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Chris Bosh is going to be beyond dangerous to guard this season
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EwingsGlass
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7/16/2010  4:35 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
EwingsGlass wrote:I think a lot of the "Top 3" talk is based upon Hollinger's Player Efficiency Rating... the same rating that has Kobe as 15. I think one of the deficiencies of the player efficiency rating is that it seems to overrate good players on bad teams. i.e. the player that has no other high end players on his team will have an exceptional PER whereas the best player (Kobe) on a team with multiple highend players is rated worse than other players (like Pau).

http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/hollinger/statistics?&action=login&appRedirect=http%3a%2f%2finsider.espn.go.com%2fnba%2fhollinger%2fstatistics

Based on this, I would expect James, Wade and Bosh's PER's (1, 2 and 4 respectively) to drop significantly next season. I would expect Amare's to increase. I would expect Kevin Durant to have the best PER in the entire league.

Kobe at 15th based on stats sounds about right. His #s dropped off a bit--maybe because of multiple injuries. What other players do you think have misleading PERs?

I think that PER is itself misleading. Perhaps Kobe is less efficient than Pau. Guys like Paul Pierce and Carmelo are understated because they aren't primary ball handlers (even though they have high usage rates). Does anyone really think Kevin Garnett, even in his old age, is a worse (or even less efficient) player than Carlos Boozer or David Lee? Without having the offense initiate through Lee, Lebron, Bosh, this year, the PER for each player should drop. I guess all I was saying is that if best stats is the determination of best player, than PER is probably right. But I don't think Bosh is among the best players.

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Bonn1997
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7/16/2010  5:01 PM
EwingsGlass wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
EwingsGlass wrote:I think a lot of the "Top 3" talk is based upon Hollinger's Player Efficiency Rating... the same rating that has Kobe as 15. I think one of the deficiencies of the player efficiency rating is that it seems to overrate good players on bad teams. i.e. the player that has no other high end players on his team will have an exceptional PER whereas the best player (Kobe) on a team with multiple highend players is rated worse than other players (like Pau).

http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/hollinger/statistics?&action=login&appRedirect=http%3a%2f%2finsider.espn.go.com%2fnba%2fhollinger%2fstatistics

Based on this, I would expect James, Wade and Bosh's PER's (1, 2 and 4 respectively) to drop significantly next season. I would expect Amare's to increase. I would expect Kevin Durant to have the best PER in the entire league.

Kobe at 15th based on stats sounds about right. His #s dropped off a bit--maybe because of multiple injuries. What other players do you think have misleading PERs?

I think that PER is itself misleading. Perhaps Kobe is less efficient than Pau. Guys like Paul Pierce and Carmelo are understated because they aren't primary ball handlers (even though they have high usage rates). Does anyone really think Kevin Garnett, even in his old age, is a worse (or even less efficient) player than Carlos Boozer or David Lee? Without having the offense initiate through Lee, Lebron, Bosh, this year, the PER for each player should drop. I guess all I was saying is that if best stats is the determination of best player, than PER is probably right. But I don't think Bosh is among the best players.


I would say that based on the categories that we keep statistics for, KG now truly is inferior to Lee and Boozer. He really isn't as a good a scorer or a rebounder, for example, as they are right now. He's better than Lee and Boozer are at man to man and help defense but we don't currently have statistics for that. That's not the fault of Hollinger's PER calculation. The point of the PER is to best combine all the stats we do keep into one overall rating.
Pharzeone
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7/16/2010  5:11 PM
No disrespect for Gasol but before he put on a Laker uniform he was considered an underachiever in Memphis. IMO, you put Bosh on that Laker team and they would have won 3 in a row and it wouldn't have been that difficult to tell you the truth.
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martin
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7/16/2010  5:16 PM
Pharzeone wrote:No disrespect for Gasol but before he put on a Laker uniform he was considered an underachiever in Memphis. IMO, you put Bosh on that Laker team and they would have won 3 in a row and it wouldn't have been that difficult to tell you the truth.

how can you label Gasol an underachiever and not Bosh? I think Gasol did more with his teams than Bosh ever did.

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Bonn1997
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7/16/2010  5:53 PM    LAST EDITED: 7/16/2010  5:53 PM
I don't think Gasol ever took the Grizzlies to the playoffs or had above .500 seasons but I haven't checked. Bosh did both in Toronto.
martin
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7/16/2010  5:55 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:I don't think Gasol ever took the Grizzlies to the playoffs or had above .500 seasons but I haven't checked. Bosh did both in Toronto.

perhaps you should check before you post?

