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Percentage of pts from 3 pt shots
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fishmike
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12/23/2009  10:49 AM
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:40% from 3 is the same as 60% from 2.

how is this so?


shoot 4-10 from 3 (40%) you score 12 points
shoot 6-10 inside the line (60%) you score 12 points

So if you have a guy shooting 40% from downtown bombs away.. thats a high % shot.

Thing to look at is the EFG%

"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
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McK1
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12/23/2009  11:19 AM
fishmike wrote:
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:40% from 3 is the same as 60% from 2.

how is this so?


shoot 4-10 from 3 (40%) you score 12 points
shoot 6-10 inside the line (60%) you score 12 points

So if you have a guy shooting 40% from downtown bombs away.. thats a high % shot.

Thing to look at is the EFG%

faulty logic. unless you are getting stops everytime down to offset the amount of misses, you lose the percentages battle.

the stop underrating David Lee movement 1. FIRE MIKE 2. HIRE MULLIN 3. PAY AVERY 4. FREE NATE!!!
NYKBocker
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12/23/2009  11:40 AM
I have no problem with us taking a lot of 3s as long as it is open looks. Just as long it is not Fishlips who is taking the shot.
orangeblobman
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12/23/2009  11:45 AM
NYKBocker wrote:I have no problem with us taking a lot of 3s as long as it is open looks. Just as long it is not Fishlips who is taking the shot.

Yea but tell me that Fishlips three in the 4th last night didn't feel OH SO GOOD?!?

WE AIN'T NOWHERE WITH THIS BUM CHOKER IN CARMELO. GIVE ME STARKS'S 2-21 ANY DAY OVER THIS LACKLUSTER CLUSTEREFF.
martin
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12/23/2009  11:53 AM
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:40% from 3 is the same as 60% from 2.

how is this so?


shoot 4-10 from 3 (40%) you score 12 points
shoot 6-10 inside the line (60%) you score 12 points

So if you have a guy shooting 40% from downtown bombs away.. thats a high % shot.

Thing to look at is the EFG%

faulty logic. unless you are getting stops everytime down to offset the amount of misses, you lose the percentages battle.

even your logic doesn't hold up.... one could tack on the fact that shooting 40% from 3pt land offers the opportunity for the offense to grab extra long offensive rebounds.

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McK1
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12/23/2009  12:02 PM
martin wrote:
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:40% from 3 is the same as 60% from 2.

how is this so?


shoot 4-10 from 3 (40%) you score 12 points
shoot 6-10 inside the line (60%) you score 12 points

So if you have a guy shooting 40% from downtown bombs away.. thats a high % shot.

Thing to look at is the EFG%

faulty logic. unless you are getting stops everytime down to offset the amount of misses, you lose the percentages battle.

even your logic doesn't hold up.... one could tack on the fact that shooting 40% from 3pt land offers the opportunity for the offense to grab extra long offensive rebounds.

and then one can tack on to that it gives the defense the opportunity to grab extra long rebounds and get out on breaks for easy scores.

as for my logic, assuming a possession ends with a miss and a rebound, there is a 20% difference in efficiency with shooting 6-10 from two vs 4-10 from three before even considering the offensive production of the opposing team.

the stop underrating David Lee movement 1. FIRE MIKE 2. HIRE MULLIN 3. PAY AVERY 4. FREE NATE!!!
fishmike
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12/23/2009  12:05 PM
martin wrote:
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:40% from 3 is the same as 60% from 2.

how is this so?


shoot 4-10 from 3 (40%) you score 12 points
shoot 6-10 inside the line (60%) you score 12 points

So if you have a guy shooting 40% from downtown bombs away.. thats a high % shot.

Thing to look at is the EFG%

faulty logic. unless you are getting stops everytime down to offset the amount of misses, you lose the percentages battle.

even your logic doesn't hold up.... one could tack on the fact that shooting 40% from 3pt land offers the opportunity for the offense to grab extra long offensive rebounds.


there is no logic. This is why I dont put too much stock into stats. You gotta watch and determine if the shots are good or not.

Would you agree that a big part of the Knicks success of late has simply been more effort on things like loose balls? They play a small line up, and their a jump shooting team. Their best bet at extra possesions are tracking down those lose balls, steals, deflections. They dont have bruisers that can hit that offensive glass

"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
McK1
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12/23/2009  12:09 PM
fishmike wrote:
martin wrote:
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:40% from 3 is the same as 60% from 2.

how is this so?


shoot 4-10 from 3 (40%) you score 12 points
shoot 6-10 inside the line (60%) you score 12 points

So if you have a guy shooting 40% from downtown bombs away.. thats a high % shot.

