BRIGGS wrote:TripleThreat wrote:BRIGGS wrote:Can we get a 1st round pick in 2015 and a few 2's --I think we can. Lets wait and see which contender might be willing to give up assets for Sammy D Shumpert Prigs etc.. at the deadline. Would a team trending in the pick 24 or later period give up a 1 for a combo of Prigs and Dalembart or another team give up a couple of 2's etc.... or if we take back salary---I'm sure it can be done and at aworst we should be able to bring back a few 2's. I know we are not grabbing a high pick--but my goal would be something that would trend 22 to 28 and or future 2's.
1) Most of the draft prospects you are listing out will not be available in the 22-28 range. What are the odds the Knicks find a rotation player, much less a franchise type player, in that part of the draft, at the kind of cost you are pushing ( "taking back salary" which is code for bad contracts)
2) You are listing Knick players that have close to no trade value. Phil Jackson has already tried to trade every single player on his roster not named Melo. He didn't even try to hide that fact. Even right after the Dallas deal, every last guy in that deal, beyond the two picks, were up for re-trade.
Many reserves on most teams would be starters on the Knicks, that means the Knicks roster is of little to no trade value to most other NBA teams ( i.e. why trade assets when a guy on your bench has more value or upside?)
3) You are citing one of the major pitfalls of getting picks of any kind under the current conditions, likely they will come back with "taking back salary" The Knicks have played this game before, taking other team's aging roster problems and contracts. Why would the Knicks, after a chance to free themselves of STAT and Bargs contracts, went to lock themselves again into aging bad contract type players?
I'm not here to break your balls, Briggs, but look at it practically. The Knicks have a statistically low chance to get a top pick in the 2015 draft. Their projected wins ( some from sources and analysts are who are usually very close on the money) put the Knicks outside that practical lottery range. They have no assets in place to entice another team to trade them another lottery pick ( the same reason the Knicks would want another pick is the same reason a team already picking there would rather have that player the Knicks hope to get) The only currency in place is likely to be future draft choices ( how jettisoning those in deals worked out for the Knicks?) and/or taking back bad contracts ( again, how has that worked out for the Knicks?)
Shit, you don't have to even take my word for it, look at recent draft history and recent league trade history. The Knicks are not getting a late 1st for Sammy D and Prigs. And like many of these hypothetical trade scenarios, even if a team was moving a late first rounder, THERE ARE 30 OTHER TEAMS THAT COULD OFFER A BETTER PACKAGE IN RETURN. Too many of these trade hypotheticals work in a vacuum where the Knicks must be the only possible trade partner.
After Philly--Im not sure we are not the next worst team. Maybe maybe not--hopefully we end up there or close to it. How can anyone watch this team and think that we are anything more than one of the 5 worst NBA teams. Can the Knicks get additional picks--well first off everything on these threads are hypothetical--thats why they are here. If the Knicks made a move where they traded an ending contract to Denver for instance for the contract of Javale Mcgee--I think we'd be asking for an unrestricted number 1 pick and a choice of one of Nurkic or Greene. Would I take Nurkic and a number 1 pick to lose out on free agency next year---Personally I would. But we have no clue what Phil J's plan is--we could make it a draft year this year by going all in by taking back large bad contracts for 2015 from 1-2 teams in return for what will likely be solid mid to low lottery picks aka 10-20. If we can trade our vets for a few 2's spread out over 2015-2017 it will fill our coffers for all of the picks we gave up sans the 2016 #1. IF we hit a great draft and followed up by having the cash to take on two maximum players in 2016---it might make the best sense. We have ending contracts AND an ability to bring back so called bad contracts for atleast 1 year. This would yield first rounders. Im not advocating stinking in 2015 either--Im just going to a potential different street in retooling. IF I felt I could get 2-3 frontcourt players that I wanted for the future a promising big PG and a couple of 2's spread over 2015=2017--Id be content removing myself from FA next year. Ill give examples
Trade #1 The ending contract of Bargnani and Cleanthony Early for Javalle Mcgee Denver's 2015 pick restricted to 3 in 2015 a 2016 2nd rounder and Eric Greene
Trade #2 The ending contract of Amare Stoudemire and 3mm in cash for Eric gordon Russ Smith Austin Rivers for a top 3 restricted pick in 2016 and a top 10 restricted pick in 2018
I doubt we get Nurkic and a first rounder for assuming Javale McGee's contract. He's only on the books for one more season and can still be productive in spite of his knuckleheadedness.
The Nuggets are a hard peg though. They are at a crossroads where they could try and salvage their roster or could blow it up completely, which makes it difficult to project what they'd be willing to do. However, they have shown to be very frugal in the past, dealing a prime-Marcus Camby for a 2nd rounder that never materialized. So it may be possible that they are so cheap that they give up a first rounder to move McGee. If they are, I would imagine that they'd need more assets in return, which again, is hard to predict because they can go either way with that team.
I think it's far more likely to get a first rounder out of the Pelicans because Dell Demps is the epitome of incompetence and may be on the hot-seat. To save his job, I think he'd agree to any deal that marginally improves his team and its projected outlook. But two potential lottery picks to dump Eric Gordon seems like overkill, even by their track record of ineptitude. I think the market, more or less, has already been set by a similar trade that sent Ben Gordon, formerly of the Detriot Pistons, his extra year of salary and a (top 8 protected) 2014 pick to the Bobcats for Corey Maggette's expirer. The Bobcats/Hornets lucked out in that deal because that 2014 pick inevitably became the 9th selection, Noah Vonleh. Hopefully we could have a stroke of luck like that, which undeservingly lands us in the lottery.
I think a deal in a similar vein could be made between the Knicks and Pelicans that sends Iman Shumpert, JR Smith and Bargnani to NO for Eric Gordon, Jimmer Fredette a top 6 protected pick in the 2015 draft and some unprotected second round picks.