knicks1248 wrote:blkexec wrote:mreinman wrote:BRIGGS wrote:mreinman wrote:BRIGGS wrote:Splat wrote:FistOfOakley wrote:it's pretty safe to assume the top 3 are going to be stars... i dont have any doubt about it.. it's just a matter of degree...
Nothing is guaranteed. Some of the most hyped picks have been mediocre or busts. They could all be stars, but it is not a lock.
The odds of a top 4 pick being an all star or franchise player is roughly 67% in the last 15 years. Only 1 top 4 pick has been traded in the last 15 years(Andrew Wiggins) obviously 59/60 or less than 1% Absolute bust potential is less than 10%
can we afford to draft:
Evan Turner
Wesley Johnson
Dion Waiters
MKG
Favors
Kanter
Otto Porter
Codey Zeller
We can't afford to not hit big and to end up with crap to mid level talent.
I think the two post players odds of being a bust this year are only based on injury. I cannot see a scenario where either of those players are NOT considered good to very good and or better than that. If Towns really grows 3 more inches--he could be a player that dominates NBA baskteball.
all I am saying that there are very few guarantees ... even in the top 4.
Towns may not grow and be just a good player
Ok4 may become Al Jefferson or Eddie Curry
Russell ... kid will be good and maybe the least risk and perhaps the least reward
Mudiay? Easy bust potential
76ers can afford to be wrong, we can't ... thats not good odds
I agree....we can't afford to miss.
We also can't afford to take the safe route like Portland did twice, and passed on Jordan and Durrant.
Thats my only fear with taking the safe pick.
What exactly is a safe pick? Because if your wrong on a safe pick, how was it ever safe to pick him
OK....I see you are stuck on the word safe. For the record, there is no safe pick ever. Everybody is prone to injuries. How about less riskier pick? or low risk pick?
That would be OK4, since he has a proven talent to score in the post. At lease you know what he is good at. Then you can build from there.
Most potential pick? That would be Towns, since he's shown glimpses of becoming an all around player on both ends. Scores inside and out. defends multiple positions, blocks shots, protects rim, and rebounds. willing passer.
Born in Brooklyn, Raised in Queens, Lives in Maryland.
The future is bright, I'm a Knicks fan for life!