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The Case for Willie Trill Cauley Stein
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nixluva
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6/17/2015  12:55 PM
blkexec wrote:Whats interesting is Steins college stats are very similar to D.Jordans stats from Texas A&M....In fact Steins stats are slightly better than D.Jordan's stats during their freshman year. D.Jordan was one and done, while Stein played another 2 years. So Stein will be coming into the NBA as a more mature player than DJ was, and with a better offensive game and better lateral quickness.

So if you are currently a DJ fan and see his impact on the Clippers, then you should be estatic about Steins potential, which is at least DJs level and higher (according to the stats).

http://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/players/deandre-jordan-1.html#players_per_game::none

Yeah DJ has a major impact for his team. If he could score outside of dunks he'd be such a better player and that's how I see WCS. I see WCS as a hybrid of Tyson and Kmart but with more offensive ability. He's not as heavy as DeAndre which will hurt him with heavy Centers. He's more of a finesse big who can move around and give help. I'd let someone else defend post bigs and free WCS up to roam.

There's a tendency to not look at WCS as a Franchise type talent because of his relative low offensive output, but IMO he will improve his offense with more work and with a better role in the NBA game. I think he's just a late bloomer rather than a guy who just can't do it. There's a huge difference in my mind.

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martin
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6/17/2015  12:58 PM
blkexec wrote:Whats interesting is Steins college stats are very similar to D.Jordans stats from Texas A&M....In fact Steins stats are slightly better than D.Jordan's stats during their freshman year. D.Jordan was one and done, while Stein played another 2 years. So Stein will be coming into the NBA as a more mature player than DJ was, and with a better offensive game and better lateral quickness.

So if you are currently a DJ fan and see his impact on the Clippers, then you should be estatic about Steins potential, which is at least DJs level and higher (according to the stats).

http://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/players/deandre-jordan-1.html#players_per_game::none

I don't watch college bb and only saw Towns, WCS in their last 2 games. My question: how good a defensive player is WCS compared with how good Okafor is on the offensive end?

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nixluva
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6/17/2015  1:05 PM
martin wrote:
blkexec wrote:Whats interesting is Steins college stats are very similar to D.Jordans stats from Texas A&M....In fact Steins stats are slightly better than D.Jordan's stats during their freshman year. D.Jordan was one and done, while Stein played another 2 years. So Stein will be coming into the NBA as a more mature player than DJ was, and with a better offensive game and better lateral quickness.

So if you are currently a DJ fan and see his impact on the Clippers, then you should be estatic about Steins potential, which is at least DJs level and higher (according to the stats).

http://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/players/deandre-jordan-1.html#players_per_game::none

I don't watch college bb and only saw Towns, WCS in their last 2 games. My question: how good a defensive player is WCS compared with how good Okafor is on the offensive end?

This is how I looked at it. In terms of +/- for all of CBB.


National Leaders - +/- Avg
Rank Value Player Yr Ht Wt Gms Team
1 16.8 Kevin Pangos Sr 6-2 182 38 Gonzaga
2 15.6 Frank Kaminsky Sr 7-0 242 39 Wisconsin
3 15.0 Gary Bell Jr. Sr 6-2 214 38 Gonzaga
4 14.7 Kyle Wiltjer Jr 6-10 240 38 Gonzaga
5 14.6 Tyus Jones Fr 6-1 190 39 Duke
6 14.3 Willie Cauley-Stein Jr 7-0 240 39 Kentucky
--
44 11.6 Karl-Anthony Towns Fr 6-11 250 39 Kentucky
45 11.5 Jahlil Okafor Fr 6-11 270 38 Duke

WCS did this almost entirely on his defensive prowess. That's impressive and if you can imagine him with improved offense then that makes it even more of a quantifiable impact.

Nalod
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6/17/2015  1:06 PM
Would you take Potential Tim Duncan vs Potential DAndre Jordan?
BRIGGS
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6/17/2015  1:08 PM
martin wrote:
blkexec wrote:Whats interesting is Steins college stats are very similar to D.Jordans stats from Texas A&M....In fact Steins stats are slightly better than D.Jordan's stats during their freshman year. D.Jordan was one and done, while Stein played another 2 years. So Stein will be coming into the NBA as a more mature player than DJ was, and with a better offensive game and better lateral quickness.

