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dk7th
Posts: 30006 Alba Posts: 1 Joined: 5/14/2012 Member: #4228 USA |
![]() H1AND1 wrote:tkf wrote:NardDogNation wrote:Dagger wrote:But I thought Griffin was so good he doesn't need cp3! Hogwash, just as I said, this overrated dunker will be exposed now that cp3 is out. Without the best pg in the league feeding this dude he's a good player at best, not a star. I do not want this dude on the Knicks, talk about one-dimensional! it's difficult to compare the two even with advanced stats because they occupy different parts of the floor, except when melo is playing the 4. but most of his career he played the 3. he is a tweener which in my opinion is part of melo's problem. http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/g/griffbl01.html that said, a case in point is looking at respective TS% for both players. remember that this stat incorporates 2-pointers, 3-pointers, and free throws into a bundle. therefore, a player like griffin is at a disadvantage because he does not shoot the 3. and a so-called versatile scorer like melo that is supposed to be so effective going to the basket, drawing fouls, and hitting 3s should be at an advantage. but griffin even without the 3 is at an above-average 56%TS for his career and 57% this season. as a matter of fact he has been trending upwards. melo, meanwhile is a below-average at 54.5%TS for his career with a basic flatline. he is basically the same inefficient scorer he always has been. is griffin at an advantage because he gets set up by others to finish, sort of like stoudemire used to be? yes, that is a factor since he is more of a pure power forward. is he at a disadvantage because he is a poor free throw shooter? yes he needs to improve there too. but considering that melo is regarded as an elite scorer his TS% says otherwise, while griffin, for all his limitations, is still more efficient scorer, ie not a volume shooter. to see what i mean, look at how many shots melo takes to get his points compared to griffin: melo shoots an average of 20 times a game-- that's too much for someone who scores inefficiently. meanwhile griffin takes 15.5 shots to get his points. melo has averaged 1.28 points per shot attempt while blake averages 1.35 points per shot. lebron 1.37, durant 1.42. this is quite a gap. raw assists? that's too simplistic. look at the usage (USG%) for both players and then look at the assisted baskets (AST%) when each are on the floor. first off griffin's usage is a quite reasonable one at 26.5% while melo's is astronomical: 32% for the bulk of his career. meanwhile griffin's teammates get assisted around 17% of the time when he is on the floor which means he is not a ball stopper or offensive stagnator-- the ratio of usage to assisted buckets is a healthy 1.56:1 for blake as a power forward, and an unhealthy 2.13 for melo for a tweener. really anything over 1.80:1 means offensive stagnation for anyone whose usage rate is 25 and over. i mean in a perfectly balanced offense i suppose all 5 players would have a 20% usage rate, right?... so it is incumbent upon the players with higher usages to have higher assist rates for teammates if the offense is to be playing efficiently and with ball sharing and movement at its optimal. bottom line blake is a more efficient player and a better ball mover and sharer. he is not a versatile scorer or a good free throw shooter, but i think a case can be made for saying that griffin plays within his limitations, and in a team game that has intrinsic value. plus he is young and seems to be improving, while melo is not improving and will only be getting older and slower. knicks win 38-43 games in 16-17. rose MUST shoot no more than 14 shots per game, defer to kp6 + melo, and have a usage rate of less than 25%
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yellowboy90
Posts: 33942 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 4/23/2011 Member: #3538 |
![]() dk7th wrote:H1AND1 wrote:tkf wrote:NardDogNation wrote:Dagger wrote:But I thought Griffin was so good he doesn't need cp3! Hogwash, just as I said, this overrated dunker will be exposed now that cp3 is out. Without the best pg in the league feeding this dude he's a good player at best, not a star. I do not want this dude on the Knicks, talk about one-dimensional! If he is the same inefficient scorer as he has been why has he upped his usage and efficiency as a Knicks to an above average rate. Which in itself is hard to do because usually efficiency goes down as usage increase to that level. Also, those TS numbers will probably increase even higher to around 56-57 because, as you fell to mentioned Melo numbers has also been trending upwards. You also failed to mentioned how he increased his AST% and lowered his TOV% as a knick. Plus the knew player traking numbers also have Melo as a better passer for this year but who cares right now. |
