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Dame Lillard: Franchise Saviour
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gradyandrew
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3/14/2022  11:07 PM
I think the writing is on the wall in Portland. The team was always Paul Allen's hobby, I don't think his interests. With Chet Holmgren in the draft, the plan becomes clear- trade Lillard for Chet and then sell the team (the Sonics/ KD special). Lillard has 3 years and 145 million left on his contract. A rebuilding team isn't going to trade him but there's enough variance in the draft for anything to happen. As is, a package of Burks, Noel, Kemba, and Toppin works salary wise. Grimes, IQ, and draft picks get it done. RJ is the only guy I see as untouchable, the Blazers don't want Randle.

For New York, Lillard will deliver the star power to compete in the East. I think if Brooklyn wins a ring the heat will be on to deliver a higher quality product. Following the last 2 Heartbreakers it looks like even the play in will be a long shot. If Randle shuts down over the next week or so it will be clear the Knicks have given up.

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jskinny35
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3/15/2022  12:01 AM
gradyandrew wrote:I think the writing is on the wall in Portland. The team was always Paul Allen's hobby, I don't think his interests. With Chet Holmgren in the draft, the plan becomes clear- trade Lillard for Chet and then sell the team (the Sonics/ KD special). Lillard has 3 years and 145 million left on his contract. A rebuilding team isn't going to trade him but there's enough variance in the draft for anything to happen. As is, a package of Burks, Noel, Kemba, and Toppin works salary wise. Grimes, IQ, and draft picks get it done. RJ is the only guy I see as untouchable, the Blazers don't want Randle.

For New York, Lillard will deliver the star power to compete in the East. I think if Brooklyn wins a ring the heat will be on to deliver a higher quality product. Following the last 2 Heartbreakers it looks like even the play in will be a long shot. If Randle shuts down over the next week or so it will be clear the Knicks have given up.

Only way I wouldn't vomit if we traded for Lillard is if Randle goes out - can't imagine expanding the RJ and Randle taking turns offensive to RJ, Randle and Lillard taking turns next year.

gradyandrew
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3/15/2022  1:35 AM
A Big 3 seems like a pretty reliable plan for a perennial playoff team.
Nalod
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3/15/2022  7:42 AM
I’d more randle, Iq and dallas pick for Lillard. Still i’d have sleepless nights. that does not make us contenders.

I think brunson with Mitch and Dallas pick could be enough. Im not ready to give up on Randle either.
How many good allstar seasons does Lillard have? If he is CP3 logevity thats a different story. CP3 also is injured A LOT!

KnickDanger
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3/15/2022  7:50 AM
Ugh.
Allanfan20
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3/15/2022  7:53 AM
1) How do you know the Blazers want or don’t want Randle?

2) What in your right or wrong mind makes you think Lillard is our Franchise savior when Portland gets demolished by the best teams in the playoffs, when Portland is at their best.

3) Lillard is old with his injuries. Hell no. If I am taking a HUGE risk on a player with injury concerns, it’s Zion. Not someone as old and declining as Dame. And I am a fan of Dame.

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BigDaddyG
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3/15/2022  8:14 AM
Allanfan20 wrote:1) How do you know the Blazers want or don’t want Randle?

2) What in your right or wrong mind makes you think Lillard is our Franchise savior when Portland gets demolished by the best teams in the playoffs, when Portland is at their best.

3) Lillard is old with his injuries. Hell no. If I am taking a HUGE risk on a player with injury concerns, it’s Zion. Not someone as old and declining as Dame. And I am a fan of Dame.


Fair points. Dame might be my favorite player, but I fear his days of carrying squads might be over. Also, we have nothing to offer Portland that I fell comfortable giving up.
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martin
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3/15/2022  8:22 AM
Lillard gotta transition into the CP3 mode of playing style and then maybe if he can do that, he would have some value. Or he has to be next to another super start.
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EwingsGlass
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3/15/2022  8:29 AM
Every time I read these arguments against Lillard, I have flash backs to how we wouldn’t want Chris Paul or Kevin Durant. Remember Chris Paul’s meniscus or Durant’s foot graft? Or Chris Paul’s age. I think this board is relatively conservative when it comes to injuries. I’ve been skittish since we traded Nene and Camby for McDyess.