Thing to look at is the EFG%

faulty logic. unless you are getting stops everytime down to offset the amount of misses, you lose the percentages battle.

even your logic doesn't hold up.... one could tack on the fact that shooting 40% from 3pt land offers the opportunity for the offense to grab extra long offensive rebounds.


there is no logic. This is why I dont put too much stock into stats. You gotta watch and determine if the shots are good or not.

Would you agree that a big part of the Knicks success of late has simply been more effort on things like loose balls? They play a small line up, and their a jump shooting team. Their best bet at extra possesions are tracking down those lose balls, steals, deflections. They dont have bruisers that can hit that offensive glass

knicks are taking the ball inside more and getting to the line. In wins (which are all recent) NY has attempted 25.5 free throws and 24.5 threes. In losses NY has attempted 30.1 threes 19.1 free throws

http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/stats/byteam?cat1=Splits&cat2=50&conference=NBA&year=season_2009

the stop underrating David Lee movement 1. FIRE MIKE 2. HIRE MULLIN 3. PAY AVERY 4. FREE NATE!!!
martin
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12/23/2009  12:22 PM
McK1 wrote:
martin wrote:
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:40% from 3 is the same as 60% from 2.

how is this so?


shoot 4-10 from 3 (40%) you score 12 points
shoot 6-10 inside the line (60%) you score 12 points

So if you have a guy shooting 40% from downtown bombs away.. thats a high % shot.

Thing to look at is the EFG%

faulty logic. unless you are getting stops everytime down to offset the amount of misses, you lose the percentages battle.

even your logic doesn't hold up.... one could tack on the fact that shooting 40% from 3pt land offers the opportunity for the offense to grab extra long offensive rebounds.

and then one can tack on to that it gives the defense the opportunity to grab extra long rebounds and get out on breaks for easy scores.

as for my logic, assuming a possession ends with a miss and a rebound, there is a 20% difference in efficiency with shooting 6-10 from two vs 4-10 from three before even considering the offensive production of the opposing team.

holy pointless.

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newyorknewyork
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12/23/2009  12:23 PM
There is a method to the madness.

You know how much easier Robert Horry made Shaq and Duncan's job. Or Rasheed Wallace made Ben Wallace's job or Rashard Lewis and Turk made Dwight Howard's job.

David Lee can attribute a lot of this seasons success for the amount of spacing they have been able to provide him to grab rebounds, PNR or go one on one.

The being able to attack the paint and knock down the 3s go hand in hand. If you can't knock down the 3s then opponents will just pack the lanes and dare us to shoot. If you can't penetrate then opponents will press up on the shooters not respecting our ability to penitrate.

Our ability to penetrate recently can be attributed to our ability to knock down 3s.

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fishmike
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12/23/2009  12:24 PM
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
martin wrote:
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:40% from 3 is the same as 60% from 2.

how is this so?


shoot 4-10 from 3 (40%) you score 12 points
shoot 6-10 inside the line (60%) you score 12 points

So if you have a guy shooting 40% from downtown bombs away.. thats a high % shot.

Thing to look at is the EFG%

faulty logic. unless you are getting stops everytime down to offset the amount of misses, you lose the percentages battle.

even your logic doesn't hold up.... one could tack on the fact that shooting 40% from 3pt land offers the opportunity for the offense to grab extra long offensive rebounds.


there is no logic. This is why I dont put too much stock into stats. You gotta watch and determine if the shots are good or not.

Would you agree that a big part of the Knicks success of late has simply been more effort on things like loose balls? They play a small line up, and their a jump shooting team. Their best bet at extra possesions are tracking down those lose balls, steals, deflections. They dont have bruisers that can hit that offensive glass

knicks are taking the ball inside more and getting to the line. In wins (which are all recent) NY has attempted 25.5 free throws and 24.5 threes. In losses NY has attempted 30.1 threes 19.1 free throws

http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/stats/byteam?cat1=Splits&cat2=50&conference=NBA&year=season_2009

but thats clear as day isnt it? I think we would agree on the big factors in the KNicks playing better no? Much improved PG play (Duhon went from abysmal to decent), much better defense and better shots. The last one (better shots) is Harrington, Hughes and Chandler taking less 3's and going to the rim much more.

They are shooting 25 3's in wins. Thats a lot.

