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Bonn1997
Posts: 58654 Alba Posts: 2 Joined: 2/2/2004 Member: #581 USA |
Well, from an advanced stats perspective, this trade is a clear F. We gave up the best player in the deal and took on a team liability. For other reasons, I don't think it's quite as bad and I'd give it more like a D, and with a little optimism it could turn out better. It's not quite an F since:
A) Melo can move to his better position (PF) B) Rose might be more efficient if he's willing to defer to Anthony C) We get out of Rolo's and Jose's contracts. Rolo's wasn't bad but it wasn't good either. His production was comparable to his salary. And Jose was obviously worse than his salary. So in total, we freed up 20.4 mil of nonperforming commitments. That said, I see no evidence from his past decisions that Phil can use the money effectively. So this point may be irrelevant. So I'll give the deal a D. |
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SwishAndDish13
Posts: 20878 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 12/2/2013 Member: #5700 |
nyknickzingis wrote:Nice take from Chicago based media - and some of these guys are actual NBA ballers. Interesting Jennings said that. I was actually hoping they could scoop him as a backup for a reasonable price. |
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EwingsGlass
Posts: 27736 Alba Posts: 2 Joined: 4/29/2005 Member: #893 USA |
Bonn1997 wrote:Well, from an advanced stats perspective, this trade is a clear F. We gave up the best player in the deal and took on a team liability. For other reasons, I don't think it's quite as bad and I'd give it more like a D, and with a little optimism it could turn out better. It's not quite an F since: This move gets a little more points for the logic puzzle aspect. It solves the prisoner's dilemma on a one year model giving many positive outcomes at the end of this year. For instance, we have a low cost low percentage chance that Rose reverts to All Star form resulting in a 3rd or 4th seed in the East. We have a low cost low percentage chance a top star sees two potential all star running mates in NY and signs here giving us a low of the 3rd or 4th if Rose cannot revert and a high of the 1 or 2 seed if they can, with title contention within a year or so. If we flop completely and fail miserably and strike out in free agency, we have a draft pick and 60mm in cap space for next year. But, Horny pushes for this trade if he sees something in the way Rose is used that he would do different in his offense. Maybe create a little more space for him to play in. Rose has risk. But he has reversion upside also. Reminds me of the trade for Tracy McGrady or Steve Francis. They had court presence but were shells of their former selves. As an optimizing I think it's probably 65% or even a little higher that he plays all star ball while healthy and a 40% chance he misses more than 10 games. Kind of risky for a playoff run, but even the bad outcomes aren't so bad. You know I gonna spin wit it
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Chandler
Posts: 26910 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 11/26/2015 Member: #6197 |
EwingsGlass wrote:Bonn1997 wrote:Well, from an advanced stats perspective, this trade is a clear F. We gave up the best player in the deal and took on a team liability. For other reasons, I don't think it's quite as bad and I'd give it more like a D, and with a little optimism it could turn out better. It's not quite an F since: Good post. I think the knicks will target a Briggs-fave shooter for 2g or SF to give rose that space you talk about (5)(7)
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nyk4ever
Posts: 41010 Alba Posts: 12 Joined: 1/12/2005 Member: #848 USA |
nixluva wrote:shinmen wrote:yellowboy90 wrote:gunsnewing wrote:yellowboy90 wrote:I just saw the news. Are people really defending this trade? Are people really defending Phil? Phil just continue to make dumb mistake after dumb mistake. This is the same old knick, no culture change at all. Phil gave up Lopez for a player who has a name and no game. They traded for a bum. This is said day yo. people are allowed to NOT like this move if they so choose. im on the fence about it, and have stated why elsewhere in this thread, but that's neither here nor there. not everyone has to act like you and like every single move that happens, constantly talking out of both sides of your mouth and flip-flopping on every single player acquisition. if things go sour with rose, a year from now you'll be talking about how "rose never really worked with horny" and that he "never fit in". people have their own opinions, you don't need to change everyone's mind. "OMG - did we just go on a two-trade-wining-streak?" -SupremeCommander
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TheGame
Posts: 26652 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 7/15/2006 Member: #1154 USA |
If we had gotten a protected first round pick, then I think this trade would be solid. Even without the pick, I see the logic in that there are more serviceable centers out there than PGs, and I really did not like the idea of adding Rajon Rondo. The spanish kid is coming over this year, and I hear he can really play and should be serviceable. Rose is only 27, so there is a small chance that he can return to be about 90% of what he was, which would still be the best PG the Knicks have had in over a decade. We gave up alot because Lopez made us a tough as a defensive unit, but if we signed a Whiteside-type this summer, then the trade definitely would be an upgrade.