Love or hate Lillard, the guy is a talent in this league. If guys are playing until they are 40, he isn’t old. If they break down at 33 he is. Never love love breaking the entire roster for one player. My question is if you are grabbing Lillard, who else are you getting to come with? Lill RJ and JR don’t get it done in this league.

Thing is, Superteams right now have what I’ll call a maturation period. 1st step, acquire 2 top 10 players and a 3rd all star. No bench except for vet min former stars. Then, add exception players until you are about to hard cap. Keep filling in blanks with 2nd rd picks you can buy or g league players that are hot. Maybe steal an international player who used to play in the NBA but couldn’t cut it earlier in their career. It takes a year or two or three. But once they mature, you are looking at a Nets team with Durant, Irving, Simmons, Aldridge, Drummond… and they add more exception players this offseason. You don’t just make one trade for a star player and compete with that. Or GSW (who has also had a leprechaun’s luck in the draft) and about to get bailed out by the NBA by expansion).

My dream scenario (of this exact moment in time) is Donovan Mitchell (remaining at PG) and forcing his way out of Utah (why?)) and KAT out of Minnesota (why?). Still think that pair needs more ammo to finish a playoff series. Need something more to go with those two. But that group still needs a few years to grow (as would our core, though we lack the “star” that we hope and pray Barrett can become.

Because the above seems more like a video game move, I actually want to see Barrett and Randle continue working on their chemistry. I’m not in love with the rest of the roster (though I really do love Robinson), I still think we need to add a 3&D PG and SF. We aren’t one player away from a championship. We are one or more players away from starting the maturation process.

Until then, we are actually stuck in the NBA doldrums. We need a little luck more than we need one superstar. But if you can pull off 2 or 3, I’m in.

You know I gonna spin wit it
franco12
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3/15/2022  9:12 AM
How is Dame any different from Kemba or D Rose? Or is he like Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler or DeRozan?
martin
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3/15/2022  9:29 AM    LAST EDITED: 3/15/2022  9:29 AM
EwingsGlass wrote:Every time I read these arguments against Lillard, I have flash backs to how we wouldn’t want Chris Paul or Kevin Durant. Remember Chris Paul’s meniscus or Durant’s foot graft? Or Chris Paul’s age. I think this board is relatively conservative when it comes to injuries. I’ve been skittish since we traded Nene and Camby for McDyess.

Love or hate Lillard, the guy is a talent in this league. If guys are playing until they are 40, he isn’t old. If they break down at 33 he is. Never love love breaking the entire roster for one player. My question is if you are grabbing Lillard, who else are you getting to come with? Lill RJ and JR don’t get it done in this league.

Thing is, Superteams right now have what I’ll call a maturation period. 1st step, acquire 2 top 10 players and a 3rd all star. No bench except for vet min former stars. Then, add exception players until you are about to hard cap. Keep filling in blanks with 2nd rd picks you can buy or g league players that are hot. Maybe steal an international player who used to play in the NBA but couldn’t cut it earlier in their career. It takes a year or two or three. But once they mature, you are looking at a Nets team with Durant, Irving, Simmons, Aldridge, Drummond… and they add more exception players this offseason. You don’t just make one trade for a star player and compete with that. Or GSW (who has also had a leprechaun’s luck in the draft) and about to get bailed out by the NBA by expansion).

My dream scenario (of this exact moment in time) is Donovan Mitchell (remaining at PG) and forcing his way out of Utah (why?)) and KAT out of Minnesota (why?). Still think that pair needs more ammo to finish a playoff series. Need something more to go with those two. But that group still needs a few years to grow (as would our core, though we lack the “star” that we hope and pray Barrett can become.

Because the above seems more like a video game move, I actually want to see Barrett and Randle continue working on their chemistry. I’m not in love with the rest of the roster (though I really do love Robinson), I still think we need to add a 3&D PG and SF. We aren’t one player away from a championship. We are one or more players away from starting the maturation process.

