BRIGGS wrote:Last Brexit poll before vote

Stay 48%
Leave 42%

The odds were 1-4

My daughter said to me that all of her friends were voting for Hillary Clinton. The actual vote of the school ended up as a 12 point gap for Trump. This is a school that gets roughly 10% into Ivy League schools and 95% into secondary school. It also has a population that favors females.

I think that there are many votes like Tom Brady and Bill. Belechik . Quiet not talking too much but ready tomorrow when it counts

That is a very interesting outcome. If the facts that you state are true. I noticed that people get caught up in political correctness and people fear to tell what really is on their minds. People have become the political correctness police. You rarely get a dose of truth.

gunsnewing wrote:Hope
Everyone stays safe out there and away from all
He violence and vitrial from the intolerant

Who? Tree hugger liberals?
Or Trumpians in the basket?

Nalod wrote:

BRIGGS wrote:Last Brexit poll before vote

Stay 48%
Leave 42%

The odds were 1-4

My daughter said to me that all of her friends were voting for Hillary Clinton. The actual vote of the school ended up as a 12 point gap for Trump. This is a school that gets roughly 10% into Ivy League schools and 95% into secondary school. It also has a population that favors females.

I think that there are many votes like Tom Brady and Bill. Belechik . Quiet not talking too much but ready tomorrow when it counts

So lets guess Briggs, Daughters friends are mostly girls, so like America, Hillary does better with women.
Your in a small coastal CT. town and town is affluent. Thus, the school body I'm guessing is like 90% or higher white. Say 50-50 boy/girl. Wait you said it was mostly female, but its easy to look up Daniel Hand High School and see its demographics. You say it favors females but thats your perspective. Might want to look it up.
Here is where your perspective gets warped, your school is 90% white. What is the % of disadvantage children in your school? Say 4-5%? Look it up. 2% latino.

Mostly you have told us you thought CT would go with Trump based on your visual sign perspective in your enclave. I Think you know otherwise that the polls are not even close.

In the high school you no doubt have kids voting for Johnson as they are funny that way. The boys would be heavy into Trump cuz the macho thing. wealthy towns in the north east have big sports programs even in small schools so the boys play football, Hockey, Soccer, Lacrosse, all nice activities that foster bonds and peer pressure with macho outlooks. Kids also mimic their parents. Perhaps your town will vote for Trump. That is not America.

So in the end, Trump wins a popular vote in a 90% white school in a wealthy town and Briggs uses this as his base of knowledge.
Under informed white stereotype.

Perfect breakdown of what's wrong with anecdotal evidence and sampling errors of this type of third hand information. If you want to talk about trends stick to real polls conducted by real pollsters that publish the data before manipulating it to suit their own world view.

holfresh wrote:Just one thing tho..The Sumpreme Court ruled in favor of a few States which enabled them to change a few rules to limit people's access to voting...How do you call yourselves Americans if you are trying to suppress the vote of another citizen??..How do you call yourselves Americans if you change laws to allow the rich to have an unfair influence on elections with their money..

Nalod wrote:

BRIGGS wrote:Last Brexit poll before vote

Stay 48%
Leave 42%

The odds were 1-4

My daughter said to me that all of her friends were voting for Hillary Clinton. The actual vote of the school ended up as a 12 point gap for Trump. This is a school that gets roughly 10% into Ivy League schools and 95% into secondary school. It also has a population that favors females.

I think that there are many votes like Tom Brady and Bill. Belechik . Quiet not talking too much but ready tomorrow when it counts

So lets guess Briggs, Daughters friends are mostly girls, so like America, Hillary does better with women.
Your in a small coastal CT. town and town is affluent. Thus, the school body I'm guessing is like 90% or higher white. Say 50-50 boy/girl. Wait you said it was mostly female, but its easy to look up Daniel Hand High School and see its demographics. You say it favors females but thats your perspective. Might want to look it up.
Here is where your perspective gets warped, your school is 90% white. What is the % of disadvantage children in your school? Say 4-5%? Look it up. 2% latino.

Mostly you have told us you thought CT would go with Trump based on your visual sign perspective in your enclave. I Think you know otherwise that the polls are not even close.

