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Isiah's track record
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tkf
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12/19/2005  12:57 PM
Posted by Bippity10:

I just find it funny how guys on this site screamed for us to draft players(some of whom aren't in the league and others that are but will never produce) and then turn around and call a guy an idiot for any moves he's made. I wish we could go back in time and listen to who everyone was calling for us to draft over the past few eyars. Personally 2 years into a plan I have no idea how it will turn out.

I remember when Dallas drafted Roy Tarpley and the world thought it was the greatest pick ever. After he kicked his drug habit he became one of the best players in the league. Then he started taking drugs again and most people on this site have no idea who he is. You can't judge trades and draft picks before they even get into the league or 21 games into their time on your team. We say forsight is genious but then we can Eddie Curry after 21 games. How do we know who he will become. If he was in the draft this year at 22 he would be the top pick(even with his current flaws) and everyone would be biotching about how we could never get a franchise guy like him.

I remember Tarpley well, I think he played at michigan, great PF in the NBA, he was on track to be the leagues best PF, I hate what he did to himself, truly hate it!!
Anyone who sits around and waits for the lottery to better themselves, either in real life or in sports, Is a Loser............... TKF
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BlueSeats
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12/19/2005  12:58 PM
Posted by Bippity10:

You don't have to like the contracts but it doesn't matter we aren't getting under the cap anyway. Shouldn't be that difficult to understand. Allan was here for another 3 years. We were not getting under the cap in that time. Isiah had two choices. Sit pat and let us watch Eisley and company for another 3 years. Or make a bold splash and try to win some games while allan was here. Does it agree with what you and I would have done? That's the question. But the guy took a chance and it didn't work out because of allan's knee. That's life in sports and only hindsight makes a guy an idiot.

Why do you take it as a point of fact that "we aren't getting under the cap"? I mean it's obvious we aren't now, but that didn't have to be the case then. Getting under the cap isn't something you do on a whim, it's something you plan and strategise for.

When isiah took over we had no one worth building around. Houston's knees were already shot and no one else was even a legitimate starter on a good team. If ever there was a time to rebuild it was then. The argument against it was that we'd have to wait 3 years for contracts to come off the books. Yeah, well, that's the right amount of time to be mining the draft and developing your core. After 3 or so years you have a better idea of what you've got, and if you're going to add expensive talent you've got a better idea of who would fit.

The net result is a lean and trim roster without the bloat of unmovable contracts.

And for everyone who things it's so damn impossible to get under the cap, or that we'd have to gut our roster and suck for years to come to do so, please keep in mind Grundfeld went under the cap to net us Houston (on a good contract), LJ and Childs. he also took us from 47 to 57 wins in the process.

Anyway, the point of all this is that a traditional rebuild maximizes the efficience of the three ways to obtain talent while our path works directly against efficiency: low draft picks, MLE free agency, and unmovable contracts, are inefficient means of improvement. But you want me to accept that building around a broken Houston justifies the difference? Sorta like building around McDyess and his broken knee justified trading Camby and the #7 pick?
djsunyc
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12/19/2005  12:59 PM
Posted by Bippity10:

It's now up to Marbs to perform. I think he's giving an effort at this point. If he can't get it done than trade him. But don't trade him for garbage becaue that does nothing for us.

what constitutes garbage? i'm in the camp that if we can move him for a CLEAR salary dump and a pick or young player in return, then we should do it. you're right, we have shifted gears and we have a slew of players 25 and younger to start something with. i also believe that even tho marbury is trying, his mere presence on the team, for lack of a better term, is holding us back. why? b/c we know he's not a leader and he's not smart. but he's still the man here and he still gets the ball in his hands when it matters. none of the young players can really step up to say or do anything about it. problem is that none of our older players can either b/c they're not good enough on the court. so, to me, we're just spinning our wheels and this whole 1st half of the season has been spent trying to make it work with steph. ok, it's only been 22 games but do we invest an entire season to change 10 years?

so yes, isiah took a chance and it's not working out. and i would love for him to admit his mistake about steph, and he kind of has just by his recent moves. so now it's time to let him go. and if it means getting back nothing of value, then so be it. why? b/c no matter how talented marbury is, he completely kills the "intangibles" factor of the team and with our young guys, i don't want that type of influence around. and if we're not going to get quality in return, then we need to get contracts that are done no later than next year.
tkf
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12/19/2005  1:00 PM
Posted by Bippity10:

I look at the Dice acquisition the same way I look at the Marbs one. *I had no problem with the trade. Layden took a chance. It turned out to be a bad one. But to me I was okay with it because If Dice had been okay we would have cheered the trade. My problem with that trade is after Dice went down again, we still tried to build around him. That was lunacy, and that is a firable offense.

