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holfresh
Posts: 38679 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 1/14/2006 Member: #1081 |
![]() Trump offered 10k to porn star for sex...
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earthmansurfer
Posts: 24005 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 1/26/2005 Member: #858 Germany |
![]() holfresh wrote:Trump offered 10k to porn star for sex... Regarding where the world is going, as "bad" as it is - Trump offering 10k to a porn star, which in many places isn't even illegal, doesn't bother me as much as: But the Clintons History goes way back and to be honest, Trump can't hold a candle to the Clintons corruption, really, no one can: "The Clinton Legacy The intuitive mind is a sacred gift and the rational mind is a faithful servant. We have created a society that honors the servant and has forgotten the gift. Albert Einstein
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Welpee
Posts: 23162 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 1/22/2016 Member: #6239 |
![]() earthmansurfer wrote:A bit for fun, but this guy has predicted (using a model) all but one presidential election back to 1912 correctly.I call BS on his "methodology." It's based on how somebody did in the primaries against the 2nd best opponent?Helmut Norpoth, a professor at Stony Brook University on Long Island, has developed a model for predicting elections which, when applied, has correctly predicted every presidential election back to 1912 with one exception – the 1960 election. 1) The 2nd best republican (Cruz) is far less popular than the 2nd best democrat (Sanders) This guy would be the Dick Morris of the 2016 election if anybody knew who he was. And like Morris, he'll have some excuse on election day why his rock solid methodology didn't work this year, though I doubt anyone will be chasing him down to ask what happened. This would be like looking at every previous NBA champion to seeing each team had one left handed 6'9" guy with a goatee and predicting the Sacramento Kings are winning the championship this year if they were the only team in the league with a guy who fit this description. Trump supporters are searching high and low for optimism. |
earthmansurfer
Posts: 24005 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 1/26/2005 Member: #858 Germany |
![]() Welpee wrote:earthmansurfer wrote:A bit for fun, but this guy has predicted (using a model) all but one presidential election back to 1912 correctly.I call BS on his "methodology." It's based on how somebody did in the primaries against the 2nd best opponent?Helmut Norpoth, a professor at Stony Brook University on Long Island, has developed a model for predicting elections which, when applied, has correctly predicted every presidential election back to 1912 with one exception – the 1960 election. Except his model has been working for 20 years. The intuitive mind is a sacred gift and the rational mind is a faithful servant. We have created a society that honors the servant and has forgotten the gift. Albert Einstein
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earthmansurfer
Posts: 24005 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 1/26/2005 Member: #858 Germany |
![]() Love him or hate him, Trump is proposing a 100 day action plan to start his administration: (I jotted these down)
1. Constitutional amendment to impose term limits on ALL members of congress and 7 actions to protect American Workers: 5 actions to restore security and constitutional rule of law: And The intuitive mind is a sacred gift and the rational mind is a faithful servant. We have created a society that honors the servant and has forgotten the gift. Albert Einstein
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Bonn1997
Posts: 58654 Alba Posts: 2 Joined: 2/2/2004 Member: #581 USA |
![]() Interesting info. here, Briggs (and everyone else). The people who do the best with financial decisions and outcomes in their own lives are backing Hillary by huge margins! I can't get it to paste the article but the main findings are
-Hillary has a 17 point lead among those making $100K or more a year. -It's almost a 30 point lead among those making at least $250K -Typically the wealthy vote Republican. It's unclear if this is a re-alignment with Democrats or just a one-time aversion to Donald Trump. http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/23/business/rich-vote-republican-not-this-election-maybe.html?_r=0 |
Bonn1997
Posts: 58654 Alba Posts: 2 Joined: 2/2/2004 Member: #581 USA |
![]() earthmansurfer wrote:Welpee wrote:earthmansurfer wrote:A bit for fun, but this guy has predicted (using a model) all but one presidential election back to 1912 correctly.I call BS on his "methodology." It's based on how somebody did in the primaries against the 2nd best opponent?Helmut Norpoth, a professor at Stony Brook University on Long Island, has developed a model for predicting elections which, when applied, has correctly predicted every presidential election back to 1912 with one exception – the 1960 election. You can find tons of people who have gotten every election right for the past 20 or more years, which basically just means they were right 5 or 6 times (most of which were not close elections). It's meaningless. I remember about a year ago a research team at Western Illinois University that had gotten every election right since 1975 was saying Bernie Sanders would be the next US President! |
holfresh
Posts: 38679 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 1/14/2006 Member: #1081 |
![]() Russell Simmons Says He's Heard Donald Trump Make Racist and Anti-Semitic Comments...
http://fortune.com/2016/10/21/russell-simmons-trump-comments/ |
earthmansurfer
Posts: 24005 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 1/26/2005 Member: #858 Germany |
![]() I've mentioned my #1 worry with the Clintons is corruption and I wonder why is the firing and resignation of 2 DNC workers is not being discussed more?
