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Game #3 Thread (5/10 330pm ESPN): Boston is a 5.5 point favorite for game 3 right now
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fishmike
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5/9/2025  10:10 AM
In MSG down 0-2 they are heavy favorites to win on the road.

Fascinating.

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MaTT4281
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5/9/2025  10:23 AM    LAST EDITED: 5/9/2025  10:24 AM
Heard them talking about this on Unsportsmanlike this morning, particularly from a series standpoint.

They said from a sports book perspective, they have to skew the odds towards the casual audience and public perception. Boston is still being viewed favorably as defending champs and capable of running 4 straight. While trending performances and game/series context should dictate higher odds against Boston, they worry that the "true odds" would draw in too many bettors, and if Boston then does win, places too high of a liability on the sports books.

Referenced post-prime Tiger Woods as another example of them skewing odds unfavorably in the past.

But either way, **** Boston.
Panos
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5/9/2025  10:29 AM
5.5 point favorite maybe for the first 3-1/2 quarters. Until Brunson Burner kicks in.
martin
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5/9/2025  10:35 AM
Hijacking this into the Game thread
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martin
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5/9/2025  10:36 AM
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martin
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5/9/2025  10:37 AM
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martin
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5/9/2025  10:37 AM
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DLeethal
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5/9/2025  10:47 AM
I recall when Boston fell down 0-3 to Miami a couple years ago they maintained "favorite" status the whole way even down 0-3.
DLeethal
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5/9/2025  10:49 AM
It definitely seems like the league is shifting a little bit back towards power teams. So I hope we keep that in mind when rounding out the roster next year.

I don't really consider Pascal and Turner a "double big" lineup. Thats a pretty standard 4-5 combo.
martin
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5/9/2025  10:51 AM
Panos wrote:5.5 point favorite maybe for the first 3-1/2 quarters. Until Brunson Burner kicks in.

Exactly

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Nalod
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5/9/2025  10:52 AM
The odds keep reducing though. The spread was wider games 1 and 2.
From a statistical standpoint I get it and would agree to its logic.
This is not about "disrespect" Why? Knicks lost all 4 to this team and they won 10 more games then us. They earned the cred and the math behind it.
Its also a team that built 20 point leads. Its one thing to lose two games. Its another to lose by blow out. These are very very close games. They won't blow every lead.
I have to assume game 3 to be a different pace and pattern. It would be incredible for this scenario to play out game after game.
Be great for knicks to deliver a knock out punch and go up 3-0.
Logically I can't fathom a knick sweep. Neither can the bookmakers.
martin
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5/9/2025  11:05 AM
You know he lit the fire

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martin
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5/9/2025  11:05 AM
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martin
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5/9/2025  11:05 AM

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MaTT4281
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5/9/2025  11:06 AM
MaTT4281
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5/9/2025  11:07 AM
martin wrote:You know he lit the fire

Pick your 12th man: PJ Tucker, Ryan Arcidiacano, or Theo Pinson?
BigDaddyG
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5/9/2025  11:11 AM
MaTT4281 wrote:
martin wrote:You know he lit the fire

Pick your 12th man: PJ Tucker, Ryan Arcidiacano, or Theo Pinson?

It's Arch, no question. How many three second violations have we had called against opposing teams since he left?

Always... always remember: Less is less. More is more. More is better and twice as much is good too. Not enough is bad, and too much is never enough except when it's just about right. - The Tick
martin
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5/9/2025  11:12 AM
MaTT4281 wrote:
martin wrote:You know he lit the fire

Pick your 12th man: PJ Tucker, Ryan Arcidiacano, or Theo Pinson?

Well, it's obviously all about occasion: Playoffs, post game after party, regular season

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martin
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5/9/2025  11:14 AM
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DLeethal
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5/9/2025  11:21 AM
Nalod wrote:The odds keep reducing though. The spread was wider games 1 and 2.
From a statistical standpoint I get it and would agree to its logic.
This is not about "disrespect" Why? Knicks lost all 4 to this team and they won 10 more games then us. They earned the cred and the math behind it.
Its also a team that built 20 point leads. Its one thing to lose two games. Its another to lose by blow out. These are very very close games. They won't blow every lead.
I have to assume game 3 to be a different pace and pattern. It would be incredible for this scenario to play out game after game.
Be great for knicks to deliver a knock out punch and go up 3-0.
Logically I can't fathom a knick sweep. Neither can the bookmakers.

The more desperate team will often get the odds to shift in their favor as well. Vegas considers Boston better AND more desperate.
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Game #3 Thread (5/10 330pm ESPN): Boston is a 5.5 point favorite for game 3 right now
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