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yeah... DeMarre Carroll is playing himself into a max contract
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BRIGGS
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5/6/2015  2:04 PM
crzymdups wrote:DeMarre Carroll's playoffs stats:

18.9ppg 55.6%fg 46.5%3pt 6.5rpg 2.6apg

for you advanced folks - .234 WS/48 in the playoffs 132 Ortg 105 Drtg .684 TS%


DeMarre is gonna get PAID based on these playoffs.

I think you are close to being dead on. He may not get a pure max(although he might)--but he IS going to get 13mm+ think about it with 12 teams with more than max cap space--can u think of 12 players who will be available? One smart team will offer Demmarre a high amount given these contracts come at a 71% discount. And you're right hes playing like a max player right now. Hes playing just as well or better than Butler or Leonard. He destroyed Danny Greens playoff numbers.

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martin
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5/6/2015  2:10 PM
Haven't seen much of Carrol all year, can he play the 2?
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crzymdups
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5/6/2015  2:13 PM
nixluva wrote:DeMarre is going to be 29 this July. He's having a great playoffs but we have to keep things in perspective. How many teams will be shopping for a 29 yr old role player at SF this summer? He's nice player but let's not get crazy either. Guys like DeMarre, Danny Green and Wesley Matthews are great players to have when you have even better players who can create shots and open things up for them. It's not like you're gonna be giving the ball to these guys and getting out of the way. That's why they don't get the Max.

Agreed in general. But with the cap going up, I think guys like Tobias Harris, Khris Middleton are definitely gonna get maxes, because it locks them into deals that will be VERY reasonable in years 2-5 with the new cap.

I'm not as sure about that next tier, but I think you will see guys like Carroll, Green and Matthews get very rich deals in excess of $10M per year. Matthews would be a max if it weren't for his injury. Carroll and Green could easily get chased by several teams and bid up by a desperate one. They are quality starters who fit in nicely next to a star player. You are absolutely right that they are not the star, but they are great guys to have as third or fourth options in your starting lineup who can shoot and play quality defense. Sort of like Shump, but with offense.

Anyway, we'll see. But the word is a lot of Gms around the league are nervous about the level of contracts people will offer this summer.

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BRIGGS
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5/6/2015  2:15 PM
martin wrote:Haven't seen much of Carrol all year, can he play the 2?

Yes Martin hes a 2-3-4 hybrid. That would help us because we will have Carmelos knee to deal with. But Carroll is getting more expensive by the day

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crzymdups
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5/6/2015  2:19 PM
BRIGGS wrote:
crzymdups wrote:DeMarre Carroll's playoffs stats:

18.9ppg 55.6%fg 46.5%3pt 6.5rpg 2.6apg

for you advanced folks - .234 WS/48 in the playoffs 132 Ortg 105 Drtg .684 TS%


DeMarre is gonna get PAID based on these playoffs.

I think you are close to being dead on. He may not get a pure max(although he might)--but he IS going to get 13mm+ think about it with 12 teams with more than max cap space--can u think of 12 players who will be available? One smart team will offer Demmarre a high amount given these contracts come at a 71% discount. And you're right hes playing like a max player right now. Hes playing just as well or better than Butler or Leonard. He destroyed Danny Greens playoff numbers.

Yeah, you look at Eric Bledsoe getting a max at 14ppg 7apg. He's younger than Carroll and it's a PG league... but...

This summer Phoenix will probably also give a max to Brandon Knight - it locks in a very good young player for a long time at a reasonable deal in the new environment.

I don't know about a true max for Carroll - but yeah $12M starting salary over four years? Absolutely. Kenneth Faried got 4yrs $48M!! Carroll will get at least that from someone.

I think Carroll gets an offer of 4yr $50M from someone. I think some team could come at him with 4yr $60M.

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crzymdups
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5/6/2015  2:23 PM
BRIGGS wrote:
martin wrote:Haven't seen much of Carrol all year, can he play the 2?

Yes Martin hes a 2-3-4 hybrid. That would help us because we will have Carmelos knee to deal with. But Carroll is getting more expensive by the day

yeah, he's 6'8" and can defend multiple positions. I think he's most at home at SF, but I think you can play him next to Melo at the forward or play him at SG.

he'd be a great fit for this team.

honestly, if the Knicks went out and signed Greg Monroe and DeMarre Carroll this off-season and draft Towns, Okafor or Russell, I think that'd be a very good off season.