"We literally have someone in the Clinton campaign saying that they coordinate between the DNC and their super PACs. We have another saying that morals, ethics, and even law doesn't matter as long as they win. We have them saying they staged multiple protests, the Chicago one being extremely violent (more of a riot than a protest). They plant people at events to antagonize and incite violence." Was the #1 Youtube trending video as well as on Twitter. Robert Creamer's connection to the White House - Clinton and Obama Video connecting Wikileaks releases to DNC staged protests Wikileaks confirming 1pm calls for "Trump Rapid Response" team - it was Zulema Rodriguez who stated this in the video and claimed responsibility for Arizona highway shutdown The intuitive mind is a sacred gift and the rational mind is a faithful servant. We have created a society that honors the servant and has forgotten the gift. Albert Einstein
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Knickoftime
Posts: 24159 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 1/13/2011 Member: #3370 |
![]() earthmansurfer wrote:holfresh wrote:Trump offered 10k to porn star for sex... You've previously stopped answering my questions EMS so I don't expect much to change now, but a meta-question. Do you genuinely not recognize the textbook manipulation techniques apparent in this (again) link (rather than your own expressed thoughts)? I'm not asking if you believe everything in the post, clearly you do, I just curious if you can identity WHY the information is packaged in the way it is and how it is technically crafted to illicit the response it does? There is a science to this if you're unaware of it. |
reub
Posts: 21836 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 1/13/2016 Member: #6227 |
![]() Crooked Hillary cooked the crooked polls:
"Hey, when can we meet? I also want to get your Atlas folks to recommend oversamples for our polling before we start in February. By market, regions, etc. I want to get this all compiled into one set of recommendations so we can maximize what we get out of our media polling." https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/26551 |
earthmansurfer
Posts: 24005 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 1/26/2005 Member: #858 Germany |
![]() Knickoftime wrote:You've previously stopped answering my questions EMS so I don't expect much to change now, but a meta-question. Do you genuinely not recognize the textbook manipulation techniques apparent in this (again) link (rather than your own expressed thoughts)? I can't agree with how you hand me guilt regarding a lack of replies. We've discussed this. You always ignored most of my good points, but did answer most questions. You picked and chose, essentially. If I remember correctly, you mentioned you only replied to my questions, ignoring true statements, so let's not be too quick to judge here - this was after I asked you. I thought this was cleared up. I am more concerned with the charges of inciting violence and the result, than I am the packaging of the video. Now, before I get into the packaging of evidence, let's not derail the real issue here. I posted something that was clearly illegal for the DNC to do and instead of getting into that, you ask about textbook manipulation (and don't mention the firings and resignation???) This kind of activity gets people put in prison. Just as deleting tens of thousands of emails AFTER the State Department asked for them should! Now, let's look at the actual case here. Is it absolutely not sickening that peoples lives were endangered by Clinton and the DNC regarding inciting violence at Trump rallies? The intuitive mind is a sacred gift and the rational mind is a faithful servant. We have created a society that honors the servant and has forgotten the gift. Albert Einstein
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Bonn1997
Posts: 58654 Alba Posts: 2 Joined: 2/2/2004 Member: #581 USA |
![]() reub wrote:Crooked Hillary cooked the crooked polls: I went to that link. All it says is some guy named Tom sent that e-mail. |
Welpee
Posts: 23162 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 1/22/2016 Member: #6239 |
![]() Bonn1997 wrote:And there's usually no verifiable documentation that they called all of these previous elections accurately. Kinda like Trump calling the Iraq invasion a mistake after the fact and claiming he was right all along.earthmansurfer wrote:Welpee wrote:earthmansurfer wrote:A bit for fun, but this guy has predicted (using a model) all but one presidential election back to 1912 correctly.I call BS on his "methodology." It's based on how somebody did in the primaries against the 2nd best opponent?Helmut Norpoth, a professor at Stony Brook University on Long Island, has developed a model for predicting elections which, when applied, has correctly predicted every presidential election back to 1912 with one exception – the 1960 election. |
Welpee
Posts: 23162 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 1/22/2016 Member: #6239 |
![]() earthmansurfer wrote:Love him or hate him, Trump is proposing a 100 day action plan to start his administration: (I jotted these down)I keep hearing Trump's "words" mean less than Clinton's "actions" when it comes to his sexual allegations. Yet, this is all just words. What "actions" has Trump engaged in during his life to indicate he gives a bleep about middle class? And hiring people to help make him rich is a cop out. What has he done for the middle class that didn't personally benefit to him? |
