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Kevin Love 2 Opt In for 2015-2016
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gunsnewing
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1/14/2015  9:42 AM    LAST EDITED: 1/14/2015  9:43 AM
Both Melo and Bosh are better than Love. Melo is just disgustingly overpaid and his contract might become an albatross as he declines
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fishmike
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1/14/2015  9:46 AM
GustavBahler wrote:
fishmike wrote:Most grossly overrated player.

Didnt like the trade either. Thought they should have kept Wiggins, put him at SF, moved Irving to the 2, let Lebron run the point, and traded Waiters to shore up their frontline. They got Mosgov, but without Love and his contract, they could have done a better job of upgrading their bench, and would have kept their 1st round pick.

exactly. Cavs were picked to win close to 60 games. They are a .500 team. The reason? People thought Love was a star. He's not.
"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
nyk4ever
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1/14/2015  9:52 AM
im late to the party here, but to me, kevin love is a numbers hanger. he's put up great numbers on awful teams his career. no one is saying he's not an all-star level player, but i wouldnt come close to paying him the max. he's awful defensively too.
"OMG - did we just go on a two-trade-wining-streak?" -SupremeCommander
Bonn1997
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1/14/2015  9:53 AM    LAST EDITED: 1/14/2015  10:04 AM
Wow, I'd rank Melo a tier or more below Love but I can see this discussion will go nowhere.
You're making a big deal out of the Cavs being .500 when people thought they might be .700. Newsflash: We're .100 and people thought we'd be .600.
It's a terrible idea to evaluate one player based on the achievements of the 12 man roster anyway. At most, that player is just 20% of the team on the court, and he's really closer to 15% because the player is not on the court every minute.
The Cavs are .500 because ALL three of their big three are having subpar seasons and they're getting zero production from their bench. It makes zero sense that Love gets all the criticism for that team when all of the big 3 are underachieving and their bench is non-existent.
GustavBahler
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1/14/2015  9:57 AM
fishmike wrote:
GustavBahler wrote:
fishmike wrote:Most grossly overrated player.

Didnt like the trade either. Thought they should have kept Wiggins, put him at SF, moved Irving to the 2, let Lebron run the point, and traded Waiters to shore up their frontline. They got Mosgov, but without Love and his contract, they could have done a better job of upgrading their bench, and would have kept their 1st round pick.

exactly. Cavs were picked to win close to 60 games. They are a .500 team. The reason? People thought Love was a star. He's not.

You're right about the David Lee comparison, Lee was also getting benched by MDA (of all people) for his D in the 4th. Looks like he is on the outs in GS. Love would have been a better fit there IMO. I don't believe he is a superstar, but offensively I do believe he is in the upper echelon.

fishmike
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1/14/2015  10:11 AM
Bonn1997 wrote:Wow, I'd rank Melo a tier or more below Love but I can see this discussion will go nowhere.
Show me the #s, achievements, win totals, metrics, win shares, ANYTHING your basing that on. I know its not the eyes...

Its not even close. Even "I hate Melo every day" GunsnEwing admits Melo is a tier ABOVE. Your right the discussion would go nowhere because there isnt much to discuss. Im sure DK could chip in but he also thinks Gallo is better than Melo

"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
Bonn1997
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1/14/2015  10:13 AM    LAST EDITED: 1/14/2015  10:16 AM
fishmike wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:Wow, I'd rank Melo a tier or more below Love but I can see this discussion will go nowhere.
Show me the #s, achievements, win totals, metrics, win shares, ANYTHING your basing that on. I know its not the eyes...

Its not even close. Even "I hate Melo every day" GunsnEwing admits Melo is a tier ABOVE. Your right the discussion would go nowhere because there isnt much to discuss. Im sure DK could chip in but he also thinks Gallo is better than Melo


I can type the exact #s later in the day since I have to get ready for an 11AM meeting. But win shares, wins produced, adjusted plus/minus #s, and offensive and defensive production per 100 possessions are what I look at. I'd have to double check the adjusted plus/minus but I know off the top of my head that all the other #s significantly favor Love.

I'd add to my list that health is part of the reason the Cavs have been disappointing. They have been a .600 team when the big 3 is together.

fishmike
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1/14/2015  10:44 AM
Bonn1997 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:Wow, I'd rank Melo a tier or more below Love but I can see this discussion will go nowhere.
Show me the #s, achievements, win totals, metrics, win shares, ANYTHING your basing that on. I know its not the eyes...