In the high school you no doubt have kids voting for Johnson as they are funny that way. The boys would be heavy into Trump cuz the macho thing. wealthy towns in the north east have big sports programs even in small schools so the boys play football, Hockey, Soccer, Lacrosse, all nice activities that foster bonds and peer pressure with macho outlooks. Kids also mimic their parents. Perhaps your town will vote for Trump. That is not America.

So in the end, Trump wins a popular vote in a 90% white school in a wealthy town and Briggs uses this as his base of knowledge.
Under informed white stereotype.

Trump supporter logic:
The super rich are making laws to enrich themselves, at the expense of the rest of us. Lets vote for a super rich moron to help us out of this.

Vmart wrote:

holfresh wrote:Is this a legit post??..If it is...Look at the minorities who never had healthcare and now have it..Look at the unemployment rate for minorities post Bush and today...Look at who is fighting for a living wage at $15 per hour..Donald Trump led the Birther Movement against the first African American elected President who has a 95% African American approval rating...The ad Trump took out against the Central Park Five who was later exonerated..The justice department sued him for not renting his apartments to blacks...He is currently requesting the government allow him to bring foreigners to work at his May-a Largo Club instead of hiring locals...His ties, shirts, etc are made in China, Bangladesh, etc as he rails against US companies with plant overseas...Just off the top of my head without looking up the stats or info..But if that doesn't convince you, I let Charles Blow finish it for me...

Oh my you call Obama care health care. Do you even know how it works? You pay and then there is a massive deductible lower the deductible higher the premiums. It's a double edge sword. If you are lower middle class your screwed. I have tried using Obama care and it as if you are paying and getting nothing back because the deductibles have to be met before a penny comes from agency.

Went to pick up medicine and straight $300 why because there is a deductible.

earthmansurfer wrote:

DrAlphaeus wrote:

earthmansurfer wrote:

DrAlphaeus wrote:

earthmansurfer wrote:

earthmansurfer wrote:My basic position is that a Hillary presidency will mean war with Russia (amongst other nations). A few here have questioned that, but let's look at something very very basic:

Hillary supports a no fly zone in Syria. That is her basic position. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/oct/25/hillary-clinton-syria-no-fly-zones-russia-us-war
+
Hillary was for attacking Libya, against Obama's wishes. This is while she was SOS. Imagine when she is president?
+
A top US General (Joint Chiefs of Staff) has said:

“Right now… for us to control all of the airspace in Syria would require us to go to war against Syria and Russia,” See 20 second clip below.

We have no right to control the Airspace in Syria with Russia there as a "guest" of Syria. We can't do that, the military definitely doesn't want that, but Hillary does.

Hillary Clinton, the Democratic Party presidential nominee and former US secretary of state, has said that if she becomes president cyberattacks against US interests will be treated "like any other attack" – and that includes military action.

http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/clinton-us-should-use-military-response-fight-cyberattacks-russia-china-1579187
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Hillary later said Russia is behind the Wikileaks emails.
=
Do you see the clear picture? Please see the writing on the wall.

So, in my mind a vote for Hillary, is a vote for war.

I'd like to see some feedback here. This is what matters most, to all of us.

I agree with a lot of what akrud says here, at least in the sense that all out war with Russia — to think we survived the Cold War and a couple decades of a post-Cold War peace to finally get in an all out hot war... while it's not impossible to imagine, it's hard to fathom the insane decisions that would have to happen on both sides to get us there. Syria def looks like the proxy war of the future unfortunately. You have a rather generous definition of the word "war". Unless I read you incorrectly, you called the 2014 air strikes in Syria to rescue James Foley and other hostages a "war". Essentially any engagement of our military is war you are saying. The DoD used to be called the Department of War, so I suppose I can see your point. It's just a very, very broad one.

So in general I get your point EMS about your fears of Clinton, as you make it over and over. I am part of the political spectrum (I suppose) that has wagged its finger at Clinton for her hawkishness for 15 years. I also suspect a lot of that is like the "soft on crime" accusation of Democrats — head Republicans off at the pass with the war rattles — but maybe it's genuine or influenced by fireside chats with Kissinger, I don't know. But since you are so utterly opposed to Clinton, I just think you continually give Trump a pass. You conceded many pages ago that you don't share some of my specific concerns domestically as a Black man living stateside.