dk7th
Posts: 30006 Alba Posts: 1 Joined: 5/14/2012 Member: #4228 USA |
![]() yellowboy90 wrote:dk7th wrote:H1AND1 wrote:tkf wrote:NardDogNation wrote:Dagger wrote:But I thought Griffin was so good he doesn't need cp3! Hogwash, just as I said, this overrated dunker will be exposed now that cp3 is out. Without the best pg in the league feeding this dude he's a good player at best, not a star. I do not want this dude on the Knicks, talk about one-dimensional! i look at the numbers since he has become a knick and don't see what you are talking about. his usage was the highest it has ever been last year-- and how is that a good thing?-- while his AST% was at one of its lowest. meanwhile his TS% has netted out to about the same for his career, less than point higher, ie 54.6 versus 55.2. and here i am being generous by including the last 27 games he came here to play in 2011. hardly a trend upward compared to griffin: 54.9 to 57.1-- already eclipsing carmelo's most efficient scoring season. if the trend for griffin continues we should see a player close to 60%TS in the next couple of years which of course is elite. and you're just plain wrong about his AST%-- they have gone down since coming here-- a predictable outcome when you come to a team you were happy to see gutted so you could play in new york. the only thing that he has improved on is taking better care of the ball, but then you have to look at how infrequently he passes the ball-- less passing means fewer balls being stolen-- and also see how often he gets his shot blocked at the rim which does not count as a turnover either. knicks win 38-43 games in 16-17. rose MUST shoot no more than 14 shots per game, defer to kp6 + melo, and have a usage rate of less than 25%
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yellowboy90
Posts: 33942 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 4/23/2011 Member: #3538 |
![]() ^^^
redick is not playing he is injured right now. |
NardDogNation
Posts: 27405 Alba Posts: 4 Joined: 5/7/2013 Member: #5555 |
![]() yellowboy90 wrote:^^^ Fair but this season, he's been healthy. |
H1AND1
Posts: 21747 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 9/9/2013 Member: #5648 |
![]() dk7th wrote:H1AND1 wrote:tkf wrote:NardDogNation wrote:Dagger wrote:But I thought Griffin was so good he doesn't need cp3! Hogwash, just as I said, this overrated dunker will be exposed now that cp3 is out. Without the best pg in the league feeding this dude he's a good player at best, not a star. I do not want this dude on the Knicks, talk about one-dimensional! Great post, thank you very much for taking the time to type that out. |
NardDogNation
Posts: 27405 Alba Posts: 4 Joined: 5/7/2013 Member: #5555 |
![]() dk7th wrote:that said, a case in point is looking at respective TS% for both players. remember that this stat incorporates 2-pointers, 3-pointers, and free throws into a bundle. therefore, a player like griffin is at a disadvantage because he does not shoot the 3. and a so-called versatile scorer like melo that is supposed to be so effective going to the basket, drawing fouls, and hitting 3s should be at an advantage. Yeah, I'm going to go ahead and call bull****. A player's true shooting percentage (TS%) is a means of better standardizing a player's shooting prowess, since 3 point shots are harder to hit and can skew a FG%. The fact that Melo takes more 3's has nothing to do with the metric because it is being standardized; hence the entire point of the stat. With that being said, there is only a 2.4% difference between the two. In what statistical community is that enough to yield a "significant difference"? I'm not entirely sure what the league average is but according to this site, Melo's TS% is 65th in the league, which does not sound elite (nor does it sound below average since there are over 400 players in the league) but is still in the ballpark of other contemporaries that are highly regarded as efficient offensive players: Tony Parker (55th: 55.7 TS%), Ty Lawson (61st: 55.0 TS%), Roy Hibbert (64th: 54.8 TS%), Joe Johnson (68th: 54.5 TS%), Monta Ellis (71st: 54.1 TS%), Loul Deng (72nd: 53.8 TS%), Kyrie Irving (84th: 52.4 TS%), John Wall (89th: 52.0 TS%), Russell Westbrook (92nd: 51.8 TS%), David West (98th: 51.4 TS%) and LaMarcus Aldridge (100th: 