TripleThreat wrote:WaltLongmire wrote:It would seem that the Hinkie analytic model does consider preexisting injuries for large players into the metrics he uses for evaluation.
What Hinkies team building model does account for IMHO is "margin of error"
If the 76ers miss on a lottery pick, the guy just doesn't pan out, it's not great news, but they have the warchest and asset base to recover from it.
The Knicks, have so few assets and are so draft pick barren, that this specific draft, there is immense pressure to "hit" on this pick.
Hinkie took the best overall value at the time off the board. If Embiid doesn't pan out, he doesn't. The 76ers are armed to the teeth with more picks to keep trucking along. At least Hinkie has a plan that exploits the current system and he's stuck to it. And he'll be there, if ownership wants him there, for the next decade or two.
Phil Jackson wanted to make the playoffs, failed, then reshifted to tank, only to jeopardize that tanking with a couple of needless wins at the end of the season. He made two heavily criticized trades and now Melo has a no trade clause. He's got one foot out the door to retirement and there's no guarantee he'll even be alive in ten years, much less be the Knicks key decision maker.
I'm pretty sure every team at the top in the draft had to weigh out Embiid's injury situation. But positional value is positional value. Bigs are always valued and valued to the point where teams take risks on them that they wouldn't for smaller players.
What the 76ers are doing and what the Knicks are doing is like night and day.
At the end of the day, would you rather have Phil Jackson as the key decison maker for the past couple of years, or would have rather have had Hinkie?
I think Hinkie as the Knicks GM and head man would have put the Knicks in a far better position compared to Phil Jackson.
I agree with the fact that him missing on Embild doesn't hurt as much since they are armed to the teeth in picks. But at the same this isn't NBA2k. And at some point all these assets are going to have to turn into results on the court. Hinkie is great at collecting assets but can he actually build a team that can win on a night to night basis or a championship?
Boston with less assets acquired KG, Ray Allen, Rondo to put together with Pierce and won a championship. Lakers with less assets acquired Gasol, Bynum, Odom, Ariz to go with Kobe and won multiple championships.
Philly has used 2-3 yrs collecting assets yet still don't have a Pierce or a Kobe. MCW produced but wasn't what they wanted and Embild may not recover from all these injuries. They are basically back to the drawing board again. And there is no guarantee that they get one in this draft either. If Embild panned out at least they would have had a franchise player to put all these assets to use to go along with a top 3 pick for a side kick and actually start building a team. Maybe throw max at a Leonard and use some other assets to get a 4th piece. Utah Jazz have more proven young talent with Favors, Hayward, Gobert, Burks, Burke. As well as Exum, Hood, Booker in the wings. Another lottery pick in this yr draft. A 2017 first from OKC and 2nd from Detroit (Kanter trade) and actual competitive basketball showing improvement. Minny is farther along as well with actual proven basketball talent. Boston has a ton of assets as well going forward, yet made the playoffs in the weak east playing competitive basketball to go along with there young talent and ton of future assets.
https://vote.nba.com/en Vote for your Knicks.