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Bonn1997
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11/2/2014  9:29 AM
F500ONE wrote:
mreinman wrote:we need a TS of 58+ as all the cool/smart/non-hasbeens people keep saying.


Consistently being 56% or above is better than league average

But according to last year 58%+ TS[35gms] produced results of


20-15 record 20-15>22-17[slimmest of margin]


Advanced stats are cute but Hella aren't they

My point is if TS% was a huge barometer


We should see a greater disparage of distance correlation

TS% in comparison to FG%


56% is great...
if you're making $8 mil a year.
Or if you're also excelling in rebounds, assists, or a few other categories.
AUTOADVERT
mreinman
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11/2/2014  11:54 AM
dk7th wrote:
mreinman wrote:
dk7th wrote:
F500ONE wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
F500ONE wrote:Do me a favor what were these numbers

5th game of the 2013-2014 season

Link if you want to look stuff up on your own.
http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/a/anthoca01/gamelog/2014/

58 TS%
57 efg%
26.9 Ast%
31.4 Usage%
120 O-rating


Okay so obviously he's been close

To those initial numbers in first post last year and early last year


Which would be the case probably for his career

But here's a funny little tidbit


In games where Carmelo's TS was 57% or better[43gms]

Knicks record was 24-19


In games where Carmelo's FG% was 47% or higher[39gms]

Knicks record was 22-17


22-17>24-19 by %[slimmest of margin]


Like I said just highlight his FG% and maybe his ast, ast/to

That's all we really need to know, the advanced stats are


For extra entertainment to kill time and alleviate boredom


What we need is for him to shoot 47-50% or better

In more than half the games on the schedule


Fill up the box scores as best he can elsewhere

there's a somewhat hidden salutary effect to a higher TS% which is that it ultimately contributes better to offensive cohesion and morale. in other words dudes will enjoy playing with you more when you score efficiently and less selfishly.

excelling at defense can have a similar effect.

the positivity of this increases over time.

TS% becomes vitally important come playoff time because you need increased trips to the line.

+1

three point shooting is also crucial. He is an excellent three point shooter when he shoots them off kick outs.

3's and 2's are valued equally with FG% which is very misleading.

I don't want him taking bad threes but he needs to take advantage of the efficient ones.

there is no doubt that he has a beautiful shot just as there is no doubt he is in love with himself. a good coach and a good system to boot should "force" better shots his way. catch and shoots are not as glamorous but he is far more effective at them than many other shots he e unfortunate habit of taking, with the notable exception of his right baseline fadeaway. that is a shot he should be taking late in games especially. don't think we will see too many elbow-range shots off two screens going right to left this season, but that too was an effective shot for him.

one other thing i'd love to see him develop if an old dog can be taught a new trick is NOT leaving his feet on every damned drive and finding some pocket pass opportunities.

the reason why he is leaving his feet on those passes is because his intent is to not pass and he is only passing as a last resort.

I would love to see him attempt to create with intent to actually pass, not to just pass as a last resort. I don't think he can allow himself to attempt to create (initially) a shot for anyone before himself.

so here is what phil is thinking ....
mreinman
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11/2/2014  11:56 AM
F500ONE wrote:
mreinman wrote:we need a TS of 58+ as all the cool/smart/non-hasbeens people keep saying.


Consistently being 56% or above is better than league average

But according to last year 58%+ TS[35gms] produced results of


20-15 record 20-15>22-17[slimmest of margin]


Advanced stats are cute but Hella aren't they

My point is if TS% was a huge barometer


We should see a greater disparage of distance correlation

TS% in comparison to FG%

no idea what you mean here

so here is what phil is thinking ....
dk7th
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USA
11/2/2014  12:36 PM
mreinman wrote:
dk7th wrote:
mreinman wrote:
dk7th wrote:
F500ONE wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
F500ONE wrote:Do me a favor what were these numbers

5th game of the 2013-2014 season

Link if you want to look stuff up on your own.
http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/a/anthoca01/gamelog/2014/