I'm not sure of the math, but I think the Knicks could offer a starting salary of $15M to Monroe and $12M to Carroll and still have cap room for their draft pick and Shved.

I could live with:

Galloway / Shved / Calderon
Carroll / Hardaway
Melo / Early (Carroll can play here too)
Monroe / Amundson
Towns / Cole (would need to try to add another big here who could play the 4/5 for cheap with a midlevel exception or something)

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nixluva
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5/6/2015  2:49 PM
crzymdups wrote:
BRIGGS wrote:
crzymdups wrote:DeMarre Carroll's playoffs stats:

18.9ppg 55.6%fg 46.5%3pt 6.5rpg 2.6apg

for you advanced folks - .234 WS/48 in the playoffs 132 Ortg 105 Drtg .684 TS%


DeMarre is gonna get PAID based on these playoffs.

I think you are close to being dead on. He may not get a pure max(although he might)--but he IS going to get 13mm+ think about it with 12 teams with more than max cap space--can u think of 12 players who will be available? One smart team will offer Demmarre a high amount given these contracts come at a 71% discount. And you're right hes playing like a max player right now. Hes playing just as well or better than Butler or Leonard. He destroyed Danny Greens playoff numbers.

Yeah, you look at Eric Bledsoe getting a max at 14ppg 7apg. He's younger than Carroll and it's a PG league... but...

This summer Phoenix will probably also give a max to Brandon Knight - it locks in a very good young player for a long time at a reasonable deal in the new environment.

I don't know about a true max for Carroll - but yeah $12M starting salary over four years? Absolutely. Kenneth Faried got 4yrs $48M!! Carroll will get at least that from someone.

I think Carroll gets an offer of 4yr $50M from someone. I think some team could come at him with 4yr $60M.


I'm doubtful about this claim. Which teams are you supposing will go hard for Carroll? The projected cap for 2015-16 is $67,100,000. I think very few teams will be wanting to pay a 29 yr old SF $12 mil, much less $15 mil per.


Salary
Rk Team 2015-16 ▴
1 Philadelphia 76ers $29,848,784
2 San Antonio Spurs $33,659,326
3 New York Knicks $34,947,770
4 Orlando Magic $36,282,694
5 Portland Trail Blazers $39,954,725
6 Boston Celtics $42,301,398
7 Atlanta Hawks $43,637,630
8 Phoenix Suns $43,777,348
9 Dallas Mavericks $44,258,360
10 Detroit Pistons $45,750,517
11 Milwaukee Bucks $48,440,375
12 Toronto Raptors $48,449,074
13 Los Angeles Lakers $48,655,568
14 Memphis Grizzlies $50,475,593
15 Sacramento Kings $54,663,858
16 Utah Jazz $54,755,468
17 New Orleans Pelicans $56,289,291
18 Minnesota Timberwolves $56,678,076
19 Denver Nuggets $61,041,313
20 Indiana Pacers $63,536,742
21 Chicago Bulls $63,965,681
22 Houston Rockets $65,429,339
23 Charlotte Hornets $66,010,313
24 Los Angeles Clippers $69,255,963
25 Washington Wizards $71,455,267
26 Oklahoma City Thunder $78,260,712
27 Miami Heat $80,955,274
28 Golden State Warriors $83,431,816
29 Cleveland Cavaliers $88,274,419
30 Brooklyn Nets $89,603,877
crzymdups
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5/6/2015  3:07 PM
Hey, I hope you are right. Because if he's available for something like 4yrs $32m I hope the Knicks snap him up.
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BRIGGS
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5/6/2015  3:14 PM
nixluva wrote:
crzymdups wrote:
BRIGGS wrote:
crzymdups wrote:DeMarre Carroll's playoffs stats:

18.9ppg 55.6%fg 46.5%3pt 6.5rpg 2.6apg

for you advanced folks - .234 WS/48 in the playoffs 132 Ortg 105 Drtg .684 TS%


DeMarre is gonna get PAID based on these playoffs.

I think you are close to being dead on. He may not get a pure max(although he might)--but he IS going to get 13mm+ think about it with 12 teams with more than max cap space--can u think of 12 players who will be available? One smart team will offer Demmarre a high amount given these contracts come at a 71% discount. And you're right hes playing like a max player right now. Hes playing just as well or better than Butler or Leonard. He destroyed Danny Greens playoff numbers.