Being consistent I look at the Marbs trade the same way. The trade was made to work alongside Allan Houston. That failed. Okay, fair enough. Now I expect my GM to move on from this. I have an Eddie Curry trade and a Frye drafting and a Brown signing, that says he has changed gears and is now building in a new direction. This is what happens when you rebuild, not everything goes your way. This is why it's taken Chicago 6 years of losing and 3 different building directions just to get to .500 ball.

It's now up to Marbs to perform. I think he's giving an effort at this point. If he can't get it done than trade him. But don't trade him for garbage becaue that does nothing for us.


yea, I agree bip, I must be honest, I was behind the dice trade at first, although I had my reservations about his health, but when he went down, that should of been a sign, to move on, yea we lost the pick, and we lost camby, but at that point, I would of been looking to dump dice's expiring deal.

It came along made the big splash with marbs, it has not worked, we are moving in different direction with two young bigs and a host of young support players that have a future in this league, now is the time to take some lumps, waiting for things to get better with marbs may be IT's fatal mistake..
Anyone who sits around and waits for the lottery to better themselves, either in real life or in sports, Is a Loser............... TKF
tkf
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12/19/2005  1:07 PM
I want to ask, really what is the downside of getting rid of marbs now? I think a team like Dallas is ripe for the picking, they are on the cusp, a guy like marbs is a upgrade Terry and at this point in his career Harris, I say trade marbs, see if we can get back harris and DAniels, it may be far fetched, but it also may be too enticing for cuban to pass up. Marbury and dirk has a lot of star appeal, will win them more games, could be done IMO.... I know there will have to be fillers because of marbs deal, but I am game...
Anyone who sits around and waits for the lottery to better themselves, either in real life or in sports, Is a Loser............... TKF
Bippity10
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12/19/2005  1:09 PM
TKF: I hated the Dice trade but I understood that Layden was taking a chance and therefore was more than willing to give it time to see how it would work out. So I hated it, but I did not call Layden an idiot. That stareted after he continued to build a team around Dice after the second injury.

My take is this. People keep screaming about why we don't use the draft but if we drafted for the next six years would we come out with a group of players with more potential than what we have? It's very debateable. If 3 years of drafting brought us Frye, Curry, Lee, Robinson, Ariza and Butler we would all be ecstatic. This group has as much potential as any of the othe rebuilding teams. Now the question is how do we build around Curry and Frye. Do that right and everything changes!
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Bippity10
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12/19/2005  1:14 PM
There is no downside to trading Marbs. Most people are for it. I don't blame Marbs for much and I still am open to trading him. But I do feel that the negative affect he has on this team is more media created than anything he does.I woul dsay that would still be a reason to trade him but the media will just find a new whipping boy.

I'm okay with a trade, but I don't see how dumping him for scraps helps us. We are still over the cap and just got rid of our best player. Let Brown determine if he is a detriment to the team, not the media.

As for young players not being able to step up because of Marbury. Poppycrock. A true franchise potential player will take the leadership reigns from him. These are grown men, not sissy's, you have to earn it.
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djsunyc
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12/19/2005  1:22 PM
Posted by Bippity10:

I'm okay with a trade, but I don't see how dumping him for scraps helps us. We are still over the cap and just got rid of our best player. Let Brown determine if he is a detriment to the team, not the media.

As for young players not being able to step up because of Marbury. Poppycrock. A true franchise potential player will take the leadership reigns from him. These are grown men, not sissy's, you have to earn it.

yup, a true franchise potential player should. that just goes to show you that we don't have one...yet. but maybe there is one in the midst that needs some time to come out or maybe we're just a collection of decent players.

look at pheonix - it looks like they needed a guy to lead that group of talent and they went and got nash. the nets needed one that could lead rj and kmart. they went out and got one. now we need somebody to lead frye and curry and help develop them. is it steph?

since you're a coach, can you give us some insight on how important having a leader out on the court is to a younger team? maybe i'm totally off-base on this one so can you shed some light on this?