58 TS%
57 efg%
26.9 Ast%
31.4 Usage%
120 O-rating


Okay so obviously he's been close

To those initial numbers in first post last year and early last year


Which would be the case probably for his career

But here's a funny little tidbit


In games where Carmelo's TS was 57% or better[43gms]

Knicks record was 24-19


In games where Carmelo's FG% was 47% or higher[39gms]

Knicks record was 22-17


22-17>24-19 by %[slimmest of margin]


Like I said just highlight his FG% and maybe his ast, ast/to

That's all we really need to know, the advanced stats are


For extra entertainment to kill time and alleviate boredom


What we need is for him to shoot 47-50% or better

In more than half the games on the schedule


Fill up the box scores as best he can elsewhere

there's a somewhat hidden salutary effect to a higher TS% which is that it ultimately contributes better to offensive cohesion and morale. in other words dudes will enjoy playing with you more when you score efficiently and less selfishly.

excelling at defense can have a similar effect.

the positivity of this increases over time.

TS% becomes vitally important come playoff time because you need increased trips to the line.

+1

three point shooting is also crucial. He is an excellent three point shooter when he shoots them off kick outs.

3's and 2's are valued equally with FG% which is very misleading.

I don't want him taking bad threes but he needs to take advantage of the efficient ones.

there is no doubt that he has a beautiful shot just as there is no doubt he is in love with himself. a good coach and a good system to boot should "force" better shots his way. catch and shoots are not as glamorous but he is far more effective at them than many other shots he e unfortunate habit of taking, with the notable exception of his right baseline fadeaway. that is a shot he should be taking late in games especially. don't think we will see too many elbow-range shots off two screens going right to left this season, but that too was an effective shot for him.

one other thing i'd love to see him develop if an old dog can be taught a new trick is NOT leaving his feet on every damned drive and finding some pocket pass opportunities.

the reason why he is leaving his feet on those passes is because his intent is to not pass and he is only passing as a last resort.

I would love to see him attempt to create with intent to actually pass, not to just pass as a last resort. I don't think he can allow himself to attempt to create (initially) a shot for anyone before himself.

so you are saying that he is able but unwilling? i don't like players going in there without a plan-- they are too predictable and frankly easier to defend.

only guy i have seen who can leave his feet and still create is lebron and even then it isn't that effective as he usually is passing to a jumpshooter and not a cutter.

knicks win 38-43 games in 16-17. rose MUST shoot no more than 14 shots per game, defer to kp6 + melo, and have a usage rate of less than 25%
mreinman
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11/2/2014  1:21 PM
dk7th wrote:
mreinman wrote:
dk7th wrote:
mreinman wrote:
dk7th wrote:
F500ONE wrote:
newyorknewyork wrote:
F500ONE wrote:Do me a favor what were these numbers

5th game of the 2013-2014 season

Link if you want to look stuff up on your own.
http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/a/anthoca01/gamelog/2014/

58 TS%
57 efg%
26.9 Ast%
31.4 Usage%
120 O-rating


Okay so obviously he's been close

To those initial numbers in first post last year and early last year


Which would be the case probably for his career

But here's a funny little tidbit


In games where Carmelo's TS was 57% or better[43gms]

Knicks record was 24-19


In games where Carmelo's FG% was 47% or higher[39gms]

Knicks record was 22-17


22-17>24-19 by %[slimmest of margin]


Like I said just highlight his FG% and maybe his ast, ast/to

That's all we really need to know, the advanced stats are


For extra entertainment to kill time and alleviate boredom


What we need is for him to shoot 47-50% or better

In more than half the games on the schedule


Fill up the box scores as best he can elsewhere

there's a somewhat hidden salutary effect to a higher TS% which is that it ultimately contributes better to offensive cohesion and morale. in other words dudes will enjoy playing with you more when you score efficiently and less selfishly.

excelling at defense can have a similar effect.

the positivity of this increases over time.

TS% becomes vitally important come playoff time because you need increased trips to the line.

+1

three point shooting is also crucial. He is an excellent three point shooter when he shoots them off kick outs.

