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Bonn1997
Posts: 58654 Alba Posts: 2 Joined: 2/2/2004 Member: #581 USA |
![]() 538's current update
Tuesday was another pretty good day of polling for Donald Trump. It’s also not an easy day to characterize given the large number of polls published. You could cherry-pick and point to the poll that has Trump up 7 percentage points in North Carolina, for example, or the ABC News/Washington Post national tracking poll that has Trump up 1 point overall. And you could counter, on the Hillary Clinton side, with a poll showing her up by 11 points in Pennsylvania, or a national poll that gives her a 9-point lead.1 |
meloshouldgo
Posts: 26565 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 5/3/2014 Member: #5801 |
![]() holfresh wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:markvmc wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:markvmc wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:holfresh wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:BRIGGS wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:I'm getting to the point where I may just stay home on Election Day. What the data shows is that Clinton policies led to increased and accelerated polarization of wealth. The rate of polarization went up under him. Reagan followed by Clinton completely ensured the American middle class was getting decimated. Stock market growth does not equate to a good economy, you can have years of GDP growth where larger and larger chunks of the population are sliding into poverty. I cannot teach anybody anything. I can only try to make them think - Socrates
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Welpee
Posts: 23162 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 1/22/2016 Member: #6239 |
![]() Bonn1997 wrote:You drop it late Wednesday/early Thursday, it dominates the Thursday news cycle, Trump responds on Friday which is notorious for being the worst news day of the work week for getting people to pay attention. Nobody pays attention on Saturday which leaves the Sunday news programs in which this topic would be the lead story and he would be on defense.Welpee wrote:Don't forget, my prediction is a Trump bomb will be dropped by Thursday that will return the world back to its proper balance. So if they have something (and if they don't have something in their back pocket they've been sitting on they deserve to lose this election) today or tomorrow would be the perfect time to drop it in my opinion. What's frustrating is this latest email situation which is influencing the polls is nothing. Nobody knows what's in these emails and its highly unlikely anything new will be found, yet people are responding as if something nuclear will be found. Comey needs to be investigated because he knew exactly what would happen as a result of his actions. This is what "making America great again" looks like? Buckle up folks if Trump wins. |
Bonn1997
Posts: 58654 Alba Posts: 2 Joined: 2/2/2004 Member: #581 USA |
![]() meloshouldgo wrote:holfresh wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:markvmc wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:markvmc wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:holfresh wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:BRIGGS wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:I'm getting to the point where I may just stay home on Election Day. You've put a graph with a trend and attributed it entirely to one person. Let's not forget Republicans controlled Congress during those Bill Clinton years. Also, there were many changes that had nothing to do with Bill Clinton (the growth of the internet, technological replacements for less skilled workers). Even NAFTA was supported by both parties. It may just be a mistake or miscalculation that both parties made, rather than a mistake revealing something unique about the Clintons. |
meloshouldgo
Posts: 26565 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 5/3/2014 Member: #5801 |
![]() Bonn1997 wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:holfresh wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:markvmc wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:markvmc wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:holfresh wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:BRIGGS wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:I'm getting to the point where I may just stay home on Election Day. Never said it was 100% Clinton's fault, but it happened under his watch. He signed those laws into existence when he could have vetoed them. Technically he pulled people out of poverty compared to Reagan years. But does someone making a 100 dollars more than the poverty line annually suddenly identify as middle class? Show me some data on what Clinton did to improve the middle class. I cannot teach anybody anything. I can only try to make them think - Socrates
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Bonn1997
Posts: 58654 Alba Posts: 2 Joined: 2/2/2004 Member: #581 USA |
![]() meloshouldgo wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:holfresh wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:markvmc wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:markvmc wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:holfresh wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:BRIGGS wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:I'm getting to the point where I may just stay home on Election Day. Well, politifact says 22 times as many people climbed out of poverty under Clinton than Reagan. If you have direct evidence that they only went to $100 above the poverty line, I'd look at it. Otherwise, the default assumption in the absence of more information would have to be that when people climb out of poverty, it is a good thing. http://www.politifact.com/wisconsin/statements/2014/nov/07/bill-clinton/did-100-times-more-people-ascend-middle-class-unde/ |
Bonn1997
Posts: 58654 Alba Posts: 2 Joined: 2/2/2004 Member: #581 USA |
![]() 28% of early voting registered Republicans in Florida voted for Hillary! These are Republicans who are so enthusiastically anti-Trump that they went early to vote for Hillary.
