Dagger wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:foosballnick wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:mreinman wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:mreinman wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:mreinman wrote:why would any of them have a better chance of draft busting then another?
because some are worse decision makers than others
Really hard to predict this unless a GM has a history of reaching and failing.
You really don't think you can infer anything about a GM's thinking from his trades and signings that would be relevant to drafting?
I guess if they have a history of being old school and relying on old school methodologies such as eye tests and triangles.
A guy like David Kahn who was nontraditional and thought he was a genius was a good example of a bust candidate.
Did you look at the data for the guys you mentioned and how their picks turned out? P
hil has never picked anyone so do you assume that his inexperience may make him more susceptible to a bust?
Where are you going with this? What is your thought process?
So many people are talking about how thankful we should be that we had this bad year. I just wanted to get a sense of how widespread the denial of the possibility that this whole year was wasted is.
Just curious, what were your expectations for this year based on the old roster, no cap space and limited future potential coming in to this year? Even if Melo was not signed and Tyson traded for better return, this year would have likely been wasted.
Inheriting a near .500 team and adding $150 mil in future commitments. Most people were predicting at least 45 wins. I wasn't but they had a reasonable expectation given the above.
In your situation, we'd have double the cap space, more assets (return on Tyson trade), and still the #1 lottery odds.
Who are these people that predicted 45 wins? They don't exist. If you go back to the prediction thread you'll find it is filled with people predicting around 35 wins. There might have been one post in that entire thread, probably from one of the more optimistic fans that you find "delusional", that may have said 45 wins. So no, "most" fans did not think this was a 45 win roster and if they did I'm sure you would have mocked their predictions anyway.
I said 45 wins before Bargs was out for most of the season, THJ had his sophmore slump, Melo had his knee problems and sat out half a season, Calderon had his worst season in many years plus injuries, and JR and Shump got traded.
After 20 plus years of this franchise making the playoffs at any cost or bust, Phil decided to scrap that philosophy, lose games, and go for the highest pick. I doubt anyone saw that coming at the beginning of the season. Was off by 2 games the season before.