martin wrote:gradyandrew wrote:martin wrote:gradyandrew wrote:Specifically I'm talking about renewed offenses, which we may already be seeing.
The guys you talk about are neck deep in everything, all the time. They don’t have holding patterns, just rethought offenses.
There's a school of thought that says the other BRICS nations have been trying to negotiate a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine for most of the year and Putin had been holding back. After the Kursk offensive, Putin can say that Zelensky was negotiating in bad faith and therefore he can presss attacks against the energy infrastructure of Ukraine that will heavily impact the civilian population of Ukraine during the winter. See Alex Mercousis on this.
Maybe I’m not getting your point?
Putin says what he wants, whenever he wants, regardless of truth or anything else going on. Like, Putin felt pressure to slaughter a nation cause he felt Ukraine was going to peacefully enter a NATO agreement, and everyone can swallow that pill or call it for what it is?
Is that how he held back? And why is that your starting frame of reference point?
In Donbass and Luhansk the war began with their attempted secession in 2014. By 2022 according to the CFR, 14,000 people were killed in the war. The 2022 invasion by Russia was an escalation of that now decade old conflict. My feeling is that Putins goals have always been limited- he wanted recognition of the Crimea as part of Russia, some kind of protectorate status over Donbass and Luhansk, and a guarantee that Ukraine wouldn't join NATO. I have never bought the argument that Putin is an existential threat to European democracy, in the same way that I don't see Chinese control of the South China Sea or non recognition of Taiwanese independence as threats to Asian democracies. As far as Russia goes, wasn't Prizoghin's attempted coup last summer about his frustration with the Russian ministry of defense to more vigorously prosecute the war?
Hamas is in a different category as an adversary than Putin and Xi. I believe both Xi and Putin would prefer integration into the world economy (as was the case pre-2014 in Russias case and has always been the case with China) provided their own domestic security concerns are assuaged.
And TBH, for all Trumps faults, he thinks it's better for America to engage both countries than continue the Cold War mentality.
And I'll end with a big **** you to cnn who asked Harris bull**** questions like "What were you doing when Biden called to say he was dropping out?" and endless rehashing of why she changed her mind on fracking instead of anything about her thoughts on Russia and China.