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Why FA's need to sign 6 year deals
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TMS
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1/26/2010  5:50 PM
WindsorPl wrote:
TMS wrote:so basically ur expecting him to play a year for free... yeah, i don't really see that happening.

I am not, I am just curious to see how much he wants to stay in NY. Same $ amount, 1 extra year, that should be a good test. At the end, he may decide to take the 5 years and come back for another payday.

if we offer him fair market value, i'm sure he'd like to stay in NY, but i don't see him passing up $10+ million, which in essence is basically what he'll be doing by playing for an extra year at the same money overall in that scenario... i think he's gonna command at least a contract in the $11-12 mil per year range this year.

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bitty41
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1/26/2010  5:52 PM
djsunyc wrote:
TheGame wrote:The question is whether Toronto has any interest in Lee as a Bosh replacement. If we could agree to give Lee the 6th year if he agrees to a trade to Toronto, then we could send a package of Lee, Douglas, and maybe a future protected pick for Bosh. I doubt they would get better value for Bosh than Lee, who some believe might be as good as Bosh (I am not one of those people). This would be what I would be looking to do if I am Walsh.

well that comes down to bosh + lee. if bosh wants to go to ny and lee would wants to go to toronto, then something can be worked out. salaries don't have to match either since the knicks have cap space.

I think that would be a mistake for Bosh unless the Knicks can guarantee other players to surround him with or have already acquired players to surround him with. With the core they have, that will not get it done during playoff time (assuming they make it that far).

sebstar
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1/26/2010  5:56 PM
So because of a new economic reality instead of being filthy, filthy, filthy, filthy, filthy, filthy rich...they will only be filthy, filthy, filthy, filthy, filthy rich.

Go where you want to play, how much money do you need?

My saliva and spit can split thread into fiber and bits/ So trust me I'm as live as it gets. --Royce Da 5'9 + DJ Premier = Hip Hop Utopia
Cosmic
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1/26/2010  6:00 PM
djsunyc wrote:why are you scaling 5 years vs. 6 - if a player can get an extra year for $30+ mil, they will do it. you think the PA is going to let him settle for less?

Because you are attempting to say he simply makes 35M more by staying in Toronto and that isn't the full truth. It's a full extra year of salary.

The Knicks can sign him for 5 years, and then extend him thereafter. So if you want to properly compare what he can receive you have to compare the max-6-year salary Toronto can give him against the max-5-year salary + the first year of extended salary the Knicks can give him.

In that you are reduced to the mere percentage pay increases per year.

I think the home team can offer 12.5% increase and the away team 10% increase - until of course that 1st extended year (to match your six years) where it is 12.5% since he is now home team property.

In that you are going to find he would make about 10M total more staying in Toronto.

Something he would easily make up for and much much more due to endorsements and clothing sales by being in a market 100 times the size with 5 times the population.

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nixluva
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1/26/2010  6:01 PM
I'll ask this again. Doesn't the team have a right to sign it's player to an extension before the end of the deal? Why can't the Knicks make a side promise to workout an extension for a player like Bosh or Lebron etc.?
sebstar
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1/26/2010  6:03 PM
nixluva wrote:I'll ask this again. Doesn't the team have a right to sign it's player to an extension before the end of the deal? Why can't the Knicks make a side promise to workout an extension for a player like Bosh or Lebron etc.?

Side promises mean jack, ask Boozer.

My saliva and spit can split thread into fiber and bits/ So trust me I'm as live as it gets. --Royce Da 5'9 + DJ Premier = Hip Hop Utopia
nixluva
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1/26/2010  6:06 PM
sebstar wrote:
nixluva wrote:I'll ask this again. Doesn't the team have a right to sign it's player to an extension before the end of the deal? Why can't the Knicks make a side promise to workout an extension for a player like Bosh or Lebron etc.?

Side promises mean jack, ask Boozer.