3's and 2's are valued equally with FG% which is very misleading.

I don't want him taking bad threes but he needs to take advantage of the efficient ones.

there is no doubt that he has a beautiful shot just as there is no doubt he is in love with himself. a good coach and a good system to boot should "force" better shots his way. catch and shoots are not as glamorous but he is far more effective at them than many other shots he e unfortunate habit of taking, with the notable exception of his right baseline fadeaway. that is a shot he should be taking late in games especially. don't think we will see too many elbow-range shots off two screens going right to left this season, but that too was an effective shot for him.

one other thing i'd love to see him develop if an old dog can be taught a new trick is NOT leaving his feet on every damned drive and finding some pocket pass opportunities.

the reason why he is leaving his feet on those passes is because his intent is to not pass and he is only passing as a last resort.

I would love to see him attempt to create with intent to actually pass, not to just pass as a last resort. I don't think he can allow himself to attempt to create (initially) a shot for anyone before himself.

so you are saying that he is able but unwilling? i don't like players going in there without a plan-- they are too predictable and frankly easier to defend.

only guy i have seen who can leave his feet and still create is lebron and even then it isn't that effective as he usually is passing to a jumpshooter and not a cutter.

Yes. That is what I am saying.

He creates everything for himself and if he can get his shot off, he passes as a safety valve.

I would like to see him create to pass which I am sure that he can do (if he wanted to)

This is how Melo gets his turnovers. He commits to his own shot too easily and predictably.

so here is what phil is thinking ....
F500ONE
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11/2/2014  2:04 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
F500ONE wrote:
mreinman wrote:we need a TS of 58+ as all the cool/smart/non-hasbeens people keep saying.


Consistently being 56% or above is better than league average

But according to last year 58%+ TS[35gms] produced results of


20-15 record 20-15>22-17[slimmest of margin]


Advanced stats are cute but Hella aren't they

My point is if TS% was a huge barometer


We should see a greater disparage of distance correlation

TS% in comparison to FG%


56% is great...
if you're making $8 mil a year.
Or if you're also excelling in rebounds, assists, or a few other categories.

If you make $8mil/yr you're better than average

Point is even great players have had yrs of 56% TS


I also said 56% TS or better and my cutoff

For the exercise was 57% TS, which means obviously you want Melo


To be above average at the same time we have to be realistic too

Bonn1997
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Member: #581
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11/3/2014  4:54 AM
Right now, his scoring and passing are very good. From an advanced stats perspective, the defensive ratings and rebounding are a problem though. Your starting PF can't take 3 games to get 8 rebounds.
yellowboy90
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11/3/2014  9:51 AM
Bonn1997 wrote:Right now, his scoring and passing are very good. From an advanced stats perspective, the defensive ratings and rebounding are a problem though. Your starting PF can't take 3 games to get 8 rebounds.

Good thing he is not the starting PF. His rebounding has been unusually poor though.

Bonn1997
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11/3/2014  10:35 AM    LAST EDITED: 11/3/2014  10:35 AM
yellowboy90 wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:Right now, his scoring and passing are very good. From an advanced stats perspective, the defensive ratings and rebounding are a problem though. Your starting PF can't take 3 games to get 8 rebounds.

Good thing he is not the starting PF. His rebounding has been unusually poor though.


Fair enough. Acy is listed as an SF on sites but is the PF. Melo is rebounding like a PG right now though. It's too soon make much out of any of these numbers anyway
mreinman
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11/3/2014  10:54 AM
Bonn1997 wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:Right now, his scoring and passing are very good. From an advanced stats perspective, the defensive ratings and rebounding are a problem though. Your starting PF can't take 3 games to get 8 rebounds.

Good thing he is not the starting PF. His rebounding has been unusually poor though.


Fair enough. Acy is listed as an SF on sites but is the PF. Melo is rebounding like a PG right now though. It's too soon make much out of any of these numbers anyway

He is not missing enough shots for him to get his own rebounds.

so here is what phil is thinking ....
Splat
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11/3/2014  11:01 AM
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:Right now, his scoring and passing are very good. From an advanced stats perspective, the defensive ratings and rebounding are a problem though. Your starting PF can't take 3 games to get 8 rebounds.