Until then, we are actually stuck in the NBA doldrums. We need a little luck more than we need one superstar. But if you can pull off 2 or 3, I’m in.

It all comes down to what cost. If you are just giving up Rubio and a future 1st ala Phoenix, sure. Trades that are bigger than that come with big warning signs like Brooklyn had when trading for Paul Pierce and company.

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gradyandrew
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3/15/2022  9:39 AM
https://www.foxsports.com/nba/damian-lillard-player-injuries
https://ripcityproject.com/2022/01/30/portland-trail-blazers-damian-lillard-injury-history/
The Portland Trail Blazers’ Damian Lillard had abdominal surgery on January 13 and is expected to be out until mid-March at the earliest. The injury had been bothering Lillard for years and had kept him out of the lineup for a total of 11 games on seven separate occasions this season before his season ended for good after the Blazers’ New Year’s Eve loss to the Los Angeles Lakers.

https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/l/lillada01.html

He's played at least 66 games every season before this one. Somehow in that 66 game season (19-20) he led the NBA in offensive win shares at 11. It also seems significant that it bothered him for years before he opted to get surgery in a lost season, after playing in the Olympics. Also, abdominal surgery isn't a knee, hamstring, foot injury. I can't think of anyone who's career crashed because of an abdominal injury.

The Brunson/ Brogdon lot don't really move the needle. The Knicks brought a knife to a gunfight this season. I think Fournier/ Robinson are better players than Bullock/ Noel but the rest of the East improved so much that the Knicks have a worse record. Atlanta is in the same category. Mobley/ Barnes/ DeRozan/ Lowry- there's a simple explanation why their teams improved- those guys are really good.

Because (I think) the Allen estate wants to sell the team, he should be available. A tanked season after trading Lillard would mean they can sell it with a clean cap and high pick. I even forgot that Neil Oshley is gone too. I'm sure Lillard loves the fans but a new owner/ gm/ coach makes me think those ties can't be too strong.

I disagree strongly that it wouldn't make us contenders. A Lillard/ Rose/ RJ backcourt will be able to hang with anyone. It's obvious the Knicks desperately need a closer (cue bye- bye OKC clip). Between Reddish, Toppin, RJ, Grimes, IQ, Deuce, Sims, and hopefully Robinson, the Knicks have hit the diminishing returns point of draft picks- further solid picks will be fighting for minutes with the guys we already have. The front office has shown they can find quality guys late in the draft. This summer's pick and 2024's won't sink the franchise.

And no, Portland doesn't want Randle. I don't get why someone would propose that, we want to get better, not make a lateral move.

blkexec
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3/15/2022  9:44 AM
franco12 wrote:How is Dame any different from Kemba or D Rose? Or is he like Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler or DeRozan?

Dame is tricky. He's only been in one offensive system his entire career. The challenge is teaching an old dog new tricks. Or Dame trying to show his value by taking all the shots.

It's hard to say no to this type of talent. But as we have seen with the Lakers, talent alone is not everything. There needs to be a fit. Right now, Dame doesn't fit to me, unless he adapts his game to fit the team, similar to what Martin said.

We all want a pass first PG. But is one available? Does one exist, outside of Chris Paul? PGs have changed over the years.

IQ for example, is not a better player, but could be a better fit at a lower price tag. Which allows the FO to put their money in other areas. Some might say the same about Sims, but is he ready to be a starter? Honestly I missed the last game, but read a lot of positives with sims in that 4th quarter.

Basically, I dont see how we can pay top dollar for a PG and top dollar for a center. But I could be wrong. My guess is one of those positions will be filled with a low cost option. I could be totally wrong here. But don't sleep on IQs PG development. Some of the top PGs used to be shooting guards who converted or more offensive threats in college but pass first in the NBA.

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gradyandrew
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3/15/2022  9:46 AM
Pierce was 36 when that trade went down. Lillard will be 32 this summer.
fishmike
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3/15/2022  10:30 AM
yes for the play, no for the cost. Not at 32. He's not worth a bunch of picks and players. Yes for Burks/Fournier/Noel/Kemba and maybe a pick with protection. 32 years old making $40mm+ a year. The only way it helps us is if we send them those guys above and modest draft comp.

