NardDogNation wrote:Luka Doncic was picked at no.3 just 2 drafts ago and is quite clearly a Hall of Famer. Jayson Tatum was picked no. 3 the year before him and Jaylen Brown the year before Tatum. I would take all 3 of those guys ahead of Randle. So why pretend we can't get a gamechanger at the spot that exceeds Randle's play in the not so distant future?
Because you're also overlooking that there's a reasonable chance of getting someone who never exceeds what Randle has become. Obviously this is for entertainments purposes only and is a meaningless exercise but just for the heck of it, lets go through that last 20 years of #3 picks:
2020 - Ball (ROY, but too early to assess what he will become)
2019 - RJ (too early)
2018 - Luka (it's early but I think we can ID him as a superstar and future HOFer if he stays healthy)
2017 - Tatem (2x all-star, once 3rd team all NBA)
2016 - Brown (1x all-star)
2015 - Jahlil Okafor (major bust)
2014 - Embiid (future HOFer if he stays healthy)
2013 - Otto Porter (bust)
2012 - Bradley Beal (3x all-star, once 3rd team all NBA)
2011 - Enes Kanter (solid role player)
2010 - Derrick Favors (solid role player)
2009 - Harden (future HOFer)
2008 - OJ Mayo (bust)
2007 - Al Horford (5x all star, once 3rd team all NBA)
2006 - Adam Morrison (bust)
2005 - Deron Williams (5x all star, twice 2nd team all NBA)
2004 - Ben Gordon (once sixth man of the year, solid role player)
2003 - Melo (future HOFer)
2002 - Mike Dunleavy (solid role player)
2001 - Pau Gasol (future HOFer)
Julious Randle (one time all-star, once 2nd team all-NBA)
Personally, I don't put a ton of weight on all-star selections, all-league is what matters to me. And everybody has an opinion about who is a better player than Randle. Also some on this list have put in more years than Randle, some fewer years, so with Randle still playing and in his prime, who knows how any of this will shake out at the end of his career. But based on all-league selections there are only six players on this list over the past 20 years who have reach a status in the league that exceeds what Randle has accomplished last year.
If you are of the opinion that Beal or Tatem or Brown are better than Randle, fine. If you are a Randle hater and think this season was a fluke, fine. But lets look at a broad picture and not cherry pick players picked third to make a point. The reality is you would be willing to get rid of Randle in return for 30-50% chance (based on previous draft history) of picking player who MAY end up being better?
We can speculate all day how great this draft is suppose to be and how much "generational" talent is suppose to be available. We've heard this before about other drafts. You never know. One thing I do know, fans fall in love with the unknown because you can projected whatever suits your desires.