Good thing he is not the starting PF. His rebounding has been unusually poor though.


Fair enough. Acy is listed as an SF on sites but is the PF. Melo is rebounding like a PG right now though. It's too soon make much out of any of these numbers anyway

He is not missing enough shots for him to get his own rebounds.

Funny response, but actually a real insight. Melo's rebounding numbers are always boosted by him chasing his own misses, more so than most players I have ever seen.

I've got a fever and the only prescription is more cowbell!
mreinman
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11/3/2014  11:05 AM
Splat wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:Right now, his scoring and passing are very good. From an advanced stats perspective, the defensive ratings and rebounding are a problem though. Your starting PF can't take 3 games to get 8 rebounds.

Good thing he is not the starting PF. His rebounding has been unusually poor though.


Fair enough. Acy is listed as an SF on sites but is the PF. Melo is rebounding like a PG right now though. It's too soon make much out of any of these numbers anyway

He is not missing enough shots for him to get his own rebounds.

Funny response, but actually a real insight. Melo's rebounding numbers are always boosted by him chasing his own misses, more so than most players I have ever seen.

2-3 a game.

Guys like Ben Wallace and Rodman probably had 5-6 a game.

Undersized bulldozers for their position usually get this rebounds.

Less bully ball = fewer rebounds. But ... not sure why he is not getting ANY rebounds (aside from that HUGE rebound at the end).

Maybe THJ is rubbing off on him (probably the worst rebounder in the league).

so here is what phil is thinking ....
Splat
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11/3/2014  11:09 AM
mreinman wrote:
2-3 a game.

Guys like Ben Wallace and Rodman probably had 5-6 a game.

Undersized bulldozers for their position usually get this rebounds.

Less bully ball = fewer rebounds. But ... not sure why he is not getting ANY rebounds (aside from that HUGE rebound at the end).

Maybe THJ is rubbing off on him (probably the worst rebounder in the league).

During the game thread, one guy was calling people Melo haters because we were talking about the things he could do to improve his game. It was just damn weird. He's paid $124M. For that money, I not only want my 25 points a game, I also want a handful of assists, a clutch of rebounds, a steal or two and my bread buttered with blueberry jam.

I've got a fever and the only prescription is more cowbell!
mreinman
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11/3/2014  11:15 AM
Splat wrote:
mreinman wrote:
2-3 a game.

Guys like Ben Wallace and Rodman probably had 5-6 a game.

Undersized bulldozers for their position usually get this rebounds.

Less bully ball = fewer rebounds. But ... not sure why he is not getting ANY rebounds (aside from that HUGE rebound at the end).

Maybe THJ is rubbing off on him (probably the worst rebounder in the league).

During the game thread, one guy was calling people Melo haters because we were talking about the things he could do to improve his game. It was just damn weird. He's paid $124M. For that money, I not only want my 25 points a game, I also want a handful of assists, a clutch of rebounds, a steal or two and my bread buttered with blueberry jam.

rebounds may or may not be there depending on numerous factors.

The assists that he misses out on kills me. That is what will keep holding him back.

so here is what phil is thinking ....
Splat
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11/3/2014  11:21 AM
I don't care if his board numbers go down as a result of greater conversion efficiency. If he is not forcing shots, he'll definitely have less follows.

But the team is like night and day when he moves the ball. He can pass very well IF HE WANTS TO.

It is one thing to ask for something a player is not really capable of, but Melo is entirely able to pass well and rack up more assists.

I've got a fever and the only prescription is more cowbell!
yellowboy90
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11/3/2014  11:21 AM
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:Right now, his scoring and passing are very good. From an advanced stats perspective, the defensive ratings and rebounding are a problem though. Your starting PF can't take 3 games to get 8 rebounds.

Good thing he is not the starting PF. His rebounding has been unusually poor though.