Yeah, you look at Eric Bledsoe getting a max at 14ppg 7apg. He's younger than Carroll and it's a PG league... but...

This summer Phoenix will probably also give a max to Brandon Knight - it locks in a very good young player for a long time at a reasonable deal in the new environment.

I don't know about a true max for Carroll - but yeah $12M starting salary over four years? Absolutely. Kenneth Faried got 4yrs $48M!! Carroll will get at least that from someone.

I think Carroll gets an offer of 4yr $50M from someone. I think some team could come at him with 4yr $60M.


I'm doubtful about this claim. Which teams are you supposing will go hard for Carroll? The projected cap for 2015-16 is $67,100,000. I think very few teams will be wanting to pay a 29 yr old SF $12 mil, much less $15 mil per.


Salary
Rk Team 2015-16 ▴
1 Philadelphia 76ers $29,848,784
2 San Antonio Spurs $33,659,326
3 New York Knicks $34,947,770
4 Orlando Magic $36,282,694
5 Portland Trail Blazers $39,954,725
6 Boston Celtics $42,301,398
7 Atlanta Hawks $43,637,630
8 Phoenix Suns $43,777,348
9 Dallas Mavericks $44,258,360
10 Detroit Pistons $45,750,517
11 Milwaukee Bucks $48,440,375
12 Toronto Raptors $48,449,074
13 Los Angeles Lakers $48,655,568
14 Memphis Grizzlies $50,475,593
15 Sacramento Kings $54,663,858
16 Utah Jazz $54,755,468
17 New Orleans Pelicans $56,289,291
18 Minnesota Timberwolves $56,678,076
19 Denver Nuggets $61,041,313
20 Indiana Pacers $63,536,742
21 Chicago Bulls $63,965,681
22 Houston Rockets $65,429,339
23 Charlotte Hornets $66,010,313
24 Los Angeles Clippers $69,255,963
25 Washington Wizards $71,455,267
26 Oklahoma City Thunder $78,260,712
27 Miami Heat $80,955,274
28 Golden State Warriors $83,431,816
29 Cleveland Cavaliers $88,274,419
30 Brooklyn Nets $89,603,877

There is plenty of space there--hes getting ATLEAST 12-13mm and if a team feels they would be left out of free agency and understands that the contracts are really at a discount---I can see on team paying 14-15mm. No team is getting Carrol for 8mm anymore.

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crzymdups
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5/6/2015  3:25 PM
I mean, the guy is putting up numbers that make him look like a highly efficient version of Stephen Jackson right now. Inefficient Stephen Jackson got $8M per year ten years ago. I think Carroll is getting 4yr $50M minimum, maybe 4yr $60M.

Atlanta has new owners with deep pockets though, and cap room. I think they'll face pressure to re-sign Millsap and Carroll and keep together their best team in a while.

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RicanHavok
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5/6/2015  3:28 PM    LAST EDITED: 5/6/2015  3:39 PM
Rumors here in ATL have the Hawks prepared to offer 40 m for 5 years. Basically doubling is his current 4 mil per. If any team is gonna steal him they might have to go 9-10 per.

Edit: Actually being that the Hawks can offer that extra year, he's possibly looking at 10-13 per from other teams. Nice come up!

crzymdups
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5/6/2015  3:36 PM
RicanHavok wrote:Rumors here in ATL have the Hawks prepared to offer 40 m for 5 years. Basically doubling is his current 4 mil per. If any team is gonna steal him they might have to go 9-10 per.

That's good info - thanks.

He's been from the South his whole life, so he may want to stay in that general region.

I think some team will wind up offering more than that, but I'd expect the Hawks to match up to a reasonable number.

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Bonn1997
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5/6/2015  6:21 PM
crzymdups wrote:
RicanHavok wrote:Rumors here in ATL have the Hawks prepared to offer 40 m for 5 years. Basically doubling is his current 4 mil per. If any team is gonna steal him they might have to go 9-10 per.

That's good info - thanks.

He's been from the South his whole life, so he may want to stay in that general region.

I think some team will wind up offering more than that, but I'd expect the Hawks to match up to a reasonable number.


That would be a surprisingly low offer from his own team.
BRIGGS
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5/6/2015  6:25 PM
crzymdups wrote:
RicanHavok wrote:Rumors here in ATL have the Hawks prepared to offer 40 m for 5 years. Basically doubling is his current 4 mil per. If any team is gonna steal him they might have to go 9-10 per.

