Knickoftime wrote:martin wrote:But there is a corollary to that too: you have to be able to get better AFTER that significantly enough to meet your goals of championship.
Absolutely. But let's just look at the current Knicks. Two starters on a play-off team came from a international free agent signing out of nowhere, and a second round pick, one that just held his own in the starting line-up of the stronger of the rookie/sophomore teams).
Three significant rotation players from the Celtics were 21st (Rondo, arguably there second most valuable player), 27th (Perkins) and a second round pick (Davis).
Another was a MLE signing and a veterans minimum signing (the O'Neals).
Chicago is built on 3 lottery picks (finally success after a decade of futility) and a free agent who was once a 2nd round draft choice.
Two of Orando's main gogs were non-lottery selections (Nelson and Turkoglu). And they're built on a overall first.
The point being, getting a Rose or Howard via the draft is NOT an option to the Knicks at this point... BUT ... getting good players with draft choices, making astute trades, and whatever free agent exceptions exist in the CBA is not off the table.
Knicks can add 'Melo and still get better.
And the NBA is NOT a parity league. 85% of the league is searching for that magic formula of how to get better but always leave room in the equation to get to the championship level.
At a certain point, you have to make your bed. You can't construct your roster on a hedge waiting for that once-in-a-lifetime piece to fall into your lap.
What are we really talking about here?
Keeping Gallinari and Chandler, letting Chandler walk or trying to salvage a draft pick for him so as to not eat into your 2012 cap space, and HOPE Howard or Williams come?
What other meet your championship goals are out there?
I'd frame it differently and also note that it's not so much as I wouldn't want to do a Melo trade but rather do a Melo trade that still affords us forward maneuverability.
For me it's not so black and white as saying keep Gallo and Chandler and hope and pray for Melo in off-season and then something after.
Groundwork: a team of Amare and Melo and extras is not as good as Bosh, Wade, LeBron and extras or even Rose, Noah, Booz and extras (and this is just in the East, Kobe and Lakers will be around for a couple of years and OKC has 2 big parts, extras and all sorts of cap space and flexibility). So with any type of Melo trade, will NY have enough wherewithal to keep the extras and add significantly? And to add players to the Knicks team, you also need to compete against Miami, Chicago, etc through the same UFA pool or through sign and trades.
Let's be realistic about the Moz signing and the Fields draft: Those 2 adds come around about once every 5 years and usually once for a particular team; to suggest that Donnie could just do it again may be a little wishful thinking.
NY has given in to Denver on the Felton/Billups flip. One can argue that they are the same statistical output or that Big shot Billups is better cause of his past play and experience, but the guy IS 34 going on 35 this year and with double the salary. But MOST importantly, in 2 years, when CP3 and Deron come on the market, would either Utah or NO be willing to accept a swap of PG-for-PG? Would they rather have a right-sized contract and 28 year old PG of good character (and other parts to make exchange work) or a 36 year old $14M expiring contact who is prob done? Both of those 2 teams really aren't that competitive in the UFA market, so a Billups-type player (at his age) and expiring contract are worthless. That's the opportunity cost NY is giving up with that swap.
Knicks can add Melo in offseason (perhaps drop Chandler completely but keep Felton/Gallo). NY gets Melo and has good room to make a PG upgrade and match CHI, OKC, MIA and even has a Gallo or Chandler type to come off the bench.
Same with adding in Gallo to the picture today (or even Chandler to a lesser extent if it's a Gallo or Chandler inclusion); we need to project out what he may become 2 years and ask if it is significant enough for a possible swap or fill a necessary role on a Championship team (either of those guys could fill the first player role off the bench).
Knicks can add 'Melo and still get better.
At the cost of what the Knicks are giving up to Denver today, how is this possible in a way that we can compete with Boston or LA next year, or CHI, MIA for the next 5?
Moz, Amare, Melo. That front line is not scaring anyone defensively. And in another year your PG will be gone and you will need to replace that position. Also, the bench has zero significant player.
So, you have to address PG, Bench, Defense at the same rate and with zero capspace and without a 2012 pick. How does a team do that with low lottery picks while also competing for the same players with the MLE as would the other teams listed?