tomverve
Posts: 21407
Alba Posts: 0
Joined: 3/4/2005
Member: #878
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I don't think race has anything to do with it at all. Nash probably won where Kidd didn't because Phoenix's offense this year has been one of the best of all time (yes, much more dominant than NJ's), in an era where defense and slow paced ball has historically been the dominant style of play. Phoenix also had a massive jump in wins compared to last season. These factors combine to make for a big eye-popping effect. I can sort of understand why Nash was chosen, although I think the choice is ridiculous, just like I can sort of understand how an urban-starved country bumpkin might think Las Vegas is the greatest city in the world, although that would be a ridiculous judgment.
On top of that eye-popping effect, we have a severe failure of reason to discriminate what's really behind it. The Suns' huge improvement and impressive season is not due to just Nash's arrival.
First of all, they performed so poorly last season because of injuries to start the season, and the Marbury trade left them short of a whole team for the latter stages. A fairer comparison for how much better this edition of the Suns is would be the Suns team of two seasons ago, which won 44 games. An 18 game improvement is fantastic, but not nearly as drastic as a 33 game improvement.
Secondly, while Nash had a big hand in that improvement, he was not by any stretch the only major reason for it. They also added Quentin Richardson, another potent gunner on the perimeter. But the real coup was coach D'Antoni's unorthodox starting 5, with Amare at C and Marion at PF. That lineup causes huge mismatches for the opposition, because Stoudemire and Marion respectively are so much faster, quicker, and more athletic than Cs and PFs they match up with. Basically, almost every night they have a huge mismatch at the two frontcourt spots, with Marion taking opposing PFs out on the perimeter and driving past them for dunks, and Amare eating the traditional plodding centers for lunch. Combine that with two devestating perimeter players-- Johnson, the deadly accurate sniper and Richardson, the Starks-esque streaky volume scorer-- and really, any competent pass-first PG who can run a bit could have guided that team to 55+ wins. Contrariwise, had D'Antoni gone with a more conventional lineup with a scrub like Jake Voskuhl at center, Amare at PF, Marion at SF, and Q off the bench, the team would have been significantly less successful, even with Nash-- probably much closer to a 55 win team than a 62 win team.
And really, the key that makes it all work is Marion's ability to so ably handle the PF spot with his D and boardwork. Replace Marion with TT, for instance, and that gameplan does not work. So Amare, Marion, and D'Antoni should get a huge share of recognition for the 18 game improvement-- at least as much as Nash himself. And once we recognize all this (which is really not all that hard to recognize, but never put anything past public opinion), Nash is not looking so good anymore. Still excellent, of course, but nowhere near MVP material. He's only a piece in the larger puzzle that has created these eye-popping numbers for Phoenix.
As for Kidd, arguing that he should have won the MVP in 2002 is just as bad. Some fellow by the name of Tim Duncan rightfully won it that year, averaging 25.5 ppg on 50.8 FG% and 79.9 FT%, 12.7 rpg, 3.7 apg, and 2.5 bpg. Or, more succinctly, a dominant 27.0 PER. By comparison, Kidd put up a relatively modest 19.1 PER, largely due to his absolutely terrible shooting accuracy. And really, while Duncan was much more deserving than Kidd, Shaq probably should have taken the MVP that year with his monsterous 29.7 PER. (A PER around 30 is pretty close to what Jordan did in his prime.)
As a side note, Nash's PER this season is a very good 22.5, but that's only good for 15th in the NBA. Not to say that the MVP should be decided by PER, but it's shocking that a guy with a PER so low down the charts could win it. The top 6 are way ahead of Nash-- Garnett (28.8), Duncan (27.6), Shaq (27.5), Amare (27.2), Dirk (26.7), and LeBron (26.3). The next highest is Kobe at 23.8, which makes for a pretty clear demarcation for the truly top flight, first tier players-- an elite club with only 6 members this season. Nash is somewhere in the second tier.
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