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Is Robin Lopez the basketball version of DeMarco Murray?
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yellowboy90
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12/18/2015  10:23 AM    LAST EDITED: 12/18/2015  2:33 PM
Lately some fans have been discussing Lopez value and ability but unless he is playing through injury there is really not anything else to point to besides lack of system fit. I think it is a similar situation tha Murray is in. Their skill sets didn't suddenly disappear. They are just being ask to do things out of their comfort zone. I do think that there is hope for Lopez with the Knicks. On Knickerblogger a poster pointed out that Calderon and Grant run PnR at a very high rate. If I remember correctly he said Grant's 34% r rate would rank him ahead of Curry, lillard, and several other elite PnR guards. Calderon is also in the 30% range but his inability to penetrate nd risk adverse nature is hurting Knicks scoring opportunities when he runs the one. Although Grant success rate is also abysmal in PnR opps he doesn't get many opportunities to play with Lopez who does an excellent job creating space. I think Grant and Lopez need time together to get them going. Unlike Jose, Grant can get to the rim his problem is shooting but there has been numerous guards who couldn't shoot well earlier but could still use the PnR to manipulate baskets for themselves and others. Now this might not get sorted out this year but if the Knicks start staggering Lopez minutes to create more time for KP at the 5 it would be a great idea to bring Grant back in for Sasha and then get Lopez one minutes with the second unit. If this happens maybe they can create something to build on going forward for next year.


P.S.

're: Murray and Philly. I get that Kelly has a shotgun based attack but I'm surprised that they haven't implemented the pistol to capitalize on what Murray does best. I think it would be a nice compromise but Kelly is far more knowledgeable than me so maybe he knows better.

AUTOADVERT
VDesai
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12/18/2015  10:32 AM
I think Lopez is a role player and always was and always has been. The 10-11mm range never made any sense for him, but he's still a player that helps long term.
Knixkik
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12/18/2015  11:16 AM
Lopez is a good player, who has really helped the development of KP in my opinion. He doesn't put up stats, and he's not a great fit without a good PG, but he's still effective. Good thing about him is he's only 27, has been pretty healthy, and his 4 year contract isn't horrible for the new cap, so if we want to move him at some point, he should be pretty easy to move.
fishmike
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12/18/2015  11:21 AM
hard working big, excellent rim protector, good character, high BB IQ and has been great with KP. His salary is not prohibitive. He plays an important role. Minutes and usage will vary. Knicks also have a lot of bigs.
"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
newyorker4ever
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12/18/2015  11:31 AM
He's a starter in this league but just hasn't found his way in our offense yet. On the right team with the right players around him he's a legit big man. Don't really know if he'll find his way with us but shouldn't be hard to trade if ho doesn't by the time the deadline rolls around. Should bring us a player and a draft pick to. I think with KP, O'Quinn, Seraphin and Amundson who can all play the center position we would be fine without him.
Bonn1997
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12/18/2015  11:53 AM
He's still an OK role player now but we really need to find a way to get his offense back to normal or trade him for someone who fits this offense before his trade value deteriorates. Or develop a system that doesn't emphasize mid range shots.
Chandler
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12/18/2015  12:03 PM
I might be in the minority but am optimistic on the dude. I think he needs to learn the role a lot better, but i also think he's fully capable

if you want a smart guy to start the triangle from the pinch post, who would you want? He has to be on the upper end of the IQ scale for bigs. he just hasn't done this before and was put into a critical role.

fingers-crossed i'm right

(5)(7)
fishmike
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12/18/2015  12:13 PM
Chandler wrote:I might be in the minority but am optimistic on the dude. I think he needs to learn the role a lot better, but i also think he's fully capable

if you want a smart guy to start the triangle from the pinch post, who would you want? He has to be on the upper end of the IQ scale for bigs. he just hasn't done this before and was put into a critical role.

fingers-crossed i'm right

I love him next to KP. If we ever got a lead guard it would greatly improve

The WORST thing a coach could say about his point guard (Jose) is that he actually wants Robin Lopez to facilitate offense from the high post. Ouch.

"winning is more fun... then fun is fun" -Thibs
SupremeCommander
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12/18/2015  12:34 PM
The Knicks needed a starting center... they got one in FA... you have to overpay in FA... Lopez works for me
DLeethal wrote: Lol Rick needs a safe space
nixluva
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12/18/2015  1:45 PM
RoLo made sense at the time we signed him. You really do have to give the guy some time to adjust to his new role. He's NEVER been this involved in handling the ball on offense. He should be more effective in the post than he's been IMO. I think the more he does this he'll eventually get better. Things become second nature when you spend months and years doing the same thing. Doesn't mean he'll be the greatest Triangle Center, but he can get better than he is now with more work in the same role.

The Thing is that he's been used MOSTLY in the Side Triangle and very little in the Pinch Post which is basically a form of PnR, 2 man action. It's actually mostly dribble hand off but you can work a lot of different things out of the Pinch Post. RoLo is being used as the post threat in the Side Triangle most of the time and that limits his EASY scores on rolls to the basket. One thing he's been learning to do is run the floor and get low post position early before the Triangle is set and where he can get some early scores inside before the defense is set. He can also set early drag screens in the same way but that has mainly been how they use KP up top.

mreinman
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12/18/2015  2:25 PM
We should have gotten Monroe
so here is what phil is thinking ....
Bonn1997
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12/18/2015  2:30 PM    LAST EDITED: 12/18/2015  2:30 PM
mreinman wrote:We should have gotten Monroe

How good do you really think Monroe would look orchestrating the offense from 15 to 20 feet out and shooting mid-range shots? He'd be even worse at that than Rolo - he'd probably be shooting like 38%.

mreinman
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12/18/2015  2:32 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:We should have gotten Monroe

How good do you really think Monroe would look orchestrating the offense from 15 to 20 feet out and shooting mid-range shots? He'd be even worse at that than Rolo - he'd probably be shooting like 38%.

terrible! But we should have signed him instead ... oh ... aside from the issue that he chose not to sign here.

so here is what phil is thinking ....
Swishfm3
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12/18/2015  2:40 PM
This is not the right offensive system for Robin Lopez.