Welpee
Posts: 23162 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 1/22/2016 Member: #6239 |
![]() earthmansurfer wrote:I've mentioned my #1 worry with the Clintons is corruption and I wonder why is the firing and resignation of 2 DNC workers is not being discussed more?I have a more important question, why are people OK with wikileaks period? A foreign entity trying to impact our election and committing a crime hacking into people's email. I guess it's just like hate and insults, it's all good as long as it's directed at people you don't like? And when they change their mind and start targeting republicans/conservatives, then it becomes a problem that must be stopped. Otherwise, keep it coming? |
earthmansurfer
Posts: 24005 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 1/26/2005 Member: #858 Germany |
![]() Welpee wrote:earthmansurfer wrote:I've mentioned my #1 worry with the Clintons is corruption and I wonder why is the firing and resignation of 2 DNC workers is not being discussed more?I have a more important question, why are people OK with wikileaks period? A foreign entity trying to impact our election and committing a crime hacking into people's email. I guess it's just like hate and insults, it's all good as long as it's directed at people you don't like? And when they change their mind and start targeting republicans/conservatives, then it becomes a problem that must be stopped. Otherwise, keep it coming? More important question? Says you. It is pretty clear Clintons campaign is now falling apart, and there are no questions here, no deeper discussion into what they actually did. The recent issue here is Hillary Clinton and the DNC inciting violence at Trump rallies (and getting caught). Worry less about the messenger and just look at the illegal messages. Wikileaks just saved us, again. The intuitive mind is a sacred gift and the rational mind is a faithful servant. We have created a society that honors the servant and has forgotten the gift. Albert Einstein
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Knickoftime
Posts: 24159 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 1/13/2011 Member: #3370 |
![]() earthmansurfer wrote:Knickoftime wrote:You've previously stopped answering my questions EMS so I don't expect much to change now, but a meta-question. Do you genuinely not recognize the textbook manipulation techniques apparent in this (again) link (rather than your own expressed thoughts)? Hand you guilt? Judge? I made an accurate observation. I don't recall any good points. Yes, like every and anyone else, I respond to what I'm inclined to respond to. That is in no way an admission I agree with things I didn't happen to respond to. I am more concerned with the charges of inciting violence and the result, than I am the packaging of the video. I wasn't referring to the video. I was referring to the novella you copied and pasted along with it. That too as specific structure and form designed to illicit a specific response. You ignored the question I asked about that. Why? All I asked if you were aware of the how the sausage is made. If you recognize the techniques used. It's a simple question. I posted something that was clearly illegal for the DNC to do and instead of getting into that I'm pretty certain I've responded to that in detail, haven't i? The gentlemen involved should be removed from their position (they have) and their claims fully investigated. Just as deleting tens of thousands of emails AFTER the State Department asked for them should! Nobody is begrudging your right to your personal opinion on that matter. Now, let's look at the actual case here. Is it absolutely not sickening that peoples lives were endangered by Clinton and the DNC regarding inciting violence at Trump rallies? That is the root question here. We have it on video, quote after quote after quote. You can't even ask a question fairly. Yes, if any of the things alledged actually occurred, then yes, it would be sickening and shameful. There is no place for that in the democratic process. But whether any of those things were actually incited by the DNC (as opposed to some crackpots in DNC circles) and the Clinton campaign has not been established. And I don't believe even the Trump campaign is pushing that narrative anymore, despite the Trump Foundation funding (perhaps illegally) Project Veritas. |
Knickoftime
Posts: 24159 Alba Posts: 0 Joined: 1/13/2011 Member: #3370 |
![]() earthmansurfer wrote:The recent issue here is Hillary Clinton and the DNC inciting violence at Trump rallies (and getting caught). No, again, you've skipped ahead a step. And since you and I agree any such actions should be condemned I can ask you this question fairly... and I'll even put in in a form you respond to. Are you equally appalled at Trump inciting violence (and succeeding) at Trump rallies? And your response is to ask "Why Wikileaks?" - You should be ecstatic we finally have a source of checks and balances. Since you seem not to understand the issue at hand. Wikileaks is the venue. The entire intelligence community is certain the sources of the hacks is the Russians. I believe the question as asked and understood properly is are you okay with a foreign power hacking one of the U.S. democratic institutions. No need to embellish the answer, it is a simple yes or not question. |