http://occupydemocrats.com/2016/11/02/trump-panics-as-28-of-florida-gop-early-votes-go-to-hillary-clinton/ Here's an interview about the poll [YouTube]http://www.msnbc.com/morning-joe/watch/clinton-ad-uses-trump-s-words-on-women-799039043968[/YouTube] |
meloshouldgo
Posts: 26565 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 5/3/2014 Member: #5801 |
![]() Bonn1997 wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:holfresh wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:markvmc wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:markvmc wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:holfresh wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:BRIGGS wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:I'm getting to the point where I may just stay home on Election Day. Never said it wasn't a good thing. My argument is around further polarization of wealth and reinforcement of trickle down. The poverty line is a single number, if you make just one dollar a year more than that you are no longer poor. It doesn't mean a whole lot. Politifact also says this same exact thing. So if you really want to show improvement you will have to show wage gains data not some arbitrary line in the sand mechanism to carve out the population. I cannot teach anybody anything. I can only try to make them think - Socrates
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Bonn1997
Posts: 58654 Alba Posts: 2 Joined: 2/2/2004 Member: #581 USA |
![]() meloshouldgo wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:holfresh wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:markvmc wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:markvmc wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:holfresh wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:BRIGGS wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:I'm getting to the point where I may just stay home on Election Day. Politifact was obsessing over the fact that Clinton said it was a 100 times improvement when it was only a 22 times improvement. That was their focus. Fine. Bill should have said 22 then. But that's not really relevant to this discussion. You're right that this piece of evidence (the 22 times figure) is only a starting point in an analysis of how the Clintons impacted the economy. A full argument would require more precise data. |
holfresh
Posts: 38679 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 1/14/2006 Member: #1081 |
![]() meloshouldgo wrote:holfresh wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:markvmc wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:markvmc wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:holfresh wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:BRIGGS wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:I'm getting to the point where I may just stay home on Election Day. The moniker "polarization of wealth" is wrong and leads to incorrect assumptions and conclusions. Your characterization leads people to believe the wealth could be equally had by all and policies made the accumulation of wealth gravitate towards the rich. He did raise taxes on the rich...The entire picture you are trying to paint is inaccurate...When a president enacts policies for growth then the rich will benefit more because they have more invested..It's that simple...But that growth should buoy all ships albeit not equally...What Bill Clinton then tried to do for the people who aren't rich, was loosen lending so that the working class can gain wealth through home ownership..But that plan went awry a decade later as we saw... I think your base premise is misguided.. |
holfresh
Posts: 38679 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 1/14/2006 Member: #1081 |
![]() Mark Cuban's interview yesterday on CNBC was a bit comical but frightening..But this sums up what he had to say..
On hedging his investments: "If Trump wins, I'm already hedged ... I've put on the biggest hedge I've ever put on against all my equities and interest-bearing bonds," he said. |
martin
Posts: 76215 Alba Posts: 108 Joined: 7/24/2001 Member: #2 USA |
![]() BRIGGS wrote:http://www.nasdaq.com/article/michelle-obama-reportedly-clears-out-mentions-of-hillary-clinton-on-twitter-accounts-cm701847 Part of the underlying why of the low information about the political environment in our country is being able to discern information. BRIGGS, you are pretty much example #1 why our country is in the ****ter these days. Otherwise smart people who are constantly barraged with bad information and who eat it right up without using one ounce of sense or sensibility. You still believe Trump will act in the best interests of our country when he himself has never demonstrated one iota of that type of trait. Any retraction? Not sure why you rely on getting your information from Hanity and Fox news, it's a poor start and it goes downhill from there. Official sponsor of the PURE KNICKS LOVE Program
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meloshouldgo
Posts: 26565 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 5/3/2014 Member: #5801 |
![]() Here you go Bonnie, Clinton'S much vaunted improved economy in terms of median weekly wage data. From start to end it went up by about $22, for a whopping increase of a $1100 a year.
The median wage at the end of Clinton's 8 years was $17,784 I cannot teach anybody anything. I can only try to make them think - Socrates
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Nalod
Posts: 71155 Alba Posts: 155 Joined: 12/24/2003 Member: #508 USA |
![]() holfresh wrote:Mark Cuban's interview yesterday on CNBC was a bit comical but frightening..But this sums up what he had to say.. He should. This is an event that is right in front of us. If I were a billionaire, I would do similar. Nalod 30% in cash heading into this. Took some profits a few weeks ago. There are democrats deplorable as well. I know that. |
holfresh
Posts: 38679 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 1/14/2006 Member: #1081 |
![]() meloshouldgo wrote:Here you go Bonnie, Clinton'S much vaunted improved economy in terms of median weekly wage data. From start to end it went up by about $22, for a whopping increase of a $1100 a year. The average median household income increased by14.2% between 1992 and 2000...From 2000 to 2015 it decreased -2.4% |
Nalod
Posts: 71155 Alba Posts: 155 Joined: 12/24/2003 Member: #508 USA |
![]() martin wrote:BRIGGS wrote:http://www.nasdaq.com/article/michelle-obama-reportedly-clears-out-mentions-of-hillary-clinton-on-twitter-accounts-cm701847 The article is about how ignorant the rumor is. Briggs put his stamp of ignorance on it. |
holfresh
Posts: 38679 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 1/14/2006 Member: #1081 |
![]() Nalod wrote:holfresh wrote:Mark Cuban's interview yesterday on CNBC was a bit comical but frightening..But this sums up what he had to say.. |
meloshouldgo
Posts: 26565 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 5/3/2014 Member: #5801 |
![]() holfresh wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:holfresh wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:markvmc wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:markvmc wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:holfresh wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:BRIGGS wrote:DrAlphaeus wrote:I'm getting to the point where I may just stay home on Election Day. Holfresh put up some data or links to substantiate your empty talking points. I cannot teach anybody anything. I can only try to make them think - Socrates
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meloshouldgo
Posts: 26565 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 5/3/2014 Member: #5801 |
![]() holfresh wrote:meloshouldgo wrote:Here you go Bonnie, Clinton'S much vaunted improved economy in terms of median weekly wage data. From start to end it went up by about $22, for a whopping increase of a $1100 a year. Link? I cannot teach anybody anything. I can only try to make them think - Socrates
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