Its not even close. Even "I hate Melo every day" GunsnEwing admits Melo is a tier ABOVE. Your right the discussion would go nowhere because there isnt much to discuss. Im sure DK could chip in but he also thinks Gallo is better than Melo


I can type the exact #s later in the day since I have to get ready for an 11AM meeting. But win shares, wins produced, adjusted plus/minus #s, and offensive and defensive production per 100 possessions are what I look at. I'd have to double check the adjusted plus/minus but I know off the top of my head that all the other #s significantly favor Love.

I'd add to my list that health is part of the reason the Cavs have been disappointing. They have been a .600 team when the big 3 is together.

you obviously didnt include Love's health into your factoring of him being better than Melo. Also take a look at 82games data and see what opposing players do when they are opposite Love vs. Melo. Its not even close. We all agree Melo isnt a lock down defender but look at what opposing players do vs. what they do vs. Love and Love really gets exposed there.

Im going to let this go. If you really think Love is a better player in the NBA than Melo thats your business.

"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
smackeddog
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1/14/2015  10:52 AM
fishmike wrote:Most grossly overrated player.

I can't stand him. He has zero impact on the game- I don't even think he's better than David Lee

mreinman
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1/14/2015  10:52 AM
fishmike wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:Wow, I'd rank Melo a tier or more below Love but I can see this discussion will go nowhere.
Show me the #s, achievements, win totals, metrics, win shares, ANYTHING your basing that on. I know its not the eyes...

Its not even close. Even "I hate Melo every day" GunsnEwing admits Melo is a tier ABOVE. Your right the discussion would go nowhere because there isnt much to discuss. Im sure DK could chip in but he also thinks Gallo is better than Melo

yeah ... you should throw that eye test away. Love is better than Melo in almost every statistical category.

He may not get the crazy (JR) hot streaks like Melo that can earn him player of the x but that is because Love does not need binge shoot like a dikhead to get into games.

Blaming any one player for wins or losses of a team is silly.

I also remember all these same comments about Bosh in year one in Miami while he was getting acclimated. People were even saying that we were so lucky that we got Amare not Bosh.

Love is a very good player and a very good TEAM player.

This prediction: this thread will get bumped down the road by the side who ends up being correct.

so here is what phil is thinking ....
Bonn1997
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1/14/2015  12:42 PM
fishmike wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:Wow, I'd rank Melo a tier or more below Love but I can see this discussion will go nowhere.
Show me the #s, achievements, win totals, metrics, win shares, ANYTHING your basing that on. I know its not the eyes...

Its not even close. Even "I hate Melo every day" GunsnEwing admits Melo is a tier ABOVE. Your right the discussion would go nowhere because there isnt much to discuss. Im sure DK could chip in but he also thinks Gallo is better than Melo


I can type the exact #s later in the day since I have to get ready for an 11AM meeting. But win shares, wins produced, adjusted plus/minus #s, and offensive and defensive production per 100 possessions are what I look at. I'd have to double check the adjusted plus/minus but I know off the top of my head that all the other #s significantly favor Love.

I'd add to my list that health is part of the reason the Cavs have been disappointing. They have been a .600 team when the big 3 is together.

you obviously didnt include Love's health into your factoring of him being better than Melo. Also take a look at 82games data and see what opposing players do when they are opposite Love vs. Melo. Its not even close. We all agree Melo isnt a lock down defender but look at what opposing players do vs. what they do vs. Love and Love really gets exposed there.

Im going to let this go. If you really think Love is a better player in the NBA than Melo thats your business.

82games.com opponent production? OK. It says his opponent production this year is 18.0 and was 15.8 in last year's larger sample. The average is 15.0. So he's a slightly below average defensive player based on that metric. I'm not sure if you were referring to something else on 82games.com. I see this year his opponent has a 54% efg%, which is worse than average (50%). But Love is also getting FIVE more rebounds per 48 min than the man he's guarding. The defensive rebounding is significantly helping Love's defensive #s. He's giving up 4 more made shots per 100 than the average defender, which basically would mean 1 more shot every 2 to 3 games. In contrast, he's out-rebounding his man by about 4 per game.