The original post by BRIGGS is about Hillary but it is also about BRIGGS exhorting ethnic minorities like Blacks and Latinos to give Trump a chance. For all of your posts maybe I missed where you gave some careful consideration what Trump's history in private enterprise, bombastic rhetoric including his birther obsession, labeling Obama and Hillary the founders of ISIS, and his very loose handling of truth and facts. You seem able to give Trump a pass — oh well he didn't mean this or that, and if he did, well, that's disappointing — and I wonder why you are willing to roll the dice on him. What is it about him you seem to trust?

There are a lot of rich people who stay out of the limelight, help out in the background. The limelight is Trump's primary source of nutrition. To say "well for him such a big wealthy guy to want to do this job and help the little guy" — maybe he just loves the spotlight and headlines so much and fears more than anything irrelevance and not being talked about that this whole presidential race timed with where we are as a society with media technology is why we are where we are.

I don't know. Anyway, those are my two cents. If you want to consider the other aspect of the OP for a while — what Trump means for ethnic minorities (well, I think the Chinese get it, right BRIGGS?) maybe that would be a nice change of pace. Maybe try seeing if you can put yourself in a different perspective. I "get" to a certain point why people would favor Trump. Again, 10 years ago hating Trump would be like hating Mr. Wonderful on Shark Tank: he was a low-stakes reality TV character I had no ill will towards. You can use database Google Fu to see the various things I've said about his candidacy in this thread and another thread BRIGGS had about Trump being No. 2 in the GOP polls a year ago when BRIGGS said he didn't trust DT with nukes. If any of those points make an impression, would be cool to hear an acknowledgement of some common ground.

That's about all I got. Honestly don't have the energy to try to make adults do anything they don't want to do. If this thread represents our new reality of ideological hashtag blinders, I guess this thread has been good practice for a grim future.

Thanks for the reply.

I didn't mean to imply that dropping bombs to rescue someone is act of war. I was talking about more of a typical military operation. I guess it involves a bit of a grey area.

We will need diplomacy to hope Libya is only a proxy war. Russia is there and we are next door (or do we have a presence in the country too?). As long as one of us is in there, no proxy war. The country is basically destroyed, I can't imagine it going proxy. It seems too far past that. Hope it doesn't turn into hoping for proxy.

Not sure about his views towards black people or minorities. I know quite a few minorities support him and they generally go democrat. I might have seen a clip of Trump on that TV show, never watched it, don't even know the name. In private enterprise, he has always struck me as a "success" story (financially speaking). I imagined he could bring his private expertise here to a higher office and actually save the country money as he is not a politician, he is a business man. Don't know about the birther obsession. Hillary and Obaman and Isis - don't know about Obama, but I've read about how Hillary supported selling weapons to terrorist groups (Syrian rebels to fight Assad I think), which ended up in Isis' hands. I didn't look deeper, don't mention it so I don't really have an opinion yet. I'm actually in deeper than I want to be with information. Looking forward to post election.

I never got much into Trumps policy's. I did a search and can say I really like the following ideas and I'll keep it short. They are from another poster on reddit, but I think he pulled a few from the Gettysburg Address as many look familiar to me - I listed most, not all. I don't agree with nuclear energy so didn't list it below, Trump is pro. (more detailed here https://www.reddit.com/user/rationalcomment just look down a few posts to his list:
-Against the TPP treaty which threatens to destroy jobs and give more power to global corporations, while Hillary called it the “Gold Standard”
-Wants to impose term limits on Congress. 75% of Americans support creating term limits on Congress, and Congress has dismal approval.
-Ethics reform to limit lobbyism: wants to stop the link between corporate donors buying up politicians which is one of the biggest problems in our government. He has created a 5 point plan in order to achieve this, including expanding the "definition of lobbyist so we close all the loopholes that former government officials use by labeling themselves consultants and advisors"
-Lower taxes, while at the same time closing tax loopholes for Wall Street bankers such as carried interest. (calculator in link above)
-Wants to limit U.S. Hegemony via not being the world’s police. He is against nation building wars and wants to be mostly non-interventionist. Hillary on the other hand has a long record of war mongering and dominating in campaign donations from military/defense contractors.
-Wants to audit the Fed
-He’s very pro-2nd Amendment. Got the earliest endorsement from the NRA ever.
-While he is perfectly fine with allowing in legal immigrants, he has a strong anti illegal-immigration policy,...
-Will repeal common core Yeah!
-Pro-medical marijuana, and letting states decided whether to legalize Yeahhh
-Anti-Globalist: He takes a strong stance against the collusion of international financiers like George Soros with Washington insiders, and wants to make national interests take precedence over the profits of huge global corporations.
-Wants to end corporate inversion and discourage offshoring
-Understands the threat of Sharia Law and Radical Islamic Terrorism. Meanwhile Hillary holds very regressive left views on Islam and defends authoritarian Islamist states like Saudi Arabia (while proclaiming to be for women's rights).
-Plans to push for 6 weeks paid maternal leave as standard and allow families to deduct from their income taxes child care expenses. (Amazing this isn't already in the states)
-Wants to work together with Russia in stopping Jihadi's in Syria instead of being adversaries
-Wants to end healthcare monopolies by promoting competitive bidding
-Knows how f'd up the Saudis are like the rest of us, while Hillary takes in millions from them
-Knows NATO is obsolete and a decades-old relic that needs to be rejiggered to focus on terrorism instead of just continuing a Cold War with Russia and bombing countries