as for lb - i think he pretty much said everything that can be said on how steph is not what he's looking for. "we have no head to lead our young guys" "we have nobody that can move the ball." etc. all direct hits at steph. he also does say "steph is doing everything we're asking him to do" and stuff like that. so it's not all bad but there's something clearly amiss.
Bippity10
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12/19/2005  1:27 PM
Djsuny: I agre with everything you said. We need a leader. That doesn't mean you trade Marbs for scraps just because the media says he is hurting us. IF Brown determines he is a detriment than he will be gone. It's that simple. But if the guy is trying is arse off and just coming up short because he's just not capable you don't dump that guy just to get rid of him. You hold onto him until a good trade comes up.
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djsunyc
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12/19/2005  1:32 PM
Posted by Bippity10:

Djsuny: I agre with everything you said. We need a leader. That doesn't mean you trade Marbs for scraps just because the media says he is hurting us. IF Brown determines he is a detriment than he will be gone. It's that simple. But if the guy is trying is arse off and just coming up short because he's just not capable you don't dump that guy just to get rid of him. You hold onto him until a good trade comes up.


i agree with you also. we won't trade anybody just b/c the media said so. isiah and larry are f'n basketball people for 50+ years combined. they know what they're doing. if they decide they're not going to trade steph, then maybe there's a good reason why and i'm 100% wrong in my assumptions. and that's fine b/c i THINK i know bball but they KNOW bball.

so if they trade him, fine - it's b/c it's the best for the team in isiah's and lb's eyes. if they don't, fine - it's b/c it's the best for the team in isiah's and lb's eyes.
Pharzeone
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12/19/2005  1:37 PM
Posted by McK1:

it wasn't necessarily a vision of Marbury-Houston. First he tried to acquire Terry then he tried to acquire Crawford. 3 very different point guards with 3 very different games. He never had a concise vision. It was more I can make a big splash trading for someone in the easiest area to upgrade talent wise - point guard - while moving hated Layden players. NY will instantly love me.


ps
We would've been better off had he been able to acquire Terry. He has evolved into a baby Cassell.

Dolan, Mills and Houston all said that Isiah wanted to bring a guard like Marbury to the Knicks to play with Houston. From day 1. That was his selling point to both Mills and Dolan. All 3 been quoted saying this, Isiah said it again at Houston's retirement unchallenge. What's so ironic was that Layden was trying to acquire Marbury before he was fired. Where are you now getting this information from?
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islesfan
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12/19/2005  1:56 PM
Posted by BlueSeats:

With such good drafting skills one would think he's emphasize that aspect of the rebuild. Instead he's mostly been running from it.

In the case of the knicks, if Frye is removed, Ariza, Nate, and Lee are good fr their draft position, but hardly a stellar group. But in no way was a 33 win record for the 8th pick in his game plan.

where would we be without Frye, our reward for failure of Isiah's intent? And where might we be with the three or four picks given up in the Marbury and Curry deals? where might we be if we built primarily through the draft and assembling an affordable roster of value contracts who were all movable on a dime and with flexibility to nab the numerous player who want to play for Zeke through free agency?

I've always had a problem with the Marbury deal being his first. Getting talent too soon hinders your chance of getting the high picks which give you your best chance to build through the draft. In fact, I believe a traditional rebuild offers the best chance to maximize talent acquisition.

1) First shed payroll where possible which has you get worse to stink it up and get high draft picks. That maximizes your effort through the draft.

2) Continue to shed questionable contracts to get near or under the cap maximize your opportunity through free agency.

3) After having a pool of fairly priced talent and future picks you are then in the market to try to land a stud through trade. If, as the last of your expiring contracts come to term you feel better talent can be had by trading them than through free agency you can do it, but it's not wise to make that assumption 3 or 4 years prior.

Thus, I believe the traditional rebuild allows one to maximize the three means to acquire talent: draft, free agency and trade. The path we've been on hinders opportunity by running away from high draft picks, running away from significant free agency, and clogging our roster with undesirable and nearly unmovable contracts. I see it as a rush to mediocrity.

This post should be stickied.
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crzymdups
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12/19/2005  2:12 PM
Posted by islesfan:
Posted by BlueSeats:

With such good drafting skills one would think he's emphasize that aspect of the rebuild. Instead he's mostly been running from it.

In the case of the knicks, if Frye is removed, Ariza, Nate, and Lee are good fr their draft position, but hardly a stellar group. But in no way was a 33 win record for the 8th pick in his game plan.

where would we be without Frye, our reward for failure of Isiah's intent? And where might we be with the three or four picks given up in the Marbury and Curry deals? where might we be if we built primarily through the draft and assembling an affordable roster of value contracts who were all movable on a dime and with flexibility to nab the numerous player who want to play for Zeke through free agency?