Based on basketball reference's per 100 #s, defensively he gives up 106, which is average or slightly better than average. In contrast, he contributes 117 points per 100 possessions.

In terms of your comment on the eyes, we see what we expect to see. With Melo, I see a guy who scores a lot of points but doesn't contribute beyond average production anywhere else. With Love, I see a guy who does the same but at least adds a ton of rebounds. Love does score more efficiently than Melo but I doubt that's something the human eye will pick up on. Last year, Love got a ton of assists too but that seems to have stopped.

Bonn1997
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1/14/2015  12:44 PM
smackeddog wrote:
fishmike wrote:Most grossly overrated player.

I can't stand him. He has zero impact on the game- I don't even think he's better than David Lee

Are you serious? You're not even going to make an argument? He's the biggest change the T-Wolves made and they're going to win 30 less games. You're saying zero of those 30 are due to losing Love? That's not plausible

smackeddog
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1/14/2015  1:00 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
smackeddog wrote:
fishmike wrote:Most grossly overrated player.

I can't stand him. He has zero impact on the game- I don't even think he's better than David Lee

Are you serious? You're not even going to make an argument? He's the biggest change the T-Wolves made and they're going to win 30 less games. You're saying zero of those 30 are due to losing Love? That's not plausible

You can't use that argument- how many players that played in last years team are playing at the moment and haven't been out injured? Why are you claiming he's the main change they've made? We can't determine that, they're a completely different team this year- see how few of last years players are still on the roster:


Rubio (out injured)
Love (traded)
Brewer (traded)
K-Mart (Injured)
Pekovic (injured)
Cunningham (traded)
Barea (cut)
Dieng
Mbah a Moute (traded)
Budinger
Shved (traded)
Turiaf (traded)
Williams (traded)
Price (gone)
Muhammad

But yeah, lets pretend Kevin Love is the only important change that affected things! That's my problem with you these days- you pretend to be all scientific, but really you shamelessly twist the info to suit your feelings. i don't have a problem with you arguing from your gut, but at least be honest thats what you're doing.

LivingLegend
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1/14/2015  1:03 PM
F500ONE wrote:Hoopshype.com right now

http://www.cleveland.com/cavs/index.ssf/2015/01/cleveland_cavaliers_forward_ke_1.html


Kind of odd, would this be like taking a paycut for a yr

I have to assume most certainly he would have received Max


He's only scheduled to make $16.7mil next season

I wonder if fans look at Greg Monroe at Max even more differently if this holds true

This is the safest thing for Love to say right now as it keeps people off his back.

If he says I'm opting out -- that opens up an whole can of worms in terms of is he staying or is he going.

LivingLegend
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1/14/2015  1:05 PM
I get some of the Love hate or Love doubters on here -- I'm not quite sure what to make of him either but when I watch him play I see a guy that plays the right way.

I don't know about you guys but if we went into next year with a front line of Towns/Love/Melo playing in and passing/shooting the ball out of the triangle -- we might be pretty good.

mreinman
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1/14/2015  1:13 PM    LAST EDITED: 1/14/2015  1:18 PM
smackeddog wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
smackeddog wrote:
fishmike wrote:Most grossly overrated player.

I can't stand him. He has zero impact on the game- I don't even think he's better than David Lee

Are you serious? You're not even going to make an argument? He's the biggest change the T-Wolves made and they're going to win 30 less games. You're saying zero of those 30 are due to losing Love? That's not plausible

You can't use that argument- how many players that played in last years team are playing at the moment and haven't been out injured? Why are you claiming he's the main change they've made? We can't determine that, they're a completely different team this year- see how few of last years players are still on the roster:


Rubio (out injured)
Love (traded)
Brewer (traded)
K-Mart (Injured)
Pekovic (injured)
Cunningham (traded)
Barea (cut)
Dieng
Mbah a Moute (traded)
Budinger
Shved (traded)
Turiaf (traded)
Williams (traded)
Price (gone)
Muhammad

But yeah, lets pretend Kevin Love is the only important change that affected things! That's my problem with you these days- you pretend to be all scientific, but really you shamelessly twist the info to suit your feelings. i don't have a problem with you arguing from your gut, but at least be honest thats what you're doing.

you know that Ricky Rubio (who is at the top of your list and who I was VERY WRONG about) has been one of the biggest busts in the NBA?