Yeah I know, but it's not unreasonable to think that for a player like that it could be something that is on the table. We certainly don't care about overpaying for anyone. I know it's kind of weak, but Agents likely take stuff like that into consideration when sending their client to a certain team, no?

sebstar
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1/26/2010  6:09 PM
nixluva wrote:
sebstar wrote:
nixluva wrote:I'll ask this again. Doesn't the team have a right to sign it's player to an extension before the end of the deal? Why can't the Knicks make a side promise to workout an extension for a player like Bosh or Lebron etc.?

Side promises mean jack, ask Boozer.

Yeah I know, but it's not unreasonable to think that for a player like that it could be something that is on the table. We certainly don't care about overpaying for anyone. I know it's kind of weak, but Agents likely take stuff like that into consideration when sending their client to a certain team, no?

Your idea works if there is a foundation of trust. You cant trust anyone as far as you can throw them, especially when there is as much money at stake as in the NBA. Business, never personal is the motto.

Most of these cats wouldnt trust their own mama in these under-the-table agreements, let alone some executive.

My saliva and spit can split thread into fiber and bits/ So trust me I'm as live as it gets. --Royce Da 5'9 + DJ Premier = Hip Hop Utopia
TMS
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1/26/2010  6:18 PM
exactly, situations change & budget constraints appear today that weren't necessarily present yesterday... look at Johnny Damon's situation w/the Yankees, they offered him 2 years $14 mil to resign & he turned it down thinking he'd get way more in free agency... now he's stuck with either accepting a lowball 1 year offer of $2 mil w/possibly incentives or nothing cuz there aren't any other teams out there with money left to spend in free agency.
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nixluva
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1/26/2010  6:26 PM
I guess my line of thinking is that the NY Knicks as an organization are more likely to pony up for an extension in the middle of a deal than most franchises. We really don't have financial concerns and have spent freely for lesser talent. It would be more believable coming from the Knicks than some other team. I know it's weak, but I think any player looking at a 5 vs 6 yr deal isn't really looking to reach the end of that deal before extending it so that it's their last contract and they can realistically get big money. Who would want to hit the open market at 32 or 33?
kam77
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1/26/2010  6:30 PM
TMS wrote:
WindsorPl wrote:
TMS wrote:
djsunyc wrote:on the knicks front - it applies to david lee so don't expect hometown discounts.

what i been telling these dudes but no one wants to listen... they all think he's gonna leave upwards of $10 million bucks sitting on the table & make it up in these phantom endorsements that he's supposedly gonna get if he stays in NY.

Well, the question is which would he take: 5 years @ 12.5M per or 6 years at 10M per in NY?

so basically ur expecting him to play a year for free... yeah, i don't really see that happening.

Windsor needs to up that to around 11mil per for 6yrs. Starting at 8.5 with million dollar raises. That gives Lee and extra year at the end of his career for MLE money.

lol @ being BANNED by Martin since 11/07/10 (for asking if Mr. Earl had a point). Really, Martin? C'mon. This is the internet. I've seen much worse on this site. By Earl himself. Drop the hypocrisy.
TMS
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1/26/2010  6:51 PM
Lee will be able to get a MLE contract after 5 years too, probably more... there is absolutely no reason for him to sign for drastically less money to stay in NY while he's in the prime of his career... talk to me when he's 36 years old maybe & worried more about moving his family out of NY or something along those lines, but the kid is young, single & at the height of his value as a basketball player... if he turns down $10+ million to stay close to his girlfriend, that's some serious p*ssywhippage... if the market dictates that he take less, then he'll take less, but if there are teams out there willing to pay him a big contract, then NY's gonna have to pony up to match or come real close or else they'll lose him for nothing.
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Cosmic
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1/26/2010  6:52 PM
I'll even add this in.

We can sign Bron or Bosh or Wade for THREE Years max contract with the promise of a full 6 year max deal on top of it once those 3 years are up. That will now put the 12.5% per year home town raises (versus 10% new town per year raises) in the 3 year category.

And before you say they won't do that WHAT did LeBron and Wade do last go around? Yes, that's right, THREE year extensions. Not FULL extensions.

Now when you compare 5 to 5 years or 6 to 6 years (which you ought to do to get a correct 'what hes leaving on the table' figure) - now you're below 10M over those six years.

