Sitting at 7th in the East, this team is ok but not great. Still has a losing record, but is light years ahead of where it was last year. So much of that can be attributed to coaching.
PG - Elfrid Payton - He is outperforming his contract. His issue is a bit of inconsistency on offense and a bit of a weak outside shot. His assist numbers are down, most likely due to the offense running through Randle. Arguably on court due to the fact that he is the best PG defender that is healthy. While he has years of synergy with Randle, I question whether he “fits” with Barrett, Randle and a healthy Robinson. I am looking for an upgrade, not because I don’t want EP on the team, but I think a championship squad needs a little more than EP brings to the table from the PG position.
SG - RJ Barrett - Barrett is underperforming my high expectations. Only his second season and last year’s abbreviated season ended a bit too soon. He has shown flashes of brilliance, but he has made less FT attempts per game this year, which, again, may be a function of the ball running through Randle more. Not a strong outside shooter, one might say his odds of improving an outside shot are higher than Payton’s. But, in this eFG based NBA, he either needs to get to the stripe more or shoot from behind the arc better. Might be small sample set, but he seems to be holding his own on defense. Good rebound numbers as well. Often looking for an assist as the secondary ball handler.
SF — Reggie Bullock - Also outperforming his contract. A bit of a streaky shooter but the anchor of the Knicks perimeter defense. “Outperforming his contract” on a early bird contract is an amazing thing. Don’t write it off. As the Knicks enter the offseason, his cap hold will be a low $4.2mm which they should account for when looking to add bigger name FAs. These one year low contracts do not take up a lot of space and can be re-signed closer to market value by going over the cap. These contracts are valuable both now as we approach the trade deadline and this coming offseason as we fill in the roster.
PF — Julius Randle — At the beginning of the year, I had been looking to move Randle and his turnover problems for next to nothing. His first 5 or so games made me look silly. With the offense running through him, I see good assist numbers, low turnovers. He still forces some shots in a double teams. He is nearing All Star status but is certainly on the bubble. I think his defense has been a bit underrated this season as he has been locking down his position pretty well and rebounding at a high clip. His rebounds have improved next to Robinson this season. Surprisingly effective from 3. Very reasonable contract at 19mm with his current level of play.
C — Robinson - Breaks my heart that he injured his hand. He was putting in the work. I read a stat that he led the league in box outs. So, to some extent, while his rebounds were down a little, Randle and Barrett benefited from this. That’s team basketball. He wants to show his outside shot a bit more but is anchored (shackled) to the paint. Unclear if the team will add some sets that allow him to roll out to the 3. Would see possible with bruisers Randle and Barrett on the court. Clearly the anchor of the defense. His contract is a gem. He should get paid, eventually, but unfortunately for him, his re-signing should be after the Knicks conclude their free agent hunt next year. That $1.9mm salary gives tremendous cap flexibility.
Rose - Not much to say here. Strong veteran presence for IQ and the other players. Low $7.1mm cap hold. I expect him and Thibs to finish their careers together. Not sure if he cracks the starting lineup, but he provides a strong backup 14/4 in 20 minutes.
IQ — A breathe of fresh air. He was getting a bit choked by the trap before they added Rose. His FT shooting is elite and will punish teams down the stretch. His 3pt shooting is great, I find his shot selection to be a little murky, but always happy when he hits. I am most excited to see him continue to grow.
Burks - Has played quite well off the bench as a scorer. Decent contract value. I would probably accept a trade for draft compensation if the Knicks determined they were no longer in contention this year. Not because he hasn’t been wonderful, but simply because he is replaceable.
Toppin — At the beginning of the season, I thought Toppin heralded Randle’s departure from NY. Thibs is taking it slow with him, but I see him improving in his few minutes. Love his leaping.
Noel - I think this guy gets a bad rap for no reason. I consider him the perfect backup to Robinson and as he steps up, he does his role well at a low price. His 5mm contract is a bargain. I’d accept his cap hold next offseason and lock him up for a few more years. I would not cry that he can’t shoot threes. His value is defense off the bench.
Ntlikina. Not sure if he hasn’t been healthy or if they are using excuses. Seems like his tenure in NY is nearing its end. Was hoping he would get a shot at the starting lineup. I still see a Patrick Beverley in him. I wish the Knicks were the ones to unlock this.
Knox - for me, this is just odd man out of the rotation. I like what I see from Knox. He is young, low priced and seems to be willing to play a role. He may never be Kevin Durant. But I think his upside is much higher than bench player. He needs to earn his minutes from the guys in front of him. That SF position is probably not available to him with his footwork. That leaves him stuck behind both Randle and Toppin right now for PF minutes. He needs to keep working and I think good things will come.
Overall, I don’t see anyone “untouchable” on this roster, but I certainly think that the team is better than any individual player. If they can add offense points per 100 without messing up their D, this would be the way to improve. That can be internally, by Barrett stepping up his efficiency (read - less mid range jumpers) or by upgrading PG and SF without giving up D.
The Knicks are in a great position to do that this offseason while chasing a couple superstars but settling for incremental growth through free agency and the draft.