Some of the above are really changes we need, things that Hillary should get behind but she is PRO globalism. You be the judge of which and I know we can't have it all, but I do like the direction I see.
I can get behind a lot of this.

Maybe you are right about Trump wanting limelight. But my feeling is he see's the shambles that is this country. The corruption. Speaking of, look at the banking system. Whoever gets in, I am not sure we can last another 2 years without drastically doing something to save the economy and get the banking system, their Infationary steal bomb (called Quantitative Easing).

For sure there is common ground here. I've not been claiming Trump to be a savior. I don't know but I like a lot of what he says. My point has been "An extreme fear of Hillary." really, yeah, simplistic but honest. To be fair, if I am "pro" Trump, I might as well show where I support him, however briefly and I did above, at least for a start. I have worries about Trump as it is all an unknown. And my biggest worry is the nuke comments. That worries me but the context that I heard about it in, sort of put me at ease (but still.)

I'm beat, so let me know if I skipped anything. I'll get to it tomorrow...

I mentioned Syria but you mentioned Libya... Syria is what I'm talking about in terms of a proxy war between the US and Russia. In Syria, Russia gets a naval port on the Mediterranean, which is something I don't hear mentioned much in terms of what Russia gets out of this.

Man, you don't seem to know much about Trump if you don't even know the name of his show! It was called The Apprentice and had a "Celebrity" version, hence the Dennis Rodman/Arsenio/Gary Busey jokes you may have heard over the past year? Living abroad, I understand... I lived abroad for a year 2000-01 and came back and was like "Who the hell is Linkin Park and why are they so popular?" Haha. Here's a suggestion though: leave the Clinton obsession alone for a while and find out more about the guy who doesn't scare you and try to see why others are scared.

Please look into the birther stuff. I mean if you don't understand how he even got in the political conversation in the first place, you don't really get much about it and woefully ignorant of his outlandish lies and innuendo.

Fear is being overblown on both sides to various degrees IMHO, but if you never got into Trump's policies much — or what passes for them i.e. "build the wall and make Mexico pay for it" — then doesn't sound like you have been judging it for yourself and instead just taking the word of these "researchers" — which amount to a bunch of Twitter personalities and redditors of dubious credibility.

You are doing yourself a grave disservice if you think you are informed if you don't know the basics about this man you'd prefer as President of the United States. Your self-education in these matters has a massive blindspot.

Yeah, I meant Syria. Glad I quit when I did.

I guess I will get around to it after Trump is in office. ;-)

From your mouth to Wikileaks ears!

Nalod wrote:My heart operation cost $100,000 6 years ago.
Health care insurance with high deductible is awful if nothing happens.
If you get something bad, or in a car accident, etc, it is devastating.

According to briggs, if you'd drunk radiator fluid you would have been fine

Tweet was deleted or there was problem with the URL:

https://twitter.com/MiamiHerald/status/795818657800683520

smackeddog wrote:

Nalod wrote:My heart operation cost $100,000 6 years ago.
Health care insurance with high deductible is awful if nothing happens.
If you get something bad, or in a car accident, etc, it is devastating.

According to briggs, if you'd drunk radiator fluid you would have been fine

WE call that, "AntiFreeze"!