TripleThreat wrote:SlimChin wrote:“Still a D-League player,” one of them said.“Nothing special,” said another
Always look at motive.
What does the average NBA fan know about NBA scouts? Not much.
What does the hardcore NBA fan know about NBA scouts? First, that their ranks have been cut hard, as many teams are now sharing scouts and sharing scouting services to save money and that many teams, esp GMs like Daryl Morey, are using statistical metrics to evaluate players often without as much eyes on scouting as previously.
Tristan Thompson is not the No#4 pick in a draft 10 years ago. His perceived value came though advanced metrics for performance at the college level. Consider that any scouting in any pro sports has to gauge two specific things. What has the prospect shown he has already achieved and what has he shown could be his long term potential. A player Juwan Howard was far more valuable in the pros than he was in college. So scouts are under pressure just not for what was, but what could be.
What else do we know? During the All Star game, David Stern, when asked about Lin, pointed it out as a success story for the D-League, and that more than ever the D-League saw a massive increase in the number of scouts attending. Kobe Bryant said something scathing to the national media, that Lin was always a true gamer, a good player, but he was simply overlooked and if he was an owner, that would be inexcusable, that people would lose their jobs over missing out on an impact player that could be acquired for virtually nothing.
By succeeding, Lin has
- Created more work for existing scouts, who are already stretched thin and already overworked. Now they have to find the next "Jeremy Lin" and attend all these D league games.
- Pointed out their failure to mine quite possible the most marketable athlete in the entire world and a virtual billion dollar lottery ticket for any team who has him.
- Subtlety questions how racist scouts could or could not be in the evaluation process
- Forces owners and GMs to question their scouting departments and their efficiency and if overhauls are needed.
Lin succeeding makes their job harder, makes their job security more difficult to gauge, adds pressure, adds work and puts turmoil in the whole process. This is what Moneyball did for MLB, while Billy Beane got all the accolades, there were GMs and scouts and all kinds of people getting yelled at and screamed at and had to worry about their jobs.
By failing, Lin will
- Vindicate scouts evaluation of him in the first place
- Get owners to back off.
- Proves that the tried and true process works
- Reduce their workload and reassert their own value to their dwindling numbers
- Remove the unspoken unsettling gut check that the entire NBA might just be completely racist to Jeremy Lin
Scouts have a reason and a motive to want him to fail, but none of it is about actually mining good players for their teams. Very "Melo" like of them.