51.1 TS%). Given the fact that some of the people ahead of Melo on the list are Kyle Korver (2nd: 67.1 TS%), Robin Lopez (17th: 59.7 TS%) and DeAndre Jordan (20th: 59.5 TS%), I'd pipe down about this stat being indicative of a player's offensive abilities or prowess http://www.teamrankings.com/nba/player-stat/ts-percentage. Kevin Garnett, a sure-fire first ballot Hall of Famer, had a career TS% of 54.7% and I've never heard of him being considered an "inefficient scorer". WILT FUCKING CHAMBERLAIN, also had a TS% of 54.7% and I've never heard of him being considered an "inefficient scorer" http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/c/chambwi01.html Meanwhile, Michael Jordan had a 56.9 TS%, so I guess that means Blake Griffin is destined to be the superior offensive player http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/j/jordami01.html dk7th wrote:raw assists? that's too simplistic. look at the usage (USG%) for both players and then look at the assisted baskets (AST%) when each are on the floor. first off griffin's usage is a quite reasonable one at 26.5% while melo's is astronomical: 32% for the bulk of his career. meanwhile griffin's teammates get assisted around 17% of the time when he is on the floor which means he is not a ball stopper or offensive stagnator-- the ratio of usage to assisted buckets is a healthy 1.56:1 for blake as a power forward, and an unhealthy 2.13 for melo for a tweener. really anything over 1.80:1 means offensive stagnation for anyone whose usage rate is 25 and over. i mean in a perfectly balanced offense i suppose all 5 players would have a 20% usage rate, right?... so it is incumbent upon the players with higher usages to have higher assist rates for teammates if the offense is to be playing efficiently and with ball sharing and movement at its optimal. Why are we looking at USG%? That has no bearing on the conversation, other than to reinforce the fact that Carmelo is a franchise caliber player and operates as such, like Paul George (28.3 2013-2014 USG%), Kevin Garnett during his T-Wolves years (27.8-29.0 USG%), Kobe Bryant (31.8 Career USG%) and Dwayne Wade (32.0 Career USG%). It would seem to be an indictment as a star player to have a lower USG% than a higher one, given the names on the list. As for assisted baskets (AST%), one has to account for a team's proficiency in completing shots off the pass which is in part demonstrated by the offensive efficiency rating (ORtg) aka a standard for measuring how good/****ty teammates are. While Melo may have a lower AST% rating compared to Blake, he's also consistently had ****tier players. For example, this season the Knicks rank 19th in this respect (104.5) and the Clippers rank 8th (108.5). The Knicks also rank 29th (90.3) in pace compared to the Clippers who rank 6th (95.7). Better scoring teammates and a quicker pace that offers more possessions equal more opportunities to assist and pad your AST%. It's as simple as that. Bottom line, you have an agenda and no gimmicky stats will validate your bull****. |
Bonn1997
Posts: 58654 Alba Posts: 2 Joined: 2/2/2004 Member: #581 USA |
![]() NardDogNation wrote:dk7th wrote:that said, a case in point is looking at respective TS% for both players. remember that this stat incorporates 2-pointers, 3-pointers, and free throws into a bundle. therefore, a player like griffin is at a disadvantage because he does not shoot the 3. and a so-called versatile scorer like melo that is supposed to be so effective going to the basket, drawing fouls, and hitting 3s should be at an advantage. The TS% difference is substantial actually. For a guy who takes about 20 shots and 7 FTs, a .025 TS% improvement is going to give about 1 more point a game. If I remember correctly, adding 1 free point per game (not a point on a new possession but a free point) adds something like 4 wins over an 82 game season. |
NardDogNation
Posts: 27405 Alba Posts: 4 Joined: 5/7/2013 Member: #5555 |
![]() Bonn1997 wrote:NardDogNation wrote:dk7th wrote:that said, a case in point is looking at respective TS% for both players. remember that this stat incorporates 2-pointers, 3-pointers, and free throws into a bundle. therefore, a player like griffin is at a disadvantage because he does not shoot the 3. and a so-called versatile scorer like melo that is supposed to be so effective going to the basket, drawing fouls, and hitting 3s should be at an advantage. With all due respect, I think it's a stupid ass statistic. What does it really prove or even intimate? That I should start building my team around Kyle Korver, Robin Lopez and DeAndre Jordan? |