Posted by fishmike:
its not sloppy thinking.
Sure it is. Mind you, I agree with you about what the Knicks
should have done, 100%. What I don't like is that you (and plenty of other ppl I'm sure) are letting yourself become so upset because now you have the knowledge that the 6th slot won the lotto. You're thinking, "winning a few extra games cost us the first pick!" when you should be thinking "winning a few extra games cost us 3 percentage points." The Knicks really SHOULD have done everything they could to get as high a chance at #1 as possible, but practically speaking, they only cost themselves an extra 3% chance at the pick. And because no one can see the future, the outcome of our extra wins must be evaluated as costing us 3% chance, NOT as costing us the top pick. The same logic that punishes the Knicks for losing the top pick, rather than losing 3% points, should also punish the Jazz and Hornets for winning TOO MANY lottery balls, which is obviously nonsense. You play for the percentages, and your standing should be evaluated only in terms of the percentages-- whatever happens with the actual outcome is just luck, and you should NOT be held accountable for the actual outcome.
Getting worked up over the actual result of this lotto is kind of like opting not to spend 5 bucks on a scratch-and-win lottery ticket, then seeing someone else buy the same ticket and winning a million bucks. Hey, it sucks, and you probably really feel down in the pits if that happens, but you shouldn't-- the chances were so low for you to win, and there's no way you could've known this particular ticket was the winner. You should not think "I cost myself a million bucks"; you should think "I cost myself a small chance at a million bucks, and I
just happened to be unlucky."
And again, I'm not exonerating anyone here-- you can go back on this forum or the NYT forum and you'll see I was 100% for an out-and-out tank. There was certainly no purpose at all in playing Steph ragged and playing to win every game, other than for Herb to push the noose an extra couple of centimeters from his neck. What I am saying is that the actual COST of that poor decision making on the part of the organization as a whole should be regarded as losing a relatively meager 3% chance of winning, NOT as losing the #1 pick.
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