That's good info - thanks.

He's been from the South his whole life, so he may want to stay in that general region.

I think some team will wind up offering more than that, but I'd expect the Hawks to match up to a reasonable number.

If I was the hawks Id pay up to keep Carroll. They dont have a Carroll in the pipeline--they have C PF and PG's but Carroll is kind of like their Dray Green and in the playoffs he s been a max player. 5 years 55 mm will be a tough number to beat--that puts pressure on teams to go to 4 56-60mm

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callmened
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5/6/2015  6:28 PM
BRIGGS wrote:If I was the hawks Id pay up to keep Carroll. They dont have a Carroll in the pipeline--they have C PF and PG's but Carroll is kind of like their Dray Green and in the playoffs he s been a max player. 5 years 55 mm will be a tough number to beat--that puts pressure on teams to go to 4 56-60mm

now you see why the knicks wont get him. lol. Not only does atlanta need his skill set but im sure he would want to continue with a winning team rather than go back to suffering with a rebuilding team. (dont forget he wasted away in siberia -oops i mean utah)

Knicks should be improved: win about 40 games and maybe sneak into the playoffs. Melo, Rose and even Noah will have some nice moments however this team should be about PORZINGUS. the sooner they make him the primary player, the better
nixluva
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5/6/2015  11:06 PM
callmened wrote:
BRIGGS wrote:If I was the hawks Id pay up to keep Carroll. They dont have a Carroll in the pipeline--they have C PF and PG's but Carroll is kind of like their Dray Green and in the playoffs he s been a max player. 5 years 55 mm will be a tough number to beat--that puts pressure on teams to go to 4 56-60mm

now you see why the knicks wont get him. lol. Not only does atlanta need his skill set but im sure he would want to continue with a winning team rather than go back to suffering with a rebuilding team. (dont forget he wasted away in siberia -oops i mean utah)

Knicks can go higher if they really want him. I don't think he's a high priority for the Knicks tho. Knicks will have about $30 mil with the new cap. They could have a bit more depending on which pick they get and if the Stretch Jose.

knicks1248
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5/6/2015  11:28 PM
nixluva wrote:DeMarre is going to be 29 this July. He's having a great playoffs but we have to keep things in perspective. How many teams will be shopping for a 29 yr old role player at SF this summer? He's nice player but let's not get crazy either. Guys like DeMarre, Danny Green and Wesley Matthews are great players to have when you have even better players who can create shots and open things up for them. It's not like you're gonna be giving the ball to these guys and getting out of the way. That's why they don't get the Max.

How many young teams are in the playoffs, and doesn't every player need room, having shooters on a team will open the floor, thats basically the league today.

ES
yellowboy90
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5/6/2015  11:46 PM
I think a lot will depend on how long a run the Hawks continue to have and if a contender go after Millsap. What if Millsap goes from "Spurs East" to the real mccoy? Houston will also probably try hard to go after Millsap to get that stretch 4 that can bag with Blake.

Does ATL want to lock up an old core?

nixluva
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5/6/2015  11:48 PM
knicks1248 wrote:
nixluva wrote:DeMarre is going to be 29 this July. He's having a great playoffs but we have to keep things in perspective. How many teams will be shopping for a 29 yr old role player at SF this summer? He's nice player but let's not get crazy either. Guys like DeMarre, Danny Green and Wesley Matthews are great players to have when you have even better players who can create shots and open things up for them. It's not like you're gonna be giving the ball to these guys and getting out of the way. That's why they don't get the Max.

How many young teams are in the playoffs, and doesn't every player need room, having shooters on a team will open the floor, thats basically the league today.

Many teams have gone to a 4 out style of play which creates space. That's not really an issue for most teams. The problem for Carroll, Danny Green and Matthews is they are older and many of the teams with cap space aren't buyers. They either have young teams looking to go young or they're old teams looking to keep their own big time free agents.

Then you have to remove teams with space who don't need a starting SG/SF. The market will get smaller when you take all these things into account. That will work in the Knicks favor.

callmened
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5/7/2015  12:07 AM
great point...how old is carroll? 29? would you give him a long term 5 yr commitment?
Knicks should be improved: win about 40 games and maybe sneak into the playoffs. Melo, Rose and even Noah will have some nice moments however this team should be about PORZINGUS. the sooner they make him the primary player, the better
yeah... DeMarre Carroll is playing himself into a max contract

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