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Pharzeone
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7/16/2010  5:57 PM
martin wrote:
Pharzeone wrote:No disrespect for Gasol but before he put on a Laker uniform he was considered an underachiever in Memphis. IMO, you put Bosh on that Laker team and they would have won 3 in a row and it wouldn't have been that difficult to tell you the truth.

how can you label Gasol an underachiever and not Bosh? I think Gasol did more with his teams than Bosh ever did.

I just going based on the fact that I think Bosh accomplished more by making two straight playoff appearances with little help. Under West, he surrounded Gasol with some players like Miller and he was swept three times. Not to win one playoff game is a feat in my opinion.

I don't like to play bad rookies , I like to play good rookies - Mike D'Antoni
martin
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7/16/2010  6:24 PM
Pharzeone wrote:
martin wrote:
Pharzeone wrote:No disrespect for Gasol but before he put on a Laker uniform he was considered an underachiever in Memphis. IMO, you put Bosh on that Laker team and they would have won 3 in a row and it wouldn't have been that difficult to tell you the truth.

how can you label Gasol an underachiever and not Bosh? I think Gasol did more with his teams than Bosh ever did.

I just going based on the fact that I think Bosh accomplished more by making two straight playoff appearances with little help. Under West, he surrounded Gasol with some players like Miller and he was swept three times. Not to win one playoff game is a feat in my opinion.

in Bosh's career in TOR he had the team in the playoffs twice to Gasol's 3 times. Bosh's team was 41-41 one year and 47-35 in the 2 years they were .500 or better, Gasol's team did it 3 times in a tougher conference. I gotta guess that Bosh's team would only make it to the playoffs once at best out West.

Are you really listing Mike Miller as Gasol's help? Against someone like a #1 pick in Bargnani?

To me both of those guys are side-kick all-stars and Gasol has some more over the long haul, including a World Championship just a little while ago.

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EwingsGlass
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7/16/2010  9:31 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
EwingsGlass wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
EwingsGlass wrote:I think a lot of the "Top 3" talk is based upon Hollinger's Player Efficiency Rating... the same rating that has Kobe as 15. I think one of the deficiencies of the player efficiency rating is that it seems to overrate good players on bad teams. i.e. the player that has no other high end players on his team will have an exceptional PER whereas the best player (Kobe) on a team with multiple highend players is rated worse than other players (like Pau).

http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/hollinger/statistics?&action=login&appRedirect=http%3a%2f%2finsider.espn.go.com%2fnba%2fhollinger%2fstatistics

Based on this, I would expect James, Wade and Bosh's PER's (1, 2 and 4 respectively) to drop significantly next season. I would expect Amare's to increase. I would expect Kevin Durant to have the best PER in the entire league.

Kobe at 15th based on stats sounds about right. His #s dropped off a bit--maybe because of multiple injuries. What other players do you think have misleading PERs?

I think that PER is itself misleading. Perhaps Kobe is less efficient than Pau. Guys like Paul Pierce and Carmelo are understated because they aren't primary ball handlers (even though they have high usage rates). Does anyone really think Kevin Garnett, even in his old age, is a worse (or even less efficient) player than Carlos Boozer or David Lee? Without having the offense initiate through Lee, Lebron, Bosh, this year, the PER for each player should drop. I guess all I was saying is that if best stats is the determination of best player, than PER is probably right. But I don't think Bosh is among the best players.


I would say that based on the categories that we keep statistics for, KG now truly is inferior to Lee and Boozer. He really isn't as a good a scorer or a rebounder, for example, as they are right now. He's better than Lee and Boozer are at man to man and help defense but we don't currently have statistics for that. That's not the fault of Hollinger's PER calculation. The point of the PER is to best combine all the stats we do keep into one overall rating.

I don't think I am arguing that part of the error is the combination of stats. But I wouldn't say that Lee or Boozer are better players than Garnett. Lee gets the ball in his hands on more possessions than Garnett, so he may put up more points on average. My exact point is that to call Bosh one of the top 4 players in the league is only true statistically, not talent wise. I don't think there is a person on the planet that wouldn't take Dwight Howard over Chris Bosh-- or if the Heat offered the Lakers Dwyane Wade for Kobe (even at his age) I'd bet they turn it down based on talent alone. PER like other statistics are inflated for good players on bad teams. So good players on good teams have lover stats, it doesn't make them lesser players.

