SupremeCommander wrote:TheGame wrote:This is a bold strategy for the team, but the problem I see is timing IMO. Both Randle and Mitch are in the last year of their deals. GS would be giving up a lot for two guys they have to try and resign next summer to big contracts. Plus, Randle was only so so in the playoffs and Mitch has not proven he can stay healthy. I don’t think we could do a sign and trade until after FA starts, so the salary situation would be unknown until after the draft. I am not sure GS does that trade unless we added one or two more picks, but I agree they would at least consider it. From our perspective, Wiseman is solid but also unproven. I am not sure I even want Wiggins. We definitely want that pick from GS, and I believe in Toppin enough that I would like to see him get starters minutes. But this trade could set us back 2 years (as Wiseman and Toppin both need at least two more years of development), and I don’t see management making that type of move for a #7 pick, especially when the best two pgs are projected to already be off the board. I think our FO would be more interested in turning the 19 and 21 picks into something high enough to draft Davion Mitchell, who I think could be a longterm solution at PG.
the problem with this deal is we net 1 first round pick. if this is the course of action the Knicks take, they flip Mitch at the deadline for a first. Randle would probably get a better return than Morris at the deadline. So we flip the two best players in the deal to get Andrew 'I have a career PER of under 15 and I'll be making over $30 million next year' Wiggins and be awful next year. Yeah, let's tear it down and wait another 20 years to see a decent team
... 'Trust the proces', martin Hinkie
You are giving virtually no value to the 7th pick and Wiseman. I think it would take a stroke of luck for the Knicks to get GS to agree to a trade like this. I think if you look at this one piece at a time, GSW doesn’t make this trade.
1) I don’t believe the Warriors would trade the 7 straight up for Randle. Especially with only 1 year left on Randle’s contract.
2) I don’t believe the Warriors would trade Mitch Robinson for Wiseman straight up. They get a player that has a low priced option left but give up the higher upside player in the trade.
3) I don’t think the Warriors trade Wiggins for “nothing”, he has asset value even at 30mm. It’s just that positionally, they are better off getting a little bigger for that salary.
4) The Warriors would not swap 14 for 19 in a vacuum.
Here are reasons why they might do this as a whole:
1) They net 10mm on the Wiggins/Randle swap.
2) They net 4.55mm by giving up the 7 pick.
3) They net 8mm in the Robinson/Wiseman swap
4) They net 1mm in the 14/19 swap.
Some of these result in TPEs for them. They could use those to pick up guys like Montrezl Harrell, pulling assets from their conference competition.
They remove a strong competitor for Kelly Oubre from discussion. This increases their likelihood of keeping him using an exception.
The Knicks do this if they believe 2023 is really the next opportunity to sign Top 10 talent. They increase their chance of “developing” top 10 talent while making the most of Randle and Robinson’s contract. They remove the risk that Playoff Randle is actual Randle when the fans are back.
I loved Randle but don’t believe he will be the leader of a championship squad. There are too many forced shots from 18 feet. Almost the same criticism I had of Porzingis. If I knew we would add Kawhi Leonard to Julius Randle this offseason, I would not consider this move, but I’ve come to the conclusion that the talent level of this squad is still middle tier at best. I think the Hawks played really well, but a reinforced Nets team, an upgraded Milwaukee team, a reinvented Sixers squad, Miami, Chicago — a lot of these teams are ahead of the Knicks talent wise.
I think they need to strike while the iron is hot. I don’t believe Randle will have as high an asset value next year. I’m not sure it is reasonable to project further growth from Randle.