And, IMO, I think we would have had the same problem if we would have signed D.Jordan. These type of players seem to have difficulty playing with their back to the basket.

Like Yellowboy mentioned, more PnR need to be ran in order to fully take advantage of Rolo on the offensive side.

but I do think Monroe, offensively, would have excelled in this type of offensive. I also believe OK4 would have also done well.

nixluva
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12/18/2015  2:45 PM
Swishfm3 wrote:This is not the right offensive system for Robin Lopez.

And, IMO, I think we would have had the same problem if we would have signed D.Jordan. These type of players seem to have difficulty playing with their back to the basket.

Like Yellowboy mentioned, more PnR need to be ran in order to fully take advantage of Rolo on the offensive side.

but I do think Monroe, offensively, would have excelled in this type of offensive. I also believe OK4 would have also done well.

This is all true but I also think RoLo will expand his game in this system. That's something that has already started but it's hard to quantify at this early stage. I think people tend to underestimate how it takes time for some to really get comfortable in a role in this system. Some people take to it like a fish in water based on their game but some will have to make major changes in how they play. RoLo is going thru that but I don't think he's entirely miscast to the point where he will never improve. It's only 26 games and that's really nothing when talking about a player learning how to play a completely different way. Especially when that player isn't a naturally gifted offensively player to begin with.

yellowboy90
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12/18/2015  2:48 PM
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:We should have gotten Monroe

How good do you really think Monroe would look orchestrating the offense from 15 to 20 feet out and shooting mid-range shots? He'd be even worse at that than Rolo - he'd probably be shooting like 38%.

Offensively he would look better than what you and Mreinman are thinking. He already had a track record of passing and orchestrating. Offensively he would work better than Lopez because he at least has a track record as a low block guy and pinch post guy.

Defensively I think it would be a nightmare watching him and Calderon defend the PnR. It would probably be a nightmare offensively when they run a PnR because of Calderon.


Honestly, Lopez could still be a valuable offensive player here if they put him in the right position within the triangle while playing with players that can take advantage of his skillset.

Bonn1997
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12/18/2015  3:05 PM
mreinman wrote:
Bonn1997 wrote:
mreinman wrote:We should have gotten Monroe

How good do you really think Monroe would look orchestrating the offense from 15 to 20 feet out and shooting mid-range shots? He'd be even worse at that than Rolo - he'd probably be shooting like 38%.

terrible! But we should have signed him instead ... oh ... aside from the issue that he chose not to sign here.


LOL
Swishfm3
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12/18/2015  3:06 PM
nixluva wrote:
Swishfm3 wrote:This is not the right offensive system for Robin Lopez.

And, IMO, I think we would have had the same problem if we would have signed D.Jordan. These type of players seem to have difficulty playing with their back to the basket.

Like Yellowboy mentioned, more PnR need to be ran in order to fully take advantage of Rolo on the offensive side.

but I do think Monroe, offensively, would have excelled in this type of offensive. I also believe OK4 would have also done well.

This is all true but I also think RoLo will expand his game in this system.

If he does, we won't see it this season.

This is something he is going to have to work on HEAVILY during the off season.

yellowboy90
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12/18/2015  3:06 PM    LAST EDITED: 12/18/2015  3:18 PM
Swishfm3 wrote:This is not the right offensive system for Robin Lopez.

And, IMO, I think we would have had the same problem if we would have signed D.Jordan. These type of players seem to have difficulty playing with their back to the basket.

Like Yellowboy mentioned, more PnR need to be ran in order to fully take advantage of Rolo on the offensive side.

but I do think Monroe, offensively, would have excelled in this type of offensive. I also believe OK4 would have also done well.

This is a post from KB
http://knickerblogger.net/2015-16-game-thread-knicks-vs-timberwolves/#comment-516910

For example, Grant is running PNR as the ball handler on 32.9% of possessions when he’s playing which is more than players like Jimmy Butler, Isaiah Thomas, Stephen Curry, Jeremy Lin, Ty Lawson, Deron Williams, Lebron James, Manu Ginobili, Paul George, etc. The main issue is that Grant is extremely turnover prone in these situations and turns it over at the 10th highest rate among players that have played at least 12 games and are the ball handler in PNR on at least 20% of their possessions.

Both Jose and Grant are handling the ball in PNR at over 30% frequency of their possessions, but they are posting a ****ty .66 and .65 PPP respectively in those situations.

See I think the problem is not that the knicks need more PnR but I think they need to switch PnR partners. Calderon runs the PnR and looks to shoot a mid rande shot or he'll pass it out to Afflalo or go into posting Melo while missing an open KP. He isn't trying to fit pocket passes into Lopez or penetrate trying to create lob opportunities for Lopez. He should be working the PnR like Delladova. He already has an advantage of players not want to go under the screen because of his shooting skills when he decides to shoot. Like I said he is a very risk adverse guard right now. You do not have to be the fastest or quickest player you just need to know how to use your bball IQ to create positive opportunities.

As for Grant he was running PnRs with Seraphin. Like come on that's not even giving Grant a chance. Grant needs more time with Lopez, a guy who knows how to position himself on screens. Coming out of Notre Dame Grant was regarded as a PnR player and coming from Portland