NardDogNation wrote:JohnStarksFan wrote:NardDogNation wrote:JohnStarksFan wrote:You STAY THE COURSE. You stay the course through this year, regardless of the outcome. You let Melo test free agency and don't bust your nut on him right away. You make a real plan for the future (without draft picks mind you). You use that plan to try to keep Melo here, but you don't do more than that. If he's going to test the waters, you can't stop it, let him do it. Who knows, maybe he'll decide to keep the extension. Let's say he does (I realize this probably won't happen). You'll be starting next season with your 4 highest salaries (Melo, STAT, Chandler, Bargs) for a total of 73.5 Mill. Yup 73.5 Mill for 4 guys. All off the books. If you're smart, you parlay 1 or 2 of those contracts into draft picks and exciting young players (true talent or seat fillers really), make a trade with one of your other guys who over produced for draft picks or more young talent, and start out the 2015-2016 season with somewhere near 45 million in cap space (without Melo). And you start over if need be. If you keep Melo, you need to keep the total payroll over the cap so when you resign him you use bird's rights, and get shot in the face with luxury tax. But you take the hit if this is one of your guys and he's committed. This is a nice fantasy right? I need a shot.
If you stay the course, you're looking at a middling team at best and risk the possibility of losing/wearing out your best player like we did with Allan Houston and Patrick Ewing. If this becomes a reality, we'd effectively be rehashing the past decade of ineptitude when we had no picks, nothing but washed up players signed to cap-killing deals and a lottery team. I'd rather rebuild from a position of strength, than wait and have our hands forced to do so.
What rebuild? With what pieces? Who are we getting if we swap out these guys right now?
I think Carmelo, Tyson, JR and Iman can get you pretty good value in return. A few of the other non-essentials could be packaged in a deal with those guys if necessary. Although, I don't think that is an imperative goal since their contracts expire in 2015 anyway, which make them valuable a year before it happens. I really think we could hit the ground running if we chose to blow things up, given the circumstances.
JR will net us nothing unless he breaks out, screws his wig on tight, and we can shop him to a contender who desperately needs a scorer before the trade deadline. He just signed a contract though, so any team would have to crazy to take on that nutbag after what has gone on since he signed his biggest deal.
Tyson and Iman are valuable, no doubt. Both are MORE valuable after this year. Why? Both have expiring contracts at higher dollar amounts. It is best to sit on them (aka stay the course) than to get low value assets in return for them right now through a fire sale. Any GM in the league, no matter how dumb, would have the upper hand right now given the climate.
As far as Melo is concerned, you don't shop him unless someone offers you something stupid and the year is a total bust by the all-star break. I mean bottom 5 teams in the league bust. Even then it isn't worth the effort. The returns won't be great and he can simply opt out at the end of the year.
Ultimately, it seems like you have the similar mentality to me, but just didn't see it. I'm saying stay the course for just now. Blowing it up now would just make things worse. It would be following in the mold of all the past blunders and make our future even bleaker than it looks now without draft picks.