So if you are currently a DJ fan and see his impact on the Clippers, then you should be estatic about Steins potential, which is at least DJs level and higher (according to the stats).

http://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/players/deandre-jordan-1.html#players_per_game::none

I don't watch college bb and only saw Towns, WCS in their last 2 games. My question: how good a defensive player is WCS compared with how good Okafor is on the offensive end?

I just watched the NBA finals and to me the fact that GS discontinued playing Bogut and Fezeli for a more skilled offensive line up and then avg 10 more points per game(which on the series should say a lot) yet their defense did not suffer. Okafor commanded double teams all year WCS was guarded by GUARDS most of the year 1-1. WCS effect on the game on defense by himself was good yet somewhatu nknown as Kentucky had 6 guys 6-10+(Im concerned about WCS post defense) WCS is the better athlete and this is an athletic league but I think Okafor will be a version of Tim Duncan--not quite as good but a version of him and to me that good enough.

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nixluva
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6/17/2015  1:08 PM
Nalod wrote:Would you take Potential Tim Duncan vs Potential DAndre Jordan?

Okafor is no Tim Duncan. His defense is nowhere near Duncan's. That's the main difference. It's why he didn't come up higher on the list I posted above.

nixluva
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6/17/2015  1:11 PM
BRIGGS wrote:
martin wrote:
blkexec wrote:Whats interesting is Steins college stats are very similar to D.Jordans stats from Texas A&M....In fact Steins stats are slightly better than D.Jordan's stats during their freshman year. D.Jordan was one and done, while Stein played another 2 years. So Stein will be coming into the NBA as a more mature player than DJ was, and with a better offensive game and better lateral quickness.

So if you are currently a DJ fan and see his impact on the Clippers, then you should be estatic about Steins potential, which is at least DJs level and higher (according to the stats).

http://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/players/deandre-jordan-1.html#players_per_game::none

I don't watch college bb and only saw Towns, WCS in their last 2 games. My question: how good a defensive player is WCS compared with how good Okafor is on the offensive end?

I just watched the NBA finals and to me the fact that GS discontinued playing Bogut and Fezeli for a more skilled offensive line up and then avg 10 more points per game(which on the series should say a lot) yet their defense did not suffer. Okafor commanded double teams all year WCS was guarded by GUARDS most of the year 1-1. WCS effect on the game on defense by himself was good yet somewhatu nknown as Kentucky had 6 guys 6-10+(Im concerned about WCS post defense) WCS is the better athlete and this is an athletic league but I think Okafor will be a version of Tim Duncan--not quite as good but a version of him and to me that good enough.

WCS was without a doubt a huge impact on D. Teams scored at only 82 ppp with WCS on the floor and at 90 ppp when he wasn't on the floor. So yes they had a lot of talent but he still had a net positive impact.

crzymdups
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6/17/2015  1:11 PM    LAST EDITED: 6/17/2015  1:12 PM
Nalod wrote:Would you take Potential Tim Duncan vs Potential DAndre Jordan?

I like Okafor and I like Stein...

but Okafor is NOT Tim Duncan. Duncan is one of the best defensive pressences of all time. If Towns had Okafor's refined post game, you'd have a young Duncan. Neither Towns or Okafor are the all around player Duncan was coming out of college as a four year senior where he averaged like 22ppg and 15rpg his senior year. I think Okafor's offense can be Duncan level, but I doubt his defense ever gets there.

Stein being comped to Jordan... I can sort of see it, but I think Jordan is more muscular and physical whereas Stein is able to roam farther from the hoop on defense to smother pick and rolls and close out on shooters. I think Camby or Tyson is the better comp for Stein. The difference with Camby and Tyson is that they came into the league touted as potential offensive stars and they both took a few years to find their actual roles. I think Stein already knows what his role is, which is part of the benefit of him being used in such a specific role at Kentucky.

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Vmart
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6/17/2015  1:13 PM
nixluva wrote:
Nalod wrote:Would you take Potential Tim Duncan vs Potential DAndre Jordan?

Okafor is no Tim Duncan. His defense is nowhere near Duncan's. That's the main difference. It's why he didn't come up higher on the list I posted above.