I've always had a problem with the Marbury deal being his first. Getting talent too soon hinders your chance of getting the high picks which give you your best chance to build through the draft. In fact, I believe a traditional rebuild offers the best chance to maximize talent acquisition.

1) First shed payroll where possible which has you get worse to stink it up and get high draft picks. That maximizes your effort through the draft.

2) Continue to shed questionable contracts to get near or under the cap maximize your opportunity through free agency.

3) After having a pool of fairly priced talent and future picks you are then in the market to try to land a stud through trade. If, as the last of your expiring contracts come to term you feel better talent can be had by trading them than through free agency you can do it, but it's not wise to make that assumption 3 or 4 years prior.

Thus, I believe the traditional rebuild allows one to maximize the three means to acquire talent: draft, free agency and trade. The path we've been on hinders opportunity by running away from high draft picks, running away from significant free agency, and clogging our roster with undesirable and nearly unmovable contracts. I see it as a rush to mediocrity.

This post should be stickied.

yes, great post. But I've said this before and I'll say it again: I do not believe Isiah was hired to stay Layden's course or to rebuild. That was Dolan. At Isiah's press conference, Isiah was saying it would take years for the Knicks to contend and Dolan interupted him and said he wanted them to contend this season (this season being 03-04). I believe Isiah was pressured into making a move that would get that team to the playoffs and bring some energy to their fan base. From that sense, it was a good trade. In terms of long term goals, it's obviously turning into a huge failure.

But, please, let's not act like Isiah had a choice in the matter and could have happily gone to the lottery in 2004. Dolan was pressuring him to make a trade and to make the playoffs to present the illusion of a winning team. We had four assets at the time: McDyess' contract, Ward's contract, KT's contract and the 2004 draft pick. Sweetney wasn't an asset because Layden's regime didn't play him once. Frank Williams was a borderline asset who had maybe 10 good games under his belt, 3 as a starter.

I'm not completely ready to write off Marbury, but it's not looking good. But if the Marbury trade is an indictment of anything, it's an indictment of how Dolan has wanted this franchise run since he's been here.

[Edited by - crzymdups on 12-19-2005 2:13 PM]
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efw
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12/19/2005  2:43 PM
Blue - excellent post.

That model of a rebuild is the most effective. There are some things that I disagree with however with regards to the Knicks situation.

Firstly, I truly believe that the Knicks as presently owned, are a product more than a true sports team. An organization, obviously will reflect it's owners and, as much as some people like to lay the blame at Isiah's feet, the real onus should be placed with Jim Dolan. Remember, Isiah has a boss too.

I don't believe that Jim Dolan finds a traditional rebuild in the manner which you layed out as acceptable. That would involve losing massive amounts of money and no longer ranking near the top of Forbes most profitbale sports teams. I deduce this by the fact that, since he's been owner, he's been willing to throw gobs of money at players and management that will keep the Knicks ticket holders coming out even as the team itself is mediocre and insubstantial. While he would no doubt be thrilled to own a championship team, I believe he is far more concerned with the possibility of the Knicks falling into the basement and tanking, losing tons of revenue.

Now, Isiah probably is at fault for even attempting to somehow turn that terrible Layden team into a contender "on the fly" in spite of everyone telling him to rebuild. But I don't believe it's appropriate to fault him for carrying out his employer's wishes (even if he takes all of the heat). This year, after a year-and-a-half of style and flash over substance, Isiah and, more importantly, Dolan are being forced to rebuild. Unfortunately, it's too late in terms of cap space (although improvements could yet still be made). But he has acquired three to four quality ball players who not only could be great for our team but, also, whom other teams have expressed definite interest in. Personally, I don't think that trading away draft picks for Eddy Curry is such a big deal, but even if you do, it is still possible to acquire additional draft picks later this year or even for the 07 draft, which will be much stronger.

Secondly, while I too espouse your model of a rebuild as the most efficient one, it is not impossible to build a contending team while over the cap. Dallas has done quite well for themselves by drafting extremely well in the mid to late draft and assembling expensive cast-offs over the years (Dampier, Stackhouse, Jamison, Terry, Van excel, etc.) It has taken them a while to get to where they are, but they did it the same way that we're doing it. However (and this is not insignificant), the quality of their stars is superior to ours. Hopefully, over time, that will change.


