Posted by Silverfuel:
Posted by codeunknown:
I'm with Colorfl1 here. Israel has to show some restraint - to minimize carnage as well as animosity in the region. Simrud - 60,000 is overkill - which will most certainly backfire. Think of the consequences for a minute. You will never be able to get every single Hezbollah member - but you will definitely inspire more violent anti-Israel sentiment among Muslim people in the region. Don't be surprised when that expanding group of Arab terrorists use that as an excuse to kill you and your family in the name of -od.
Are you guys joking?? Hezbollah has already announced its purpose is the DESTRUCTION of the state of Israel. 60,000 or 10,000 wont do ****. It wont make anyone in that area hate Israel any less. Get it over with and send as many as you need to secure that area.
[Edited by - Silverfuel on 08-11-2006 05:49 AM]
Its unfortunate that you feel that way, Silverfuel. That won't get it over with. That will get it started, however. There are really 2 things I'm concerned about. One is strategic from Israel's point of view - you don't send in a massive target early without eliminating Hezbollah's rocket capabilities because it is entirely likely they will fire on their own soil in a move that sacrifices their own civillians. Theoretically, utilizing ground troops is a strategy that aims to reduce the non-specific damage that comes unavoidably with air-strikes and, in that light, its admirable that Isreal would risk its soldiers in a move that finally attempts to minimize Lebanese civillian casualties. Yet, that poses a significant risk on invading troops. In fact, some sources have commented on the susceptibility of poorly armored Israeli tanks to the mainstay of Hezbollah anti-tank weapons and rockets, which are descending on Israel as we speak - empirical proof that their arsenal is not yet fully depleted. The deployment and distribution of these troops is a risky venture even under armored protection as a result of the shortened distance to enemy rockets, discrete localization of troops, extensive time of operation and a potential Hezbollah territorial advantage. The risk becomes further daunting when you consider that deploying a force of 60,000 soldiers depletes a significant segment of the Israeli army, listed at 125,000 active personnel in 2004, and encourages opportunistic attacks from potent scavengers including Hamas, Syria and Iran.
I am just as concerned with the carnage dealt to the Lebanese people. The evident danger with over-supplying troops is the excessive and redundant use of force as well as the statistical significant increase in military blunders. If you're sending in an enormous number of troops, you need the equipment to arm and support them. Thus, the variable of interest is this offensive equipment, which gives you an upper bound estimate of destruction, in an equation which seeks to maximize Hezbollah disarmament and minimize any casualties on any side. The constraint on the equation should be the conceived threshold necessary to deter Hezbollah forces, an assessment that differs significantly from the 82 war, which was fought with relatively inefficient equipment and an implicit goal of temporary deterrent occupation. Every Israeli soldier is now equipped with an IMI Tavor assault rifle, an upgrade, as well as an M16 and hand grenades. Modern NEGEV lightweight machine guns that can fire up to 1000 rounds per minute and MK19 grenade launchers are also plentiful. Despite the majority of APCs in the Israeli armny, the 401 brigade has upgraded Merkava Mark 4 tanks. The war is clearly different and a conservative but but sufficient approach is best - as opposed to the silly "lets crash the party and get it over with" notion.
As I've explained before, every life - civillian or military, Arab or Israeli - is EXTREMELY valuable to me as a human being and a doctor first and foremost. These are real people - not pawns or dummies - intelligent, consious lives that breathe and suffer and dream. The carnage I was referring to is one of catastrophic, blood-curdling proportions and one that could critically impact both sides. From my empiricist Utilitarian perspective, a conservative ground troop approach is clearly the a priori strategy to follow.
Sh-t in the popcorn to go with sh-t on the court. Its a theme show like Medieval times.