This is where you are wrong. Your sighting an offensive game that WCS has you never seen before yet you can't see the defense Okafor plays. You are undervaluing Okafor's defense. He played defense to Duke's needs.

nixluva
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6/17/2015  1:18 PM
crzymdups wrote:
Nalod wrote:Would you take Potential Tim Duncan vs Potential DAndre Jordan?

I like Okafor and I like Stein...

but Okafor is NOT Tim Duncan. Duncan is one of the best defensive pressences of all time. If Towns had Okafor's refined post game, you'd have a young Duncan. Neither Towns or Okafor are the all around player Duncan was coming out of college as a four year senior where he averaged like 22ppg and 15rpg his senior year. I think Okafor's offense can be Duncan level, but I doubt his defense ever gets there.

Stein being comped to Jordan... I can sort of see it, but I think Jordan is more muscular and physical whereas Stein is able to roam farther from the hoop on defense to smother pick and rolls and close out on shooters. I think Camby or Tyson is the better comp for Stein. The difference with Camby and Tyson is that they came into the league touted as potential offensive stars and they both took a few years to find their actual roles. I think Stein already knows what his role is, which is part of the benefit of him being used in such a specific role at Kentucky.


EXCELLENT post. Stein is a mix of Tyson and KMart. He's got the speed and range of KMart and the size and rim protection of Tyson, but he's got more offensive upside than either of them IMO. He's putting in the work and I see a completely confident player now. Whatever they did at Don McClean's Training Sessions it really has helped WCS to gain full confidence in his scoring ability.

Just look at how he's scoring with his Right and Left hand in his Kings Workout. That's not a player who is limited offensively. He's getting better and may yet have even more upside offensively. Coming to basketball late may have been the problem rather than a lack of ability that can't be fixed.

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6/17/2015  1:22 PM
BRIGGS wrote:
martin wrote:
blkexec wrote:Whats interesting is Steins college stats are very similar to D.Jordans stats from Texas A&M....In fact Steins stats are slightly better than D.Jordan's stats during their freshman year. D.Jordan was one and done, while Stein played another 2 years. So Stein will be coming into the NBA as a more mature player than DJ was, and with a better offensive game and better lateral quickness.

So if you are currently a DJ fan and see his impact on the Clippers, then you should be estatic about Steins potential, which is at least DJs level and higher (according to the stats).

http://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/players/deandre-jordan-1.html#players_per_game::none

I don't watch college bb and only saw Towns, WCS in their last 2 games. My question: how good a defensive player is WCS compared with how good Okafor is on the offensive end?

I just watched the NBA finals and to me the fact that GS discontinued playing Bogut and Fezeli for a more skilled offensive line up and then avg 10 more points per game(which on the series should say a lot) yet their defense did not suffer. Okafor commanded double teams all year WCS was guarded by GUARDS most of the year 1-1. WCS effect on the game on defense by himself was good yet somewhatu nknown as Kentucky had 6 guys 6-10+(Im concerned about WCS post defense) WCS is the better athlete and this is an athletic league but I think Okafor will be a version of Tim Duncan--not quite as good but a version of him and to me that good enough.

You could make the same argument that Duke did better in the tournament when Okafor sat and Winslow took over.

Finals and the Tournament are small sample sizes and are given too much importance sometimes.

Particularly in the Finals, it's about two teams adjusting to one another and finding particular plays or players that work and ones that don't.

I think more than Golden State going "small" it had to do with Iguodala having a very personal rivalry with Lebron and knowing how to play him. Go back and look at some of Iggy's games vs Lebron in the past ten years - he always shows up to play Lebron.

Golden State plays a particular style, but they have a truly singular talent leading their attack. Steph Curry is the best three point shooter in the history of the NBA - both volume and percentage wise he has the best three year run of any player shooting the three ever. Teams can try to emulate that, but not every team will be able to. The pendulum will swing back and teams built around big men like AD, Towns, Okafor will be able to take advantage of teams built to mimic GSW but who don't have Steph Curry leading the charge.

But you are right that guard play is extremely important - this is why some of us favor Stein and his ability to not just contain but stifle the pick and roll, the bread and butter of most teams' attack.

Obviously, I would not pick Stein over Okafor, but I don't know some people are acting like we suddenly have this luxury. Okafor won't be there. If he is, you take him. If Russell is, you take him. If neither are, I would lean towards Stein. I would strongly consider Winslow, Mudiay and Porzingis, and I have and I certainly don't have all the information, but I hope the Knicks do.