I would love to know the win/loss diff for just Hughes/Harrington/Chandler. I bet the fewer 3s they shoot the better our +/- is

"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
kam77
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12/23/2009  12:28 PM
McK1 wrote:
martin wrote:
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:40% from 3 is the same as 60% from 2.

how is this so?


shoot 4-10 from 3 (40%) you score 12 points
shoot 6-10 inside the line (60%) you score 12 points

So if you have a guy shooting 40% from downtown bombs away.. thats a high % shot.

Thing to look at is the EFG%

faulty logic. unless you are getting stops everytime down to offset the amount of misses, you lose the percentages battle.

even your logic doesn't hold up.... one could tack on the fact that shooting 40% from 3pt land offers the opportunity for the offense to grab extra long offensive rebounds.


as for my logic, assuming a possession ends with a miss and a rebound, there is a 20% difference in efficiency with shooting 6-10 from two vs 4-10 from three before even considering the offensive production of the opposing team.


There is a 50% difference in efficiency, between 60% and 40%. 60 is 1.5 times 40.

There is also a 50% difference in points allocated. 3 points are 1.5 times 2 points.

It's a wash.

lol @ being BANNED by Martin since 11/07/10 (for asking if Mr. Earl had a point). Really, Martin? C'mon. This is the internet. I've seen much worse on this site. By Earl himself. Drop the hypocrisy.
McK1
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12/23/2009  12:33 PM
martin wrote:
McK1 wrote:
martin wrote:
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:40% from 3 is the same as 60% from 2.

how is this so?


shoot 4-10 from 3 (40%) you score 12 points
shoot 6-10 inside the line (60%) you score 12 points

So if you have a guy shooting 40% from downtown bombs away.. thats a high % shot.

Thing to look at is the EFG%

faulty logic. unless you are getting stops everytime down to offset the amount of misses, you lose the percentages battle.

even your logic doesn't hold up.... one could tack on the fact that shooting 40% from 3pt land offers the opportunity for the offense to grab extra long offensive rebounds.

and then one can tack on to that it gives the defense the opportunity to grab extra long rebounds and get out on breaks for easy scores.

as for my logic, assuming a possession ends with a miss and a rebound, there is a 20% difference in efficiency with shooting 6-10 from two vs 4-10 from three before even considering the offensive production of the opposing team.

holy pointless.

i thought the same thing of your initial reply to me but its not my board to **** on

the stop underrating David Lee movement 1. FIRE MIKE 2. HIRE MULLIN 3. PAY AVERY 4. FREE NATE!!!
martin
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12/23/2009  12:36 PM
McK1 wrote:
martin wrote:
McK1 wrote:
martin wrote:
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:40% from 3 is the same as 60% from 2.

how is this so?


shoot 4-10 from 3 (40%) you score 12 points
shoot 6-10 inside the line (60%) you score 12 points

So if you have a guy shooting 40% from downtown bombs away.. thats a high % shot.

Thing to look at is the EFG%

faulty logic. unless you are getting stops everytime down to offset the amount of misses, you lose the percentages battle.

even your logic doesn't hold up.... one could tack on the fact that shooting 40% from 3pt land offers the opportunity for the offense to grab extra long offensive rebounds.

and then one can tack on to that it gives the defense the opportunity to grab extra long rebounds and get out on breaks for easy scores.

as for my logic, assuming a possession ends with a miss and a rebound, there is a 20% difference in efficiency with shooting 6-10 from two vs 4-10 from three before even considering the offensive production of the opposing team.

holy pointless.

i thought the same thing of your initial reply to me but its not my board to **** on

all i know is it seems as if you don't understand eFG%. or simple math.

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newyorknewyork
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12/23/2009  12:38 PM
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
martin wrote:
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:
McK1 wrote:
fishmike wrote:40% from 3 is the same as 60% from 2.

how is this so?


shoot 4-10 from 3 (40%) you score 12 points
shoot 6-10 inside the line (60%) you score 12 points

So if you have a guy shooting 40% from downtown bombs away.. thats a high % shot.

Thing to look at is the EFG%

faulty logic. unless you are getting stops everytime down to offset the amount of misses, you lose the percentages battle.

even your logic doesn't hold up.... one could tack on the fact that shooting 40% from 3pt land offers the opportunity for the offense to grab extra long offensive rebounds.


there is no logic. This is why I dont put too much stock into stats. You gotta watch and determine if the shots are good or not.

