Bonn1997 wrote:mrKnickShot wrote:What is that evidence? I am filing a motion for discovery.
If you look up "actuarial vs. clinical assessment" or "statistical vs. intuitive assessment" and use related terms, you'll find a huge body of research. Most of it is in the context of predicting violent behavior but some of it is in other contexts and the same general pattern emerges - actuarial (or statistical) approaches do best but clinical or intuitive ones do add a little.
Those assessments are mostly focused on Life Insurance policy/expectancy or similar assessments.
In sports, knowledge and understanding statistics will support intuition with the data in hand.
Both are important - not sure which one is more important but I would say stats but then, stats/people can delve deeper and deeper and I am not sure that there is a return at that point, and, when this happens, they start watching fewer and fewer games.