Surely, LeBron or Bosh or Wade, coming to a city 5-10 times bigger than the one they left with a market 10x bigger than that money/marketing wise - could make that up and quite a bit more, right?

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djsunyc
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1/26/2010  7:41 PM
what if the new cba introduces a hard cap? lesser guaranteed years? etc...

there is no telling what will happen.

bosh, lbj and wade signed 3 year deals because it got them to year 7 in the league which now allows them to be the maxest max players.

they will get their 6 year deals...of that there is no doubt. and if one wants to come to ny then the knicks will have to take part in a sign and trade. since lee too is a UFA, he most likely won't be part of it since he may not want to go to cle or tor. but guys like chandler, gallo, and hill have no say.

knicks will get lebron...but it will probably cost them chandler and a pick or so. well worth it but don't think he's coming free and clear.

kam77
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1/26/2010  7:44 PM
TMS wrote:Lee will be able to get a MLE contract after 5 years too, probably more... there is absolutely no reason for him to sign for drastically less money to stay in NY while he's in the prime of his career...

You offer 5 at 60mil I offer 6 at 66 with the last year at Lee's option.

More guaranteed money in my deal. Lee leaves nothing on the table.

lol @ being BANNED by Martin since 11/07/10 (for asking if Mr. Earl had a point). Really, Martin? C'mon. This is the internet. I've seen much worse on this site. By Earl himself. Drop the hypocrisy.
kam77
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1/26/2010  7:45 PM
And by the way... while i don't think Lee will give us huge hometown discount, I think if the two deals are similar or within 5mil he stays with the Knicks.
lol @ being BANNED by Martin since 11/07/10 (for asking if Mr. Earl had a point). Really, Martin? C'mon. This is the internet. I've seen much worse on this site. By Earl himself. Drop the hypocrisy.
TMS
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1/26/2010  9:09 PM    LAST EDITED: 1/26/2010  9:16 PM
kam77 wrote:And by the way... while i don't think Lee will give us huge hometown discount, I think if the two deals are similar or within 5mil he stays with the Knicks.

that's what i said before... the offer needs to match or be close, don't expect him to leave 8 figures on the table to stay in NY

After 7 years & 40K+ posts, banned by martin for calling Nalod a 'moron'. Awesome.
Cosmic
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1/26/2010  9:14 PM
djsunyc wrote:what if the new cba introduces a hard cap? lesser guaranteed years? etc...

there is no telling what will happen.

bosh, lbj and wade signed 3 year deals because it got them to year 7 in the league which now allows them to be the maxest max players.

they will get their 6 year deals...of that there is no doubt. and if one wants to come to ny then the knicks will have to take part in a sign and trade. since lee too is a UFA, he most likely won't be part of it since he may not want to go to cle or tor. but guys like chandler, gallo, and hill have no say.

knicks will get lebron...but it will probably cost them chandler and a pick or so. well worth it but don't think he's coming free and clear.

Eh, these are trimmings you can't count on.

Believe me I know what you are saying here, and with potential injuries, but I don't think any player plots his future based on this.

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WindsorPl
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1/26/2010  10:23 PM
TMS wrote:
kam77 wrote:And by the way... while i don't think Lee will give us huge hometown discount, I think if the two deals are similar or within 5mil he stays with the Knicks.

that's what i said before... the offer needs to match or be close, don't expect him to leave 8 figures on the table to stay in NY


It depends where the offer is from, he may leave more on the table if it's a small market team. Not because of endorsement but because of his girlfriend/fiancee. she may want to be on either the west or east coast. I know that is speculation, maybe wishful thinking too
Allanfan20
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1/27/2010  12:21 AM
I have had concerns about this several times, in terms of this Summer. Wade has said already that he wont come to NY, and LeBron said he wants to be in a winning situation. Those are the two single players that would give up that huge 6th year because they can make it up with endorsements. I still dont think any of those guys end up here.
“Whenever I’m about to do something, I think ‘Would an idiot do that?’ and if they would, I do NOT do that thing.”- Dwight Schrute
Why FA's need to sign 6 year deals

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