Would you agree that a big part of the Knicks success of late has simply been more effort on things like loose balls? They play a small line up, and their a jump shooting team. Their best bet at extra possesions are tracking down those lose balls, steals, deflections. They dont have bruisers that can hit that offensive glass

knicks are taking the ball inside more and getting to the line. In wins (which are all recent) NY has attempted 25.5 free throws and 24.5 threes. In losses NY has attempted 30.1 threes 19.1 free throws

http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/stats/byteam?cat1=Splits&cat2=50&conference=NBA&year=season_2009

Knicks are also shooting 39% of 3s in wins and 31% of 3s in losses. They shoot more 3s even though the % is lower in losses because they need to. Making 3s opens up the lanes for penetration. We don't have many players with elite blow by ability. We need the threat of the 3 to open up our ability to penetrate and PNR. If we don't hit 3s then our PNR game is shut down as is our ability to penitrate.

https://vote.nba.com/en Vote for your Knicks.
McK1
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12/23/2009  12:39 PM
kam77 wrote:

There is a 50% difference in efficiency, between 60% and 40%. 60 is 1.5 times 40.

There is also a 50% difference in points allocated. 3 points are 1.5 times 2 points.

It's a wash.

how is it a wash? unless you are in a gym shooting alone the outcome of those 6 misses vs 4 matters

the stop underrating David Lee movement 1. FIRE MIKE 2. HIRE MULLIN 3. PAY AVERY 4. FREE NATE!!!
kam77
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12/23/2009  3:09 PM
McK1 wrote:
kam77 wrote:

There is a 50% difference in efficiency, between 60% and 40%. 60 is 1.5 times 40.

There is also a 50% difference in points allocated. 3 points are 1.5 times 2 points.

It's a wash.

how is it a wash? unless you are in a gym shooting alone the outcome of those 6 misses vs 4 matters

The fact that i missed a shot doesn't impact my opponent's ability of making their shot. I do what's best for me, my opponent does what's best for him based on the makeup of our roster's and ability of our players.

lol @ being BANNED by Martin since 11/07/10 (for asking if Mr. Earl had a point). Really, Martin? C'mon. This is the internet. I've seen much worse on this site. By Earl himself. Drop the hypocrisy.
CrushAlot
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12/23/2009  3:16 PM
McK1 wrote:
kam77 wrote:

There is a 50% difference in efficiency, between 60% and 40%. 60 is 1.5 times 40.

There is also a 50% difference in points allocated. 3 points are 1.5 times 2 points.

It's a wash.

how is it a wash? unless you are in a gym shooting alone the outcome of those 6 misses vs 4 matters

I think if you calculated the percentage of rebounds that lead to fast breaks you would find a higher percentage of breaks off of the three point shot.

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martin
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12/23/2009  3:30 PM
CrushAlot wrote:
McK1 wrote:
kam77 wrote:

There is a 50% difference in efficiency, between 60% and 40%. 60 is 1.5 times 40.

There is also a 50% difference in points allocated. 3 points are 1.5 times 2 points.

It's a wash.

how is it a wash? unless you are in a gym shooting alone the outcome of those 6 misses vs 4 matters

I think if you calculated the percentage of rebounds that lead to fast breaks you would find a higher percentage of breaks off of the three point shot.

could be. But then you would also have to account for the greater number of rebounds that are available to be offensive rebounds for the team that is shooting the 3's.

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OldFan
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12/23/2009  6:04 PM
BRIGGS wrote:
OldFan wrote:
BRIGGS wrote:
OldFan wrote:On another thread we had a conversation about the three point shot and how important it was or wasn't. From stats above teams this year are getting between 11 - 31% of their pts from 3 pts shots. Most of the good teams are getting 20% or more of their pts from 3 pointers.

It's a niche part of the game. The best team in the league and NBA champs take 18% of their shots from 3. That means they focus us taking good high quality shots rebounding and defense and use the 3 at times when it's a good shot or too help spread the floor.

Gallo's night is a good example or even a John Starks going way back game 6 Houston---it's fool's gold when you over use the shot. Taking more than 20% will catch up with you when it counts. It's a long season and it's a long shot. In the playoffs you need to make shots play D and rebound and protect the ball. the 3 ball is a niche shot/part of the game.

If Gallo continues his excessive pace from 3 he will drift under 40%

I hope Gallo does start taking less three pointers also.

I don't like the 3 pt shot very much - never have - but 20% is more then a fringe part of the game.

20% is a small %--I don't know what else to say? Also how many 3 point shots create foul shot opportunities? Very very low. It's a niche part of the game--it can be an important niche but you want to have your main focus on taking good shots protecting the ball playing good defense + rebounding. An open 3 is a good shot if taken by the right players. It's a good shot to help spread the floor and create momentum--after that--if it is used too frequently--well lets go back to when we were losing games by 20 early in the season. We have shot a lower % of them since.

