetings with the Lebanese government in Beirut today. Similarly, both the United States, which does not plan to send troops to Lebanon, and Major-General Alain Pellegrini, the French commander of UNIFIL, the UN peacekeeping force currently on the ground, said it is up to the Lebanese government to strip Hezbollah of its weapons.

"It is Lebanon that is responsible for determining its own future in this regard," David Welch, U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs, told reporters in Washington yesterday. "By passing this resolution 15-0, unanimously in the Security Council, the world's voice has been made crystal clear."

A spokesman for UN Secretary General Kofi Annan said in New York that it is up to Lebanon to disarm Hezbollah, but that the UN would offer help to enforce the process. The crisis in the Israel-Lebanon conflict comes as the international community scrambles to determine which countries will contribute to the promised 15,000-troop UN peacekeeping force, and how soon they can get there.

A senior UN official told the BBC the world body is aiming to get an advance force of up to 3,500 troops into Lebanon within two weeks. Lebanon plans to start moving 15,000 of its own soldiers into the southern part of the country this week, and Israel said it could pull out of Lebanon within 10 days. But Maj.-Gen. Pellegrini told France's Le Monde newspaper yesterday that it could take up to one year to get the full force in place in southern Lebanon. Sean McCormack, a U.S. State Department spokesman, said the force needs to be deployed "on a much more urgent basis than that."

"Nobody believes that deploying the force in months is acceptable," he said yesterday.

The question of how quickly the UN force can be in place is vital because last Friday's resolution calls for the withdrawal of the Israeli forces in southern Lebanon at the same time as the international force takes up its positions.

Should the UN force fail to materialize, Israel faces a choice of remaining in southern Lebanon, where skirmishes with Hezbollah fighters continued yesterday, or accepting the presence of a weak Lebanese army as a buffer between it and Hezbollah.

Formal offers of troop contributions are expected to start coming in tomorrow. The bulk of the force is expected to be made of French and Italian troops. Turkey, Indonesia, Spain and Morocco have also been mentioned as potential contributors. Yet as much of the world watches the slow diplomatic process of cleaning up after a war, Israel has already set its sights on what it considers the larger threat to Middle East peace -- Iran.

Shimon Peres, Israel's deputy prime minister, was meeting with U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice to discuss the situation in the Middle East ahead of a North American tour to raise what is expected to be hundreds of millions of dollars for reconstructions efforts in northern Israel, which was hit hard in the fighting.

U.S. President George W. Bush has been equally vocal about what he calls the destabilizing role that Iran plays in the Middle East, particularly since the Israel-Lebanon conflict began last month. Earlier this week, he warned that it would have been worse had Iran possessed "the nuclear weapon it seeks."
colorfl1
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8/18/2006  5:33 PM
USA TODAY

Officials: U.S. blocked missiles to Hezbollah
Posted 8/18/2006 1:09 PM ET
By John Diamond, USA TODAY
WASHINGTON — The United States blocked an Iranian cargo plane's flight to Syria last month after intelligence analysts concluded it was carrying sophisticated missiles and launchers to resupply Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, two U.S. intelligence officials say.
Eight days after Hezbollah's war with Israel began, U.S. diplomats persuaded Turkey and Iraq to deny the plane permission to cross their territory to Damascus, a transfer point for arms to Hezbollah, the officials said.

The episode was detailed by one U.S. intelligence official who saw a report on the incident. It was confirmed by a U.S. official from a second intelligence agency and by a diplomat with a foreign government. They did not want their names used because they were not authorized to discuss the incident.

HOW MISSILES WERE DETECTED: The science of 'crate-ology'

Their account illustrates the quiet support the United States gave Israel during the 34-day war, even enlisting help from Muslim nations where acting on Israel's behalf is politically anathema.

Israel and President Bush have accused the Shiite-dominated government of Iran, Hezbollah's primary supplier, of shipping the Shiite militia increasingly sophisticated weapons by way of Syria.

The Iraq and Turkish governments would not discuss the incident. Iran's United Nations mission denied trying to send Hezbollah weapons. The intelligence officials did not provide reports, satellite photos or other evidence to corroborate the sequence of events. Their account could not be independently verified.

The officials described this timeline:

•July 15: Three days after the war began, a source tipped off U.S. intelligence about an imminent shipment of missiles from Iran to Hezbollah.

•July 19: A spy satellite photographed Iranian crews loading three missile launchers and eight crates, each normally used to carry a Chinese-designed C-802 Noor missile, aboard a transport plane at Mehrabad air base near Tehran. Israel says Hezbollah fired a C-802, a precision-guided anti-ship cruise missile, at an Israeli warship off Lebanon's coast on July 14.

•July 20: The Ilyushin Il-76 transport plane left for Damascus, but Iraqi air-traffic controllers denied it permission to enter Iraq's airspace. The Iranian flight crew then requested permission to fly over Turkey. Turkish controllers granted permission — but only if the plane would land for an inspection. The plane returned to Tehran, where the military cargo was unloaded.

•July 22: The plane flew humanitarian aid to Damascus after stopping for inspection in Turkey.

Though the missiles were not visible in the satellite photos, the launchers and specialized crates with distinctive shapes allowed U.S. analysts to identify the missile type, the intelligence officials said.

Asked about the account during an interview Tuesday, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said, "We work on these kinds of things all the time." But she added, "I can't comment on specific cases."
colorfl1
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8/19/2006  10:37 PM

Annan: Israeli Raid Violates Cease-Fire
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Aug 19, 7:22 PM (ET)

By SAM F. GHATTAS

(AP) Lebanese citizens inspect the crater at a bridge that was destroyed when Israeli missiles targeted...
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NEW YORK (AP) - U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan said Saturday that an early-morning Israeli raid against Hezbollah in eastern Lebanon violated the 6-day-old cease-fire brokered by the United Nations. An Israeli officer was killed, and two soldiers wounded, when Israeli commandos raided a Hezbollah stronghold deep in Lebanon, resulting in a fierce gunbattle.
Israel said the raid was launched to stop arms smuggling from Iran and Syria to the militant Shiite fighters, while Lebanon's Prime Minister Fuad Saniora called the operation a "flagrant violation" of the U.N. truce.
There were no signs of further clashes, but the flare-up underlined worries about the fragility of the cease-fire as the U.N. pleaded for nations to send troops to an international force in southern Lebanon that is to separate Israeli and Hezbollah fighters.
A contingent of 49 French soldiers landed in the south Saturday, providing the first reinforcements for the 2,000-strong U.N. peacekeeping mission known as UNIFIL that has been stationed in the region for years. About 200 more were expected next week.
They were the first additions to what is intended to grow into a 15,000-soldier U.N. force to police the truce with an equal number of Lebanese soldiers. France leads UNIFIL and already had 200 soldiers in Lebanon before the reinforcements.
But with Europe moving slowly to provide more troops, Israel warned it would continue to act on its own to enforce an arms embargo on the Lebanese guerrilla group until the Lebanese army and an expanded U.N. peacekeeping force are in place.
"If the Syrians and Iran continue to arm Hezbollah in violation of the resolution, Israel is entitled to act to defend the principle of the arms embargo," Israeli Foreign Ministry spokesman Mark Regev said. "Once the Lebanese army and the international forces are active ... then such Israeli activity will become superfluous."
O.T. War in the middle East...

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