Trust the Process
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SwishAndDish13
Posts: 20878 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 12/2/2013 Member: #5700 |
TheGame wrote:If we had gotten a protected first round pick, then I think this trade would be solid. Even without the pick, I see the logic in that there are more serviceable centers out there than PGs, and I really did not like the idea of adding Rajon Rondo. The spanish kid is coming over this year, and I hear he can really play and should be serviceable. Rose is only 27, so there is a small chance that he can return to be about 90% of what he was, which would still be the best PG the Knicks have had in over a decade. We gave up alot because Lopez made us a tough as a defensive unit, but if we signed a Whiteside-type this summer, then the trade definitely would be an upgrade. Agreed. I was worried about the prospects of Rondo or Conley. I like Conley a lot but he was going to require the max and we would need him to buy in to significantly less to leave Memphis (extra yr plus tax differential). Conley had huge injury risk. I would have been sweating every game given the implications of an injury to him under a long term max deal. After that slim pickins with Teague having already been moved. I assume Herandogomez, KP, and a filler can split time at the 5. Perhaps they have plans to give Herandogomez around 15-20 min a game. Would be hard keep Lopez around if they want to do that and run KP at the 5 at times. |
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fishmike
Posts: 53902 Alba Posts: 1 Joined: 7/19/2002 Member: #298 USA |
blkexec wrote:Rolo played 82 games last year, is 28, has a cap friendly contract, protects the rim, is a good P&R player and plays center. Losing him for a 1 year rental along with Grant who I regard as still a good prospect is absolutely a setback if you are building a team.fishmike wrote:yellowboy90 wrote:The best thing to come from this trade would be if it tricks Batum into coming. I would say Durant but he plays with a better and healthy version of Rose, Westbrook.For all we know there is already an agent promise in place with players x,y or z. Maybe somehow this makes more sense tomorrow? Its not a deal I make, I dont like it but the Bargs trade? This is a gamble for sure but again... Knick fans are the only ones saying this deal is bad Is that a setback that can be overcome? Certainly.. but don't pretend its nothing. Rose has a few good months of hoops in 4 years to show for. I am very glad we aren't looking for him to carry the team... as a 3rd or 4th option he could very good. He could also be nothing and play 35 games next year. We didn't trade picks or all stars but we did give up assets. "winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
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SupremeCommander
Posts: 34075 Alba Posts: 35 Joined: 4/28/2006 Member: #1127 |
I don't see how this deal is worse than the Bargs trade and I don't see how it is a D or an F... The deal is a total wash IMO. The Bulls got some long-term assets that I believe that will be relatively easily to replace. The Knicks got the upside and they also will be bale to really hunt in 2017 for UFAs. It's a wash. I'd say it's a C for both teams
DLeethal wrote:
Lol Rick needs a safe space
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Chandler
Posts: 26910 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 11/26/2015 Member: #6197 |
fishmike wrote:blkexec wrote:Rolo played 82 games last year, is 28, has a cap friendly contract, protects the rim, is a good P&R player and plays center. Losing him for a 1 year rental along with Grant who I regard as still a good prospect is absolutely a setback if you are building a team.fishmike wrote:yellowboy90 wrote:The best thing to come from this trade would be if it tricks Batum into coming. I would say Durant but he plays with a better and healthy version of Rose, Westbrook.For all we know there is already an agent promise in place with players x,y or z. Maybe somehow this makes more sense tomorrow? Its not a deal I make, I dont like it but the Bargs trade? This is a gamble for sure but again... Knick fans are the only ones saying this deal is bad Good post. All we hope for is that the insight into rose going forward is similar to the one w KP For example perhaps they see a better fit (5)(7)
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crzymdups
Posts: 52018 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 5/1/2004 Member: #671 USA |
nyknickzingis wrote:Nice take from Chicago based media - and some of these guys are actual NBA ballers. Interesting to me that Jennings is working with Rose. Does Hornacek go for a two PG front and try to bring in Jennings as well? ¿ △ ?
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nyk4ever
Posts: 41010 Alba Posts: 12 Joined: 1/12/2005 Member: #848 USA |
crzymdups wrote:nyknickzingis wrote:Nice take from Chicago based media - and some of these guys are actual NBA ballers. we'd be fast uptop but boy neither one of those guys can shoot. im hoping we don't go in that direction. "OMG - did we just go on a two-trade-wining-streak?" -SupremeCommander
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fishmike
Posts: 53902 Alba Posts: 1 Joined: 7/19/2002 Member: #298 USA |
nyk4ever wrote:or defend... I can live with Rose but we MUST put a good defensive player next to him at all costs. Unless we are playing Whiteside and KP upfront our guard defense will kill us.crzymdups wrote:nyknickzingis wrote:Nice take from Chicago based media - and some of these guys are actual NBA ballers. "winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
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mreinman
Posts: 37827 Alba Posts: 1 Joined: 7/14/2010 Member: #3189 |
fishmike wrote:blkexec wrote:Rolo played 82 games last year, is 28, has a cap friendly contract, protects the rim, is a good P&R player and plays center. Losing him for a 1 year rental along with Grant who I regard as still a good prospect is absolutely a setback if you are building a team.fishmike wrote:yellowboy90 wrote:The best thing to come from this trade would be if it tricks Batum into coming. I would say Durant but he plays with a better and healthy version of Rose, Westbrook.For all we know there is already an agent promise in place with players x,y or z. Maybe somehow this makes more sense tomorrow? Its not a deal I make, I dont like it but the Bargs trade? This is a gamble for sure but again... Knick fans are the only ones saying this deal is bad pretty fair however, you are still way overestimated rose, a guy who has been one of the worst players in the league over the last few years. And, its not like he makes it up with Dee. so here is what phil is thinking ....
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fishmike
Posts: 53902 Alba Posts: 1 Joined: 7/19/2002 Member: #298 USA |
mreinman wrote:I way over estimate hoping Rose is an effective 3rd or 4th option?fishmike wrote:blkexec wrote:Rolo played 82 games last year, is 28, has a cap friendly contract, protects the rim, is a good P&R player and plays center. Losing him for a 1 year rental along with Grant who I regard as still a good prospect is absolutely a setback if you are building a team.fishmike wrote:yellowboy90 wrote:The best thing to come from this trade would be if it tricks Batum into coming. I would say Durant but he plays with a better and healthy version of Rose, Westbrook.For all we know there is already an agent promise in place with players x,y or z. Maybe somehow this makes more sense tomorrow? Its not a deal I make, I dont like it but the Bargs trade? This is a gamble for sure but again... Knick fans are the only ones saying this deal is bad "winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
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