DefAndReb
Posts: 20459
Alba Posts: 0
Joined: 10/9/2002
Member: #336
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There's a difference between the processes that bring a Euro player and a college player to the NBA.
College game is different, more pressing, shooters aren't that good, three-point line is much closer to the basket. Euro players are playing pro ball, not the level of NBA, but it's a level much higher than college. Think about who plays in Europe: young talented guys the same age as our high-schoolers/underclassmen, getting minutes against guys who are Euro-pro vets, or have played the NBA game, and are not quite good enough to stay in the NBA. Europe is the new CBA, with better players, mainly because they have better shooting skills.
NCAA is depleted because kids leave so early or skip college altogether, because they are drafted on potential, not current level. The NCAA talent level decreases, and so does the quality of play, and that affects the college players.
You learn to play against your competitors, and if they are average, your game will be average when you go up against someone better. John Wallace in the NCAA Tournament? A steamroller. John Wallace vs. NBA speed/strength? A tricycle.
A guy who scores 20 a game in Europe is arguably going to be better than one who scores 20 a game vs. the schmoes still sticking it out in college. It doesn't always work out that way, but drafting is a gamble. No one know for sure who the best players in this draft will be five years from now, but that's what all these GMs and scouts are doing. Gambling.
In Pavel's case, he's 7'5" and can play well enough that he's worth the project. If a 7'5" project succeeds, it's all worth it, and you're a genius GM. If not, it was worth the shot. Think about it. A Russian and Chinese, 7 and a half feet tall each, playing one on one in a capitalist Gatorade commercial. Think of the money this guy brings to your team if he's any good! If he turns out to rock, you'll be villified for passing him up.
Hype? Don't know yet. Worth it? Always.
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