Pekovic is a good player but isn't interesting how bad he has been without Love stretching the floor?

The only reason that Minny won ANY games was because they had love. Without him they have/had one of the leagues worst squads and could not shoot a LICK (other than KMart)!

kevin Martin is a good player though and him being out really does affect wins as well.

so here is what phil is thinking ....
Bonn1997
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1/14/2015  1:16 PM    LAST EDITED: 1/14/2015  1:20 PM
smackeddog wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
smackeddog wrote:
fishmike wrote:Most grossly overrated player.

I can't stand him. He has zero impact on the game- I don't even think he's better than David Lee

Are you serious? You're not even going to make an argument? He's the biggest change the T-Wolves made and they're going to win 30 less games. You're saying zero of those 30 are due to losing Love? That's not plausible

You can't use that argument- how many players that played in last years team are playing at the moment and haven't been out injured? Why are you claiming he's the main change they've made? We can't determine that, they're a completely different team this year- see how few of last years players are still on the roster:


Rubio (out injured)
Love (traded)
Brewer (traded)
K-Mart (Injured)
Pekovic (injured)
Cunningham (traded)
Barea (cut)
Dieng
Mbah a Moute (traded)
Budinger
Shved (traded)
Turiaf (traded)
Williams (traded)
Price (gone)
Muhammad

But yeah, lets pretend Kevin Love is the only important change that affected things! That's my problem with you these days- you pretend to be all scientific, but really you shamelessly twist the info to suit your feelings. i don't have a problem with you arguing from your gut, but at least be honest thats what you're doing.

*By no means* did I say he's the only change. I said biggest, and I think most people would say he's a more important player than Cunningham or any of the other guys you listed. You still haven't cited *anything* to support your claim that he's a zero impact player.
I've been pretty clear that I wouldn't even use team w-l record to evaluate a player. The only reason I even mentioned the win decline is that team w-l is usually the most common criticism people have of Love. I was just bringing it up pre-emptively and it probably wasn't a good idea because it's steering the discussion away from the much more important metrics available (see discussion with Fish)

gunsnewing
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1/14/2015  1:20 PM
mreinman wrote:
smackeddog wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
smackeddog wrote:
fishmike wrote:Most grossly overrated player.

I can't stand him. He has zero impact on the game- I don't even think he's better than David Lee

Are you serious? You're not even going to make an argument? He's the biggest change the T-Wolves made and they're going to win 30 less games. You're saying zero of those 30 are due to losing Love? That's not plausible

You can't use that argument- how many players that played in last years team are playing at the moment and haven't been out injured? Why are you claiming he's the main change they've made? We can't determine that, they're a completely different team this year- see how few of last years players are still on the roster:


Rubio (out injured)
Love (traded)
Brewer (traded)
K-Mart (Injured)
Pekovic (injured)
Cunningham (traded)
Barea (cut)
Dieng
Mbah a Moute (traded)
Budinger
Shved (traded)
Turiaf (traded)
Williams (traded)
Price (gone)
Muhammad

But yeah, lets pretend Kevin Love is the only important change that affected things! That's my problem with you these days- you pretend to be all scientific, but really you shamelessly twist the info to suit your feelings. i don't have a problem with you arguing from your gut, but at least be honest thats what you're doing.

you know that Ricky Rubio (who is at the top of your list and who I was VERY WRONG about) has been one of the biggest busts in the NBA?

Pekovic is a good player but isn't interesting how bad he has been without Love stretching the floor?

The only reason that Minny won ANY games was because they had love. Without him they have/had one of the leagues worst squads and could not shoot a LICK (other than KMart)!

kevin Martin is a good player though and him being out really does affect wins as well.

Good point about pekovic. He was a beast playing next to Love

Nalod
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1/14/2015  1:26 PM
2nd tier all stars make max. Reality.

How many 1st tier stars are there?

nixluva
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1/14/2015  2:11 PM
I guarantee you that if Melo and Lebron were on the same team they don't end up .500. People can hate on Melo but really he hasn't played with anyone on the level of players Lebron has played with in Miami and most assuredly if he was on the same team as Lebron it would make a huge difference. Melo and Lebron on the strong side would totally warp any defense and leave a kid like Kyrie wide open. A two man game with Melo and Lebron would be insane.
Kevin Love 2 Opt In for 2015-2016

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