gradyandrew wrote:jskinny35 wrote:martin wrote:BigDaddyG wrote:TheGame wrote:If Charlotte gave us a protected 1st round pick too with Heyward, I would do the trade. I have lost all confidence in Randle. He is too turnover prone and just does not seem to be able to handle the pressure of playing in NY. Trade him, move Heyward to the bench and start Obi. Well plus we get another 1st round pick.
I'm down for this. I don't think Charlotte gives up first rounder though.
They ASK for a 1st rounder
You think they would take one of those protected first rounders we just landed at the draft? Hate to give up one of our 1st rounders despite my desire to relocate Randle asap.
What's the downside risk of waiting until the trade deadline to do a deal like this?
The downside could be several things...
Worst Case
Randle implodes during the season and he becomes completely untradeable (last season's behaviors suggest this is possible). We are now stuck with 4 years of a player and end up having to buy him out. We have also wasted another season despite knowing the unlikely probability that Randle would "turn it around" after the previous 2 out of 3 seasons of poor play.
Likely Case
Randle doesn't implode but plays poorly - this negatively impacts team performance and his trade value. In the meantime - we still only have 12 minutes for Obi and our young players that like to push the pace are frustrated. Tension and playing time come to a head with young players - some are moved unnecessarily.
Possible Case
Randle plays decently but with continued ball dominant/ISO style of play and slow pacing - as a result we underachieve and since we can't trade Randle we end up trading young players to compensate for Thibs "win now" approach.
Best Case
Randle matures overnight (despite past), commits to D'Antoni's "7 Seconds or Less" offensive style, and improves both shot selection, efficiency and defensive consistency. As a result we overachieve and hope the maturity and consistency remain for the next 3 seasons.
I think in terms of probability and just don't see many likely scenarios where Randle being here the next 4 seasons will serve the best interest of the team. He's not new to the NBA and it's very hard to change patterns/habits you've worked on your entire life. This is not asking him to develop and outside shot as he gets older. Asking him to defer, change his shot selection, not pout when things don't go his way, not hold the ball, etc... it's a lot to ask of any player IMO.
So I think realizing that we have other options and making a lateral move is the way to go asap.
Maybe a different question would be - what's really the risk if we moved Randle immediately?
Randle hasn't show leadership skills that are invaluable - we have RJ and Brunson who we want to handle the ball more anyway
We play at the slowest pace despite having some decent athletically talented young players
Adding Brunson and allowing RJ more touches can minimize (or possibly) replace the lost points and increase ball movement
We can finally see if Obi is a role player or more. We could offer Cam spot minutes at the 4 as well. Hart/Sims could offer minutes
If I'm wrong and we completely regress we will have played/developed the young players and obtain a much better draft pick in a good one