To me, at 4, once Towns, Okafor, Russell are off the board, you have the next tier and it's:

Stein
Winslow
Porzingis
Mudiay

not necessarily in that order. You can make a case for each guy. I hope the Knicks chose wisely.

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nixluva
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6/17/2015  1:28 PM
Vmart wrote:
nixluva wrote:
Nalod wrote:Would you take Potential Tim Duncan vs Potential DAndre Jordan?

Okafor is no Tim Duncan. His defense is nowhere near Duncan's. That's the main difference. It's why he didn't come up higher on the list I posted above.

This is where you are wrong. Your sighting an offensive game that WCS has you never seen before yet you can't see the defense Okafor plays. You are undervaluing Okafor's defense. He played defense to Duke's needs.


That's a good point. I give him some credit for having to hold back some at Duke, but he's not built to be a great defender IMO. He'll improve at the next level but how much? Can OK4 really improve his D at the next level? It's possible.
I think if he was truly a gifted defensive player he could defend more aggressively without fouling. I think his range on D is going to be limited but he should be able to defend better than he did at Duke.
blkexec
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6/17/2015  1:30 PM    LAST EDITED: 6/17/2015  1:31 PM
BRIGGS wrote:
martin wrote:
blkexec wrote:Whats interesting is Steins college stats are very similar to D.Jordans stats from Texas A&M....In fact Steins stats are slightly better than D.Jordan's stats during their freshman year. D.Jordan was one and done, while Stein played another 2 years. So Stein will be coming into the NBA as a more mature player than DJ was, and with a better offensive game and better lateral quickness.

So if you are currently a DJ fan and see his impact on the Clippers, then you should be estatic about Steins potential, which is at least DJs level and higher (according to the stats).

http://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/players/deandre-jordan-1.html#players_per_game::none

I don't watch college bb and only saw Towns, WCS in their last 2 games. My question: how good a defensive player is WCS compared with how good Okafor is on the offensive end?

I just watched the NBA finals and to me the fact that GS discontinued playing Bogut and Fezeli for a more skilled offensive line up and then avg 10 more points per game(which on the series should say a lot) yet their defense did not suffer. Okafor commanded double teams all year WCS was guarded by GUARDS most of the year 1-1. WCS effect on the game on defense by himself was good yet somewhatu nknown as Kentucky had 6 guys 6-10+(Im concerned about WCS post defense) WCS is the better athlete and this is an athletic league but I think Okafor will be a version of Tim Duncan--not quite as good but a version of him and to me that good enough.

GS played to the strength of their roster. Why play big, if their best players are small? The only thing you can use GS for is that roster flexibility is key to winning a championship. Small ball is here to stay, so you have to build up a roster to defend it and score against it.

Ok4 is not the answer to GS small ball. They tried that with Memphis and eventhough it almost worked, almost is only with horseshoes. Ok4 can't handle the speed of GS. He would be on the bench right next to Bogut. Same with D.Jordan......But what intriguing about Stein is that he's a hybrid version. He provides flexibility.....Which goes beyond his defensive impact.

Stein allows you to go small, without losing your rim protector. There was nobody in the playoffs with that level of flexibility. You either played DeAndre Jordan or you sat him.....You either played Mozkof or you sat him. With Stein, he's like that all purpose running back.....He plays on all 4 downs.

Comparing Ok4's impact on offense compared to Stein's impact on defense is a very good question. Nix uses the plus minus stats, which is good. But it really depends on how you plan on using him, and the style of play on offense. I'll have to think about that question Martin! A defensive guy will lean towards Stein.....an Offensive guy would lean towards Ok4. It's the old Offense vs Defense debate. And I'm from the old school, where defense wins championships.

Big ball lineup....Stein plays PF
Small ball lineup....Stein plays Center

Regardless of the lineup, Stein get heavy minutes, which is key when comparing him to the other draft picks. Todays NBA is about flexibility. Thats why GS won the game. They knew playing big ball against Lebron won't work. So they went with small ball all the way to the championship. Next season, they might have to go big ball.....it's all about flexibility! I like both Porzingus and Stein because they provide roster flexibility!

