beckley mason in the NYT wrote a very good piece about the two teams that is worth reading:
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/05/07/sports/basketball/knicks-must-adapt-to-pacers-roy-hibbert-or-perish.html?hpw
the crux of the matter is that the pacers are emulating the 2008 celtics defensively, according to the author. this means they defend the 3-point line and the rim and leave everything else in between relatively free. this is why felton's floaters or teardrops are effective while melo and smith have been awful.
in my opinion both melo and smith had better start driving and then stopping and popping for 6-10 foot stepbacks. trying to finish at the rim, drawing contact and whatnot, is going to be a fool's errand and it will kill this team. same with 3-point shots... unless melo actually is willing to move the ball. his holding on to the ball is going to kill this team.
meanwhile, i have stated for some time that the knicks are emulating the 2011 mavericks... the key being melo keeping the ball moving the way dirk did, never allowing the defense to rest or set itself. that's why the iso stuff is going to kill the knicks. the only time you saw iso with dirk was when he was in the mid to low post.
the knicks have to play the right way or they are doomed-- and it should be curtains for woodson.
knicks win 38-43 games in 16-17. rose MUST shoot no more than 14 shots per game, defer to kp6 + melo, and have a usage rate of less than 25%