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BlueSeats
Posts: 27272
Alba Posts: 41
Joined: 11/6/2005
Member: #1024
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Marbury and team assists (TAs)
I'd like to make a presentation of what I believe separates Marbury from the great scoring PGs of the game.
I do this for two reasons,
A) I keep hearing people say Marbury is a great PG, even though people like Bob Cousy and his former coach (COY) D'Antioni say otherwise. When I say it people suggest 8 apg is telling enough, but i believe these larger career trends tell far more.
B) I continually see people say "you can't win with a PG leading your team in scoring." History proves that statement blatantly false. There may be others I'm not aware of, but I know of three PGs who led their team to championships as their team's leading scorers:
Clyde, 1973 Knicks. Magic, 1986 Lakers Isiah, 1990 Pistons
However, these men not only were good scorers but good playmakers. They not only put up good personal stats but good team stats as well.
I believe one relevant indicator of an effective offense with good "flow" is team assists (TA). Team assists are a total of all assisted shots for the team including, but not limited to, the point guard's assists. High team assists is suggestive of ball movement not solely emanating from the PG position. It's "the pass that leads to the pass that leads to the bucket" approach. It's the antithesis of the ball movement we presently see on the Knicks, where the ball is either held or passed back and forth on the perimeter until late in the clock, then given back to the perimeter for low percentage jumpers or put in by the PG.
Below are relevant team assist stats of these great PGs. Without exception these men arrived at clubs which were under performing and produced immediate and lasting positive impacts on team assists and wins, and their departure was equally met by a concomitant falloff in production and success.
Isiah and Magic spent their entire careers with one club and retired before their time for health reasons. Clyde moved once (to Cleveland) in the twilight of his career.
Below I show the teams of each of these PGs before they arrived, then their impact, then the team after they left. the relevant variables noted were the year, team assists, win-loss record, and personal stats of the PG of the time.
Knicks: YR, TA, Record, PG Stats 67 22.0 36-49 (Komives 15.7 ppg/6.2 apg) 68 24.0 43-39 (Clyde rookie 9.0/4.1) 73 26.7 57-25 (Clyde 21.1/5.9, leads team in scoring, wins Championship) 77 23.9 40-42 (17.4/5.3 Clyde's last season as Knick) 78 28.5 43-39 (Monroe 17.8/4.8)
Above we saw Clyde's effect on TAs upon arrival. However, they did not decrease after his departure with the ball in Monroe's HOF hands.
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Lakers: YR, TA, Record, PG Stats 79 28.5 47-35 (Nixon 17.1/9.0 (very impressive!)) 80 29.4 60-22 (Magic rookie 18/7.3 Championship) 86 29.6 65-17 (Magic 23.9/12.2 leads team in scoring, wins championship) 91 25.5 58-24 (Magic's last healthy season, 19.4 ppg 7.0 rpg 12.5 apg) 92 22.0 39-43 (Threatt 15.1/7.2)
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Pistons: YR, TA, Record, PG Stats 81 22.2 21-61 (?) 82 24.7 39-43 (Isiah rookie 17/7.8 ) 90 24.3 59-23 (Isiah 18.4/9.4 leads team in scoring, wins Championship) 93 23.7 40-42 (Isiah's last healthy year 17.6/8.5) 95 22.8 28-54 (Dumars 18.1/5.5)
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Now, in contrast, we'll see Marbury has moved around a lot in his young career. And aside from a brief improvement to his first club, Minnesota (which also coincides with the comeuppance of Garnett and the career peak of Gogliotta), at each stop his arrival brings decline in both team assists and wins, while his departure brings a surge. This is the opposite of the greats above.
Minny: YR, TA, Record, PG Stats '96 22.8 26-56 (Porter 9.4/5.5) '97 22.9 40-42 (Marbury 15.8/7.8 ) '98 25.2 45-37 (Marbury 17.7/8.6) '99 24.4 25-25 (Marbury 17.7/9.3, Brandon 14.2/9.8 Marbury traded 18 games in ) (lockout season) '00 26.9 50-32 (Brandon 17.1/8.9)
What stands out to me is that Marbury's energy and production over the aging Porter does result in an initial boost to the club, (as does the maturation of Garnett). Note how wins coincide with team assists and the surge in team assists after Marbury fully departs.
Nets: YR, TA, Record, PG Stats 98 20.5 43-39 (Cassell 19.6/8.0) 99 18.4 16-34 (Cassell 18/4.8 Marbury 23.4/8.7) 00 20.6 31-51 (Marbury 22.2/8.4) 01 19.5 26-56 (Marbury 23.9/7.6) 02 24.3 50-32 (Kidd 14.7/9.9)
Note again how wins track team assists and the surge in TAs (and wins) upon Marbury's departure.
Suns: YR, TA, Record, PG Stats 01 23.2 51-39 (Kidd 16.9/9.8 ) 02 22.4 36-46 (Marbury 20.4/8.1) 03 21.0 44-38 (Marbury 22.3/8.1) 04 19.3 29-53 (Marbury/Eisley/Barbosa) 05 23.1 40-12 (Nash 16.3/11.3)
With the slight exception of '03, wins again closely track team assists and in that stat (team assist is what I'm looking at, regardless that his personals don't keep up with them either) Marbury can't keep pace with the premium PGs, like brandon, Nash and Kidd.
Knicks: YR, TA, Record, PG Stats 03 22.7 37-45 (Ward 7.2/4.6 Eisley 9.1/5.4) 04 20.7 39-43 (Marbury/Ward/Eisley) 05 19.6 20-31 (Marbury 21.3/8.2)
If ever there were an opportunity for Steph to reverse the trends it was with the Knicks, known for years as a slow, unatheletic, jumpshooting squad with poor ball movement and substandard PGs. Even with a clean house, and presumably a better, retooled lineup, Steph keeps pace with his career trends and we see an overall reduction in team assists and wins.
The point here is not to bash Marbury by directly comparing him to the best of the NBA's point guards. The point is however to show how his career trends differ from theirs and why he has yet to earn himself the distinction his personal stats might otherwise afford him. It's not the scoring, it's not the personal assists... it's the slow tempo, the lack of ball movement and flow. ----
PS, those team records encompass his entire career. A close reading will reveal he's never won more than 45 wins and most seasons were spent well below .500. Doesn't mean he's a scrub, but he's clearly not a player who can carry a team or seemingly get them to play above the sum of their parts.
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