I think number of foul shots correlates much better to shots in the paint/post then it does with 2 pt shots.
A lot of two pt shots are jump shots and jump shooters don't get fouled that often. From below we can see that the
negative correlation between percentage of pts from three pt shots and foul shots is not that strong.

I agree a team can and the Knicks have taken too many 3 ptrs but it's a large part of the current game 20% of pts scored and has a large effect on how teams play offense and defense.



% pts from
overall 3ptrs FT 2ptrs 3ptrs FT
Suns 40.6 82.4 49.3 9.3 21.9 42.5 17.8 23.9 74.2 108.3 57.80% 25.76% 16.44%
Bucks 38 87.2 43.6 8.2 22 37 13.9 19.4 71.8 98 60.82% 25.10% 14.18%
Hornets 37.4 83.9 44.6 7.7 21.8 35.5 15.6 20.4 76.5 98.1 60.55% 23.55% 15.90%
Cavaliers 36.9 77 47.9 7.5 17.7 42.1 18.4 25 73.5 99.6 59.04% 22.59% 18.47%
Rockets 38.1 84.9 44.9 7.5 22.2 33.8 17.9 23.5 76.1 101.5 60.30% 22.17% 17.64%
Spurs 37.8 79 47.8 7.2 18.4 38.9 19.1 25.8 74 101.9 60.06% 21.20% 18.74%
Mavericks 37.9 83 45.7 6.9 18.9 36.3 18.2 22.8 80 100.9 61.45% 20.52% 18.04%
Celtics 37.7 77 49 6.8 18.9 36 19.3 25.2 76.4 101.5 60.89% 20.10% 19.01%
Trail Blazers 34.5 76.7 45 6.4 18 35.8 20.5 26.2 78.3 96 58.54% 20.00% 21.35%
Pacers 35.5 81.9 43.3 6.4 20.3 31.7 19.9 25.9 76.8 97.3 59.82% 19.73% 20.45%
Kings 39.3 83.3 47.2 6.7 18.4 36.4 18.6 25.8 72.3 103.9 62.75% 19.35% 17.90%
Raptors 37.9 81.1 46.8 6.6 18 36.6 21.3 27.7 77.1 103.8 60.31% 19.08% 20.52%
Hawks 40.4 85.5 47.2 6.7 18.4 36.1 18.1 23.7 76.5 105.5 63.89% 19.05% 17.16%
Lakers 39.4 85.4 46.2 6.4 19.5 33.1 18.2 23.8 76.6 103.6 63.71% 18.53% 17.57%
76ers 37 82.3 44.9 5.9 17.3 34 17.8 22.9 77.9 97.6 63.73% 18.14% 18.24%
Warriors 40 85.2 47 6.3 17.5 36 20.1 25.8 77.9 106.5 63.29% 17.75% 18.87%
Heat 36.4 78.6 46.3 5.7 16.6 34.3 19.4 25.7 75.3 97.9 62.72% 17.47% 19.82%
Wizards 36.8 83.1 44.3 5.6 17.1 32.7 19.8 26.4 75.1 99 63.03% 16.97% 20.00%
Bobcats 33.5 76.5 43.8 5 16 31.5 19.2 26.7 71.9 91.2 62.50% 16.45% 21.05%
Nuggets 37.5 80.2 46.8 5.8 16 36.5 26.5 32.7 80.9 107.3 59.09% 16.22% 24.70%
Thunder 35.7 79.5 44.9 5.2 16.2 31.8 20.9 25.9 80.5 97.4 62.63% 16.02% 21.46%
Clippers 36.6 79.5 46.1 4.8 15.5 30.9 17.6 24.2 73 95.6 66.53% 15.06% 18.41%
Pistons 35.1 78.9 44.5 4.1 14.2 29.2 18.3 25.2 72.5 92.6 66.95% 13.28% 19.76%
Jazz 38.8 79.2 48.9 4.3 12.7 33.4 19.5 26.4 73.8 101.2 68.18% 12.75% 19.27%
Nets 33.5 80.8 41.5 3.6 13.3 26.8 18.8 24.1 77.9 89.4 66.89% 12.08% 21.03%
Timberwolves 37.3 84.4 44.2 3.6 12.5 28.9 15.9 22 72.4 94.1 71.63% 11.48% 16.90%
Bulls 35.4 82.9 42.7 3.4 11.3 29.9 16.7 22.4 74.6 90.9 70.41% 11.22% 18.37%
Grizzlies 39.8 83.1 47.9 3.5 11.3 30.8 19.3 26.5 72.9 102.4 70.90% 10.25% 18.85%

Percentage of pts from 3 pt shots

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