Rookie wrote:martin wrote:Rookie wrote:martin wrote:Rookie wrote:martin wrote:Rookie wrote:martin wrote:Whose minutes are Derozan taking away?Grimes' and RJ's. Literally the 2 guys you want to keep at near 30+ range. I don't see where the minutes come from.
And let's be honest, Derozan did not play well in any of the playoffs he was in during his prime Toronto days. Could have been the team, could have been him, but his shooting and especially his 3pt shooting was putrid. He literally choked multiple times such that his coach sat him during the playoffs.
I'm for making a splash but for a player that ADDS to the roster, not duplicates it.
You start with the obvious, Deuce's minutes. Deuce becomes situational. From there, Some from Grimes and RJ. Neither needs to be playing more than 34+ minutes. At the end of games you got with who is needed and playing well. It's still a 9 man rotation.
Derozan was 2nd in the league in clutch points last season so the Toronto argument doesn't seem that relevant anymore. He is 8th this season. Brunson is 3rd
Derozan is not a 3pt shooter. He averages 1.4 attempts per game this season.
As for adding to the roster and not duplicating, OG Anunoby is 26 before next season. What does he add the Grimes doesn't already do and Grimes is here and barely makes a dent in the salary cap. Who's minutes is Anunoby taking?
Quite frankly, I don't think you are really looking at the numbers and what is best for the team. Look at both sides of the argument instead of just locking in on one side.
For starters, RJ and Grimes are averaging 34 and 30 minutes and McBride is in the 13 minutes range. Take 10 minutes away from each to give to a guy like DeRozan and it's not realistic minutes distribution and you are taking dev minutes away from key guys.
OG can be a PF, to lesson Randle minutes (with the assumption that Obi is going to TOR in that trade), that's his biggest differentiation from Grimes.
Grimes is a SG and POA defender. You want OG along side Grimes. Both are switchable and can guard 1-3 and OG can very easily play PF.
In an ideal situation with OG - and this is my ideal situation realistically - you move RJ to the bench so that he can be an offensive focal point.
It's the same scenario. You are inserting a guy into the rotation who needs starters minutes without removing a player who is getting starters minutes. Exactly the same. OG likes to stand in the corner and either shoot or attack the close out. That is exactly what Grimes already does except Grimes also operates from the top of the key and off the dribble. Anunoby is not as good of a shooter from the top of the arc, he likes the short three from the corner. He is also going to cost more to obtain, so maybe minutes aren't an issue if you are trading Grimes and IQ but I'm not trading those guys for Anunoby. Ujiiri is going to want good young players AND picks ala Ainge. Is Anunoby a FA or RFA after next season?
I'll also argue that when the offense bogs down and can't score, Derozan can get you buckets, create his own shot and create for others. Anunoby ain't doing that
What part of playing PF and also taking Obi's minutes did you miss? I also did mention that I would move RJ to the bench.
In one scenario, DeRozan is taking away minutes from primarily Grimes and RJ.
OG would primarily take minutes away from Randle, Obi, RJ.
Derozan would be getting McBrides minutes, Anunoby Obi's. Obi averages 16 minutes. Grimes averages 13.4 minutes. The balance of the minutes have to come from somewhere else in each scenario.
Can Anunoby create his own shot or create for others? You forgot to address that or the difference in the cost of acquiring either player. OG is going to cost more than Obi if they even want Obi. I can see them wanting IQ and Grimes for OG
You think DeRozan is going to get PF minutes? He is a 6'6" player. The Knicks want to rebound and play defense and pound teams.
I am not addressing the "create your own shot" scenario because you and I are not there, unless you also want to address each of the additional strengths that OG has that DeRozan doesn't, like elite defense.
This is not a zero sum game.
So you also have Brunson. One of the reasons Brunson is playing heavy minutes is because of the fall off with the second unit. IQ can't do it all. IQ, Derozan, Barrett could do some work. You can go small and go with them plus Grimes and Randle at the 5 so you get some of Obi's minutes.
Brunson is averaging 40 minutes the last 10 games. Randle 40. IQ 35. Barrett 37. Grimes 35. Obi 10. This shouldn't be that hard to figure out for a coach as good as Thibs.
13 minutes from Deuce
4 minutes from Brunson
5 minutes from Barrtett
4 minutes from Grimes
4 minutes from Randle/Obi
That's 30 or 26 without Obi/randle minutes. That ain't nothin'. Thibs has been going more with small ball to close games lately so there's minutes to be had there also.
Do you want to go through the same exercise for OG Anunoby because it's the same. All I am saying is you can find the minutes, it not that hard. Maybe a 33 year old Derozan plays 24 minutes? I don't know but I do know it's not as hard as you try to make it sound
For me, the challenge wasn't really to show that you could bring down the rotation minutes for players of what just happened in the last 10 games.
The challenge is does the player make sense over the course of normal rotation minutes - cause a bunch of those last 10 games includes those exact players not playing at all. Brunson missed 2, RJ a bunch, Obi a bunch.
This is the nutshell for me:
DeRozan is not a proven playoff player, he is in fact the opposite, he has SUCKED.
Trading 3 FRPs for a guy who is on the cusp of 34 yo is NUTS (this is not CP3). Trading for the type of player who could leave after a year is also NUTS unless you have long term plans for that player (extending him, and that would mean extending DeMar at ages 35, 36 & 37yo).
Trading for a 33 year old player who will take development minutes away from Grimes, RJ, McBride is WHACK especially when you consider it probably won't make a real dent in your playoff picture (literally maybe DeMar gets you a game or 2 and that's it).
Trading for a player who has the same high Usage as 3 other players on your team is a recipe for DISASTER cause someone is going to lose out in not the good way (the good way is when Brunson takes ball out of Randle's hands).
DeMar's downsides are exactly the type of player you don't want on this team. Defense. Distance shooting. He will bring midrange ISO but that also conflicts with what Brunson and Randle and RJ already bring. I don't think adding that type of offense that is already plentiful on this team is a good idea.
The cost for an OG type will be more, no doubt. But IMHO what he brings and how I envision it maneuvering has a ton more upside than DeMar without all of the downside risks.