Rookie wrote:Chandler wrote:for the life of me I don't see Mitch as a bottom dollar guy; a fair offer and he stays.
I believe Mitchel will get a fair offer, the best we can give and he will stay. He is my priority. His elite defense and rim protection should be overshadowed by the missed free throws. Plus, he’s goofy as hell, fits with this group and just seems like an all around good guy……and loves dogs and trucks😁
The practical situation is this - The five core players from this championship season are all in their 30s. In basic terms, the Knicks get one more season with this core and that's likely it.
Big men do not age at the same relative rate as other position players. Their decline phase is typically much faster and they fall harder. That being said, KAT has floor spacing ability and that's a huge plus. I think the Knicks would be happy to have him for one more season. Then he's too risky to hold onto, they should IMHO let him walk after that.
I love Josh Hart. Everyone loves Josh Hart. He's a critical player for this SPECIFIC franchise. But he's an energy guy and a glue guy and that's a big ask at 22 million a season, with his attrition and age range. Again, one more season is great. After that, I believe the Knicks are better off letting him go.
Anonuby will have a much softer decline phase. Mikal Bridges cost way too many draft picks to let go now. Do I think he was worth 5 first round picks? I believe a championship was worth 5 first round picks, but no other GM in the entire league would have made that deal and there's a reason for that. Brunson I believe will get a "make good" deal from this franchise as a reward for this championship. He's earned the right to be the face of this franchise, even in his decline phase. I don't think his decline will be very pretty to be honest.
If you only have one more season, next season, with this core, then the team, IMHO, is better off seeking outside help that either have deep rapport with the "NovaCorps" pathway OR have some established history with Mike Brown ( either Sacto or his last few years at Golden State), so there's some built in synergy at work, you don't have to start just from scratch.
Mitch Robinson has to be viewed, IMHO, in a VORP perspective. Value Over Replacement Player. Can you get some defense and rim protection, maybe 65-70 percent of what MRob gives you, if he's healthy ( that's a big "IF") at 25-30 percent of the cost? The changes in the CBA make it harder for contenders to get buy out players at the end of the season as "ring chasers" If that avenue was still open, the Spurs would have had more help to hurt the Knicks to be honest.
MRob was invaluable as depth as the Spurs really had no pivots to back up Wemby. But that was for this season and for a very specific matchup. Can he space the floor for you and create gravity? He cannot. So unless he comes back cheap, I believe you let him walk. The Knicks will be outbid and outpriced for Shamet so say goodbye now. But Shamet really was a huge help for this team. But still, the situation doesn't line up again well for a return.
If the Knicks do not repeat next season, the "window" is closed. Their best chance is to take the Eastern Conference, which is still in a fair amount of disarray, and hope for another favorable slate of matchups against specific Western teams that don't mesh well against the Knicks roster.
That's it guys. One more year. One more good run in this team. I certainly love this team, but no one is going to want to love this team as the core roster enters their mid 30s. Brunson, out of respect, and Anonuby, sure and fine. Mikal Bridges is more of a political / perception situation in terms of keeping him longer, but expect Hart and KAT to be gone after next year. If KAT buckles at not getting an extension? Then you trade him. Sad as that sounds. But seems like he wants to try one more year with this core roster.
IMHO, Donte D should be the main target this offseason. They'll need another backup pivot at a cheaper cost. Can they get a Stretch 5? I doubt it, but if they can get 15 minutes a game of league average rim protection with some rim running, that will work. It's not ideal, but it's enough.
If you can get a mini breakout from Diawara and pick up Donte D plus Payton II, that looks strong to me. Not perfect, but strong. You hope someone like Kyle Lowry is willing to give this team maybe 7-8 minutes a game as a backup floor general. That too would be ideal.
None of the Knicks five core guys were drafted by them. Four were trades and Brunson was a street free agent who signed into empty cap space at a huge discount. Team construction this way is never built for longevity. The OKC Thunder as currently constructed are built for a window of about 4-5 years. But that's not this team. This is not a "dynasty" team, it was and is a great current team though, one that we love, but it's not built for distance.