He's a fine opportunity but a terrible investment. This is not a guy you spend assets on at this point

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martin
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3/15/2022  10:48 AM
gradyandrew wrote:Pierce was 36 when that trade went down. Lillard will be 32 this summer.

He was also in his last year of a big contract number.

Are you trading for a healthy Westbrook like 2 years ago, Wall or CP3. That's the question.

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jrodmc
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3/15/2022  11:37 AM
fishmike wrote:yes for the play, no for the cost. Not at 32. He's not worth a bunch of picks and players. Yes for Burks/Fournier/Noel/Kemba and maybe a pick with protection. 32 years old making $40mm+ a year. The only way it helps us is if we send them those guys above and modest draft comp.

He's a fine opportunity but a terrible investment. This is not a guy you spend assets on at this point

Including Kemba and Noel in a trade. For anyone or anything. That's funny. It's supposed to be funny, right? Are you still super high?

And to your second point, why would we be giving up any 1st round picks to take on a salary dump of that size?

If Dame couldn't save Portland with McCullom next to him, how or why is he saving us? Other than an old Screamin Stevie Smith factoid about how Dame wants to be the main wheel at MSG (and his camp doesn't), does he even really want to come here? And exactly who is Dame recruiting to come here if the trade gets done? Melo? Just asking. Because you know I had to.

fishmike
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3/15/2022  12:00 PM
jrodmc wrote:
fishmike wrote:yes for the play, no for the cost. Not at 32. He's not worth a bunch of picks and players. Yes for Burks/Fournier/Noel/Kemba and maybe a pick with protection. 32 years old making $40mm+ a year. The only way it helps us is if we send them those guys above and modest draft comp.

He's a fine opportunity but a terrible investment. This is not a guy you spend assets on at this point

Including Kemba and Noel in a trade. For anyone or anything. That's funny. It's supposed to be funny, right? Are you still super high?

And to your second point, why would we be giving up any 1st round picks to take on a salary dump of that size?

If Dame couldn't save Portland with McCullom next to him, how or why is he saving us? Other than an old Screamin Stevie Smith factoid about how Dame wants to be the main wheel at MSG (and his camp doesn't), does he even really want to come here? And exactly who is Dame recruiting to come here if the trade gets done? Melo? Just asking. Because you know I had to.

its called a salary dump. That happens quite a bit. The reason you dont give up much is because like Melo he's a 1 way scorer who can get hot and win games but that not title material so there really isnt a point. Would I use a salary dump and an FRP to add Dame? Sure. Would I add picks and young players? No thanks.
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SergioNYK
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3/15/2022  12:01 PM
Never been high on Dame. I always felt he was a little overrated. Sure it would be cool to have him here if he can play at a high level but at his age and recent injury history, I think I'd pass unless he came dirt cheap in a deal. Ultimately, I don't see him moving the needle much. Far greater chance he'd be a Marbury than a CP3 in PDX.
jskinny35
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3/15/2022  12:21 PM
SergioNYK wrote:Never been high on Dame. I always felt he was a little overrated. Sure it would be cool to have him here if he can play at a high level but at his age and recent injury history, I think I'd pass unless he came dirt cheap in a deal. Ultimately, I don't see him moving the needle much. Far greater chance he'd be a Marbury than a CP3 in PDX.

Agree - and there is a major difference between CP3 and Dame involving play style. CP3 has played at the same slow pace his whole career (like Mark Jackson) and been consistently effective - that's why he doesn't look much different 10 years later. While not ultra-athletic, Dame uses his speed and bursts to create space and that usually ages you faster (eg nagging injuries). When that starts to go and you are diminutive - your crash occurs faster. I always think of Allen Iverson who's decline occurred pretty quickly. CP3 uses his body and smarts to overcome his limited athleticism. So I would pass on Dame unless they took Randle and we were grooming a young PG after Dame flames out.

Dame Lillard: Franchise Saviour

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