We saw in the OKC game that RJ can create his own offense consistently. We also saw his biggest weakness, i.e. his lack of a 3 point shot. Until RJ can become more consistent hitting his 3s, he is never going to take that next step to quality starter/borderline all-star. So let’s talk about what I see wrong with RJ this year. RJ tends to start slow with his shooting and then improve as the season goes forward, only this year he caught CoVid and he is still working his way through the season.
In 2019, RJ shot .729 of his shots from 2p, he followed that up .708 in 2020, and he is only shooting .597 of his shots from 2p range this year. While his percentage of shots taken from 3p range has gone from .272 (2019), to .292 (2020), to .408 (2021) percent. So RJ is moving from 2p shots that he is good at toward taking more 3p shots that he is terrible at, which is why his shooting percentages are down across the board.
RJ shooting percentages around the basket (0-3 feet) are .568 in 2019, .605 in 2020, and .625 in 2021. So each year RJ has improved in his ability to finish around the basket. Yet, this year he is only taking .267 percent of his shots within 3 feet v 2020 when he took .325 percent of his shots from that distance and 2019 when he took .395 of his shots within 3 feet.
Beyond this shift in more 3s, RJ is no longer limiting himself to catch and shoot 3s. Last year, RJs 3point percentage went up primarily because he stopped shooting 3s off the dribble and limited himself to catch and shoot threes, mainly in the corners. This year, he is shooting more threes off the dribble and his corner 3 percentages have fallen off a cliff. The fewer 3s RJ takes in a game the better. He needs to limit himself solely to 3-4 wide open catch and shoot 3s. If he does this, I think his percentages will start to rise like they did last year.
The bottomline is that the Knicks have turned RJ into a jump shooter, which is something he is unable to be efficiently. RJ needs to get back to his strengths of driving and kicking to open shooters. He should pass on the 3s unless it is wide open and stick to driving the ball down the oppositions throat. If RJ does that, he will return to the mostly efficient player we saw last year. Ultimately, he will have to improve his 3 point shooting but the main thing he needs to do is get back to being efficient. Even if he is never more than a 17-18 point type scorer, if he can do it efficiently and continue to bring his defense, he will still be a solid starter.