I ended last season incredibly high on IQ. In the last few games of the season, I saw him orchestrating the offense, feeding Obi and disrupting the passing lanes with his long arms.
Right now, his pre-season showing left a little lacking and I feel like he dragged down that second unit a bit with his lack of passing and poor shooting. His disruption of the passing lanes is pretty much all he had going for him in those 4 pre-season games.
I don't think there is a camp battle any more. Cam may have pre-seasoned himself out of the rotation. But IQ/Grimes probably have the first 10 games of the season still to define a winner. McBride is certainly looking like he will be snatching any extra minutes that Derrick Rose sits for.
So, how does this play for his trade value?
He has this year and a 1 year team option at 4mm on his contract followed by a 6mm QO.
I'd guess his contract value is between 7.5mm and 9mm max right now if he was available on the open market. There a lot more players that can come in and use those same minutes just as effectively. Put differently, how different does our team look if you replace IQ with Malik Monk? Monk makes 9.5mm per on a two year contract.
So, this year and next year, his rookie contract carries a small gap between actual value and estimated AAV. Its a good contract for teams over the cap, but most teams could replace his skill set with the MLE or less.
In terms of rookie upside, he is still in his younger stages of his career and hasn't been able to break into the starting rotation on a team that clearly lacked a PG. Mostly because he is a gunner.
I see his highest value coming from a team like Portland where Dame is rapping about Quick. He's a gunner also and likes what he sees in IQ, for good reason, but IQ needs to work on the other facets of his game. The IQ that was pushing 10 assists at the end of last season makes 20mm per.
So, IQ has to decide whether he is a Lou Williams-type gunner that caps out at 11mm per as 6th man of the year. Or if he is a point guard that can both spread the floor and run an offense.
I think he is closer to the second but he got caught this pre-season forcing shots while trying to find his offensive flow. I think he put up quite a few bad shots forcing the issue instead of using his passing. It collapsed the second unit many many times.
I think he and Obi have a special connection and a line of IQ/Rose/Grimes/Toppin/Hart will gel a bit in the first few games if they let Hart initiate the offense in the high post while the 3 guards move off the ball. I think they gel.
Total Value? Currently late first round pick in 2023 and a couple seconds from a contending team without cap room to navigate. More likely added to another trade as a value add trade chip. If he puts together a larger sample size of the games like at the end of last year, he could raise that value tremendously. I think his value comes from passing not shooting though.