Born in Brooklyn, Raised in Queens, Lives in Maryland. The future is bright, I'm a Knicks fan for life!
nixluva
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6/17/2015  1:42 PM
blkexec wrote:Stein allows you to go small, without losing your rim protector. There was nobody in the playoffs with that level of flexibility. You either played DeAndre Jordan or you sat him.....You either played Mozkof or you sat him. With Stein, he's like that all purpose running back.....He plays on all 4 downs.

Comparing Ok4's impact on offense compared to Stein's impact on defense is a very good question. Nix uses the plus minus stats, which is good. But it really depends on how you plan on using him, and the style of play on offense. I'll have to think about that question Martin! A defensive guy will lean towards Stein.....an Offensive guy would lean towards Ok4. It's the old Offense vs Defense debate. And I'm from the old school, where defense wins championships.

Big ball lineup....Stein plays PF
Small ball lineup....Stein plays Center

Regardless of the lineup, Stein get heavy minutes, which is key when comparing him to the other draft picks. Todays NBA is about flexibility. Thats why GS won the game. They knew playing big ball against Lebron won't work. So they went with small ball all the way to the championship. Next season, they might have to go big ball.....it's all about flexibility! I like both Porzingus and Stein because they provide roster flexibility!

WCS could turn into the ultimate weapon. He's been improving his FT shooting every year and unlike some other Defensive Bigs teams won't really benefit from a Hack A Stein tactic. WCS brings all of the above the rim stuff the others bring but also the End to End and Side to Side mobility and quickness to really defend these small ball teams. If the League is going to have a few more teams going in this direction you're going to need to be able to defend against it. WCS allows your team to be totally flexible.

Knicks1969
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6/17/2015  1:47 PM
Nalod wrote:Would you take Potential Tim Duncan vs Potential DAndre Jordan?

Duncan was an all around basketball player even in college. Other then the post play, There is nothing else to compare about the two.

Thank God Fisher is no longer our coach, now let's get Calderon out of here:)
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6/17/2015  2:05 PM
How much better would GS be if they had a Stein on their roster? In my opinion, They would be even better on defense. They would have swept the Cavs. Tristen Thompson feasted on the front court players GS had out there. With Stein, they would have still been able to run on offense, and protect the paint on defense.
Thank God Fisher is no longer our coach, now let's get Calderon out of here:)
WaltLongmire
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6/17/2015  2:12 PM
Knicks1969 wrote:
Nalod wrote:Would you take Potential Tim Duncan vs Potential DAndre Jordan?

Duncan was an all around basketball player even in college. Other then the post play, There is nothing else to compare about the two.

Duncan also changed his body when he came into the NBA and added some muscle, but he already that great post-up game. He made the changes needed to have an NBA body, but he already had an NBA level game down low.

Curry needs to lose weight, and we all know about an injury that slowed him down. I've been critical of his D


Which is easier to do...

Stein, a fine, active, but sometimes overrated, defender, shows (in games)that he has a clue on the offensive end.

Watch the DraftExpress Kaminsky/Towns/Stein video, and even the Turner vs Kentucky video. He does not have a great touch around the basket, and seems to lose attention to situations at times- getting pushed around by smaller players, at times.

OR

OK4, a guy with the best post game-shooting and passing- coming out of college since Duncan, getting into better shape and losing some weight.

OK4 has instinctive moves and an awareness in the post that you can't teach, and as he matures physically he will be even better.

If Stein was as good as some of you guys think, his name would be mentioned as a top 3 pick.

He is not, and that's why he isn't.

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6/17/2015  2:17 PM
WaltLongmire wrote:
Knicks1969 wrote:
Nalod wrote:Would you take Potential Tim Duncan vs Potential DAndre Jordan?

Duncan was an all around basketball player even in college. Other then the post play, There is nothing else to compare about the two.

Duncan also changed his body when he came into the NBA and added some muscle, but he already that great post-up game. He made the changes needed to have an NBA body, but he already had an NBA level game down low.

Curry needs to lose weight, and we all know about an injury that slowed him down. I've been critical of his D


Which is easier to do...

Stein, a fine, active, but sometimes overrated, defender, shows (in games)that he has a clue on the offensive end.

Watch the DraftExpress Kaminsky/Towns/Stein video, and even the Turner vs Kentucky video. He does not have a great touch around the basket, and seems to lose attention to situations at times- getting pushed around by smaller players, at times.