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playa2
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7/16/2010  9:31 PM
The Miami trio already showed they respected each others game when they played in the OLYMPICS . They would be foolish to not distribute the ball after all the hype they displayed this summer. Who ever has the advantage will be getting the ball and when they are doubled one of the other two will destroy you by cheating when you decide to help out. All 3 can hit from the perimitter. Any other player they add to the team will come in the best of shape and will raise their standards up. Basically Miami will hand pick who they want on their team now to complete it.
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tj23
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7/16/2010  10:12 PM
miami is an offensive juggernaut especially with miller to spread them out. Haslem will be knocking down baseline shots all day and teams will switch to a zone and make them shoot. As washed up as Shaq is, he's the body they need. They have defensive issues right now.
Anji
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7/17/2010  4:47 AM
nychamp wrote:Bosh < Pau Gasol

Somebody on espn radio yesterday was talking about Miami having 3 of the top ten players in the league. I'll give you lbj and wade being top 3 in the league. But for me Bosh is more of a top 25 type player in the NBA, behind many players such as durant, gasol, dirk, d rose, paul pierce and others.

LOL, come on now................ stuff like this is just shameful. You know damn well Bosh would be top 5 in your ranking if he was a knick. Gasol before the Lakers won 49 games once and never played a playoff game, Bosh is twice as good as Gasol.

Bosh might not be top Ten to some, be he is definitely in the convo.

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martin
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7/17/2010  7:26 AM
Anji wrote:
nychamp wrote:Bosh < Pau Gasol

Somebody on espn radio yesterday was talking about Miami having 3 of the top ten players in the league. I'll give you lbj and wade being top 3 in the league. But for me Bosh is more of a top 25 type player in the NBA, behind many players such as durant, gasol, dirk, d rose, paul pierce and others.

LOL, come on now................ stuff like this is just shameful. You know damn well Bosh would be top 5 in your ranking if he was a knick. Gasol before the Lakers won 49 games once and never played a playoff game, Bosh is twice as good as Gasol.

Bosh might not be top Ten to some, be he is definitely in the convo.

wrong. go look it up.

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tj23
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7/17/2010  7:43 AM
You cant be a one way player and be in the top 10.
joec32033
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7/20/2010  7:17 AM
Guys I feel are just better than Bosh-in no particular order:

Kobe
Wade
Lebron
Dirk
Paul
Deron
Dwight
Durant
Duncan
Carmelo
Nash
Roy
Amare

I feel Bosh is on the same level as guys like :

Rose-presently
Gasol(Pau)
Joe Johnson
Arenas
Boozer
Granger
Kevin Martin
Baron
Parker
Pierce

And he is a step above guys like:

Kaman
West
Lee
Ellis
Iggy
Manu
Jamison
Rip
Josh Smith
Gerald Wallace

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Ira
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7/20/2010  7:46 AM
Bosh and Gasol are hard to compare because their games are different. All in all, I think Bosh is a little better, but I'd rather have Gasol because he can play center.
TMS
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7/20/2010  11:57 AM
people are minimalizing Chris Bosh's game cuz we didn't sign him... if we signed him they'd be praising DW for nabbing 1 of the top bigmen in the league.
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Allanfan20
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7/20/2010  12:00 PM
TMS wrote:people are minimalizing Chris Bosh's game cuz we didn't sign him... if we signed him they'd be praising DW for nabbing 1 of the top bigmen in the league.

Not me. I never really wanted him from the start. I thought he was overrated for a couple of years now, and have come to realize that his defense is just as bad as David Lees, which I have been pointing out. Even before free agency.

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Bonn1997
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7/20/2010  12:00 PM
TMS wrote:people are minimalizing Chris Bosh's game cuz we didn't sign him... if we signed him they'd be praising DW for nabbing 1 of the top bigmen in the league.

I agree 100%. There definitely was not this much certainty before this off-season that Amare was better than Bosh. It looked like a 50-50 split.
loweyecue
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7/20/2010  12:02 PM
nyvector16 wrote:I think Stoudemire will be more dangerous, especially next to Randolph.
Bosh is a great player, but he is soft just like James. The only person on that team with the killer mentality is Wade.

That's not to say I think the Knicks are the better team.... obviously that would be a ridiculous claim

It will be interesting to see how our teams match up. We are more balanced... They have the superstars.

I remember people called Gasol soft as well, prior to him winning a ring with Kobe.

TKF on Melo ::....he is a punk, a jerk, a self absorbed out of shape, self aggrandizing, unprofessional, volume chucking coach killing playoff loser!!
Chris Bosh is going to be beyond dangerous to guard this season

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