Rebuilding takes time, whether done via a traditional way or a non-traditional way. I really believe that the acquisition of Marbury was done as a stop gap for financial reasons. Now that that plan has withered away, I would not be surprised at all to see Steph gone at some point within the next two years. We must have patience.
newyorknewyork
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12/19/2005  2:56 PM
The Dice trade was a bad one because Dice didn't play basketball for like 2yrs and we gave up a lottery pick and Camby for him.

I could understand just the lottery pick or just Camby but both???

Bip you and I are in the same line of thinking when the Marbury trade went down. Marbury and Houston would have been deadly to. And if Houston doesn't get hurt we are a different team right now. We would be a more successfull team. Which would make all the other pieces look a lot more attractive. Which would make moves more in our favor. Which would also make guys like Swift and his calibre want to sign here for the midlevel instead of Houston. Or when young studs want out of there team to get bigger money. Our pieces look sexier to Gms since we would be winnning. Along with solid drafting. This road could have done something.

I say our best bet is be patient. Keep this team together until we get the deals we want. Maybe this team needs stability more than anything. Curry, Frye, Davis, LEE, Nate, Q are all new players to this team. Larry Brown is our new coach. You keep the same team together under Brown where they learn to play together and learn Browns way to play together then they will be a tough team. Its not good to make moves when your players value is low anyway. The offers we would get back would probably be bad. We would be better off trying to gain on the court chemistry with Brown than make a bad trade just to shake things up.
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Bippity10
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12/19/2005  3:09 PM
NewYork: I agree with everything you said.
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BlueSeats
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12/19/2005  3:13 PM
good points efw. I agree Dolan is the root of the problem. But at the same time, we don't know where the line between he and isiah is drawn. For instance, there was a point in time it looked like Isiah wanted Damp, Walker, and Webber all at the same time. I happen to think it may well have been Dolan who nixed us going for Webber, as he was sick of max contracts for bad knees. It's all open to speculation.

And one significant point on the difference between us and Dallas. While the mavs have been successful in their high spending ways their approach has only been successful because of their franchise guy, Dirk, who they got in the draft. No draft success and they'd be another also ran.

I simply think you need to get your franchise stud first, then add in pieces, but starting with high priced pieces, as we've done, only hinders your chances of getting a franchise stud.
efw
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12/19/2005  3:21 PM
That's true. Hopefully Frye turns out to be that piece.

While I would hope that our future turns out like Dallas's, the team that I think we most mirror is Portland. Both teams were spending astronomical sums of money with nothing to show for it and then fall into basketball oblivion. Only, portland is trying to amend their ways.
tkf
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12/19/2005  4:34 PM
Posted by BlueSeats:

good points efw. I agree Dolan is the root of the problem. But at the same time, we don't know where the line between he and isiah is drawn. For instance, there was a point in time it looked like Isiah wanted Damp, Walker, and Webber all at the same time. I happen to think it may well have been Dolan who nixed us going for Webber, as he was sick of max contracts for bad knees. It's all open to speculation.

And one significant point on the difference between us and Dallas. While the mavs have been successful in their high spending ways their approach has only been successful because of their franchise guy, Dirk, who they got in the draft. No draft success and they'd be another also ran.

I simply think you need to get your franchise stud first, then add in pieces, but starting with high priced pieces, as we've done, only hinders your chances of getting a franchise stud.

excellent post blue, and lets not use dallas as the model of building a winner,they let nash go basically over pennies(relatively speaking) and dirk is the saving grace of that franchise, although they have been shrewd getting the likes of daniels and Howard, I think nelly had a lot to do with that, he has a great eye for talent...
Anyone who sits around and waits for the lottery to better themselves, either in real life or in sports, Is a Loser............... TKF
TheloniusMonk
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12/19/2005  4:42 PM
Posted by BlueSeats:

good points efw. I agree Dolan is the root of the problem. But at the same time, we don't know where the line between he and isiah is drawn. For instance, there was a point in time it looked like Isiah wanted Damp, Walker, and Webber all at the same time. I happen to think it may well have been Dolan who nixed us going for Webber, as he was sick of max contracts for bad knees. It's all open to speculation.

'it looked like' he wanted them all at the same time? Why, because that's what Isola and Berman said? It's been well documented that the Knicks didn't even make a play for Webber. Same goes for all the other players Isiah has 'coveted'. No one knows. The Post and Daily news defintely don't Hear the Daily News tell it Czar has been named the new Knicks head coach (circa Christmas '03)

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Isiah's track record

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