OR

OK4, a guy with the best post game-shooting and passing- coming out of college since Duncan, getting into better shape and losing some weight.

OK4 has instinctive moves and an awareness in the post that you can't teach, and as he matures physically he will be even better.

If Stein was as good as some of you guys think, his name would be mentioned as a top 3 pick.

He is not, and that's why he isn't.


LOL did you just accidentally call Okafor Eddy Curry?

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WaltLongmire
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6/17/2015  2:38 PM
crzymdups wrote:
WaltLongmire wrote:
Knicks1969 wrote:
Nalod wrote:Would you take Potential Tim Duncan vs Potential DAndre Jordan?

Duncan was an all around basketball player even in college. Other then the post play, There is nothing else to compare about the two.

Duncan also changed his body when he came into the NBA and added some muscle, but he already that great post-up game. He made the changes needed to have an NBA body, but he already had an NBA level game down low.

Curry needs to lose weight, and we all know about an injury that slowed him down. I've been critical of his D


Which is easier to do...

Stein, a fine, active, but sometimes overrated, defender, shows (in games)that he has a clue on the offensive end.

Watch the DraftExpress Kaminsky/Towns/Stein video, and even the Turner vs Kentucky video. He does not have a great touch around the basket, and seems to lose attention to situations at times- getting pushed around by smaller players, at times.

OR

OK4, a guy with the best post game-shooting and passing- coming out of college since Duncan, getting into better shape and losing some weight.

OK4 has instinctive moves and an awareness in the post that you can't teach, and as he matures physically he will be even better.

If Stein was as good as some of you guys think, his name would be mentioned as a top 3 pick.

He is not, and that's why he isn't.


LOL did you just accidentally call Okafor Eddy Curry?


Yup...wow. Might be a major Freudian Slip! Thinking about a worst case situation for OK4. I'm not going to change it- might tell you something about my thinking on him.

I will admit though, as someone involved in coaching a sport where weight is involved (HS Wrestling), I am always looking at a player's bodyweight and how it affects performance, and one fear I do have about OK4 is that he might have an issue with his weight.

I know the Kentucky kids have really worked on their bodies, as has Russell, who worked with them, and Porzingis has gained weight, but it looks like OK4 has significantly changed his body, although there was a photo where people said he looked thinner a while back.

I'm not going to lie and say it is not a concern for me.

Thought his legs looked heavy in the LA workout video. Do we have any body-fat measurements for OK4?

I think he is still much less mature physically than what people think, though. He really seems to be a baby in some ways. Stein has a man's body, and Towns has really sculpted himself, despite his age.

OK4 should not be heavier than 260, IMO, and if he's at that weight he really needs to increase his muscle weight.

EnySpree: Can we agree to agree not to mention Phil Jackson and triangle for the rest of our lives?
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6/17/2015  2:47 PM
WaltLongmire wrote:
crzymdups wrote:
LOL did you just accidentally call Okafor Eddy Curry?

Yup...wow. Might be a major Freudian Slip! Thinking about a worst case situation for OK4. I'm not going to change it- might tell you something about my thinking on him.

I will admit though, as someone involved in coaching a sport where weight is involved (HS Wrestling), I am always looking at a player's bodyweight and how it affects performance, and one fear I do have about OK4 is that he might have an issue with his weight.

I know the Kentucky kids have really worked on their bodies, as has Russell, who worked with them, and Porzingis has gained weight, but it looks like OK4 has significantly changed his body, although there was a photo where people said he looked thinner a while back.

I'm not going to lie and say it is not a concern for me.

Thought his legs looked heavy in the LA workout video. Do we have any body-fat measurements for OK4?

I think he is still much less mature physically than what people think, though. He really seems to be a baby in some ways. Stein has a man's body, and Towns has really sculpted himself, despite his age.

OK4 should not be heavier than 260, IMO, and if he's at that weight he really needs to increase his muscle weight.

I actually somewhat agree. I think he's more driven than Eddy Curry was. But it seems like he's put all his time in working on the skill side of his game and not really on his body. I don't think it'll be a major problem if he finds a good training staff and puts the right kind of work and diet in, but it is something you notice about him.

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The Case for Willie Trill Cauley Stein

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