Fair enough. Acy is listed as an SF on sites but is the PF. Melo is rebounding like a PG right now though. It's too soon make much out of any of these numbers anyway

He is not missing enough shots for him to get his own rebounds.

I wonder if this is a case of the eye test. What are the real stats on his oreb?

Also, given the way the Knicks have been shooting and giving up shots it is not going to be that many rebs out there. Where the heck is Felton at?

mreinman
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11/3/2014  11:23 AM
Splat wrote:I don't care if his board numbers go down as a result of greater conversion efficiency. If he is not forcing shots, he'll definitely have less follows.

But the team is like night and day when he moves the ball. He can pass very well IF HE WANTS TO.

It is one thing to ask for something a player is not really capable of, but Melo is entirely able to pass well and rack up more assists.

right ... but for some reason he refuses to passes out of the double team - which would really open things up.

We had the same problem with Ewing (how can anyone else's shot be as good or better than mine).

Let's see how Fisher deals with this.

so here is what phil is thinking ....
mreinman
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11/3/2014  11:24 AM
yellowboy90 wrote:
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:Right now, his scoring and passing are very good. From an advanced stats perspective, the defensive ratings and rebounding are a problem though. Your starting PF can't take 3 games to get 8 rebounds.

Good thing he is not the starting PF. His rebounding has been unusually poor though.


Fair enough. Acy is listed as an SF on sites but is the PF. Melo is rebounding like a PG right now though. It's too soon make much out of any of these numbers anyway

He is not missing enough shots for him to get his own rebounds.

I wonder if this is a case of the eye test. What are the real stats on his oreb?

Also, given the way the Knicks have been shooting and giving up shots it is not going to be that many rebs out there. Where the heck is Felton at?

funny :-)

Its completely Eye Test which of course is silly if it leads to a conclusion.

so here is what phil is thinking ....
Splat
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11/3/2014  11:30 AM    LAST EDITED: 11/3/2014  11:31 AM
mreinman wrote:
Splat wrote:I don't care if his board numbers go down as a result of greater conversion efficiency. If he is not forcing shots, he'll definitely have less follows.

But the team is like night and day when he moves the ball. He can pass very well IF HE WANTS TO.

It is one thing to ask for something a player is not really capable of, but Melo is entirely able to pass well and rack up more assists.

right ... but for some reason he refuses to passes out of the double team - which would really open things up.

We had the same problem with Ewing (how can anyone else's shot be as good or better than mine).

Let's see how Fisher deals with this.

I'd phrase it differently.

Sometimes he passes out of double teams. When he does it, he does it very quickly. It is when the whole unit is clicking and he is cooperating.

But he lapses quickly, so right now he has yet to remain consistent.

Ewing could pass when he wanted to, but most people have forgotten that Patrick's biggest weakness was his hands. He had bad hands for a big man of his talent. He could shoot, but he often fumbled the ball when boarding and passing. Yes, I mean bad hands if somebody wants to dispute that.

It was well known during his heyday that he was prone to turnovers if he tried to do anything fancy with the ball. Was that a result of him spending his whole life jacking shots or did he jack shots to avoid doing other things he was less adept at? Probably because he was a ball hog, but his hands still sucked. Great paint protector and scorer, but not all-around great.

Just flashing back. Anyway, Melo has good hands. He should use them for more than shooting.

I've got a fever and the only prescription is more cowbell!
Bonn1997
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11/3/2014  12:07 PM
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
yellowboy90 wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:Right now, his scoring and passing are very good. From an advanced stats perspective, the defensive ratings and rebounding are a problem though. Your starting PF can't take 3 games to get 8 rebounds.

Good thing he is not the starting PF. His rebounding has been unusually poor though.


Fair enough. Acy is listed as an SF on sites but is the PF. Melo is rebounding like a PG right now though. It's too soon make much out of any of these numbers anyway

He is not missing enough shots for him to get his own rebounds.

LOL! Seriously though he averaged 6.2 defensive rpg last year and but has taken 3 games to get 6 defensive rebounds this year. I did mention last year I was skeptical about the rebounding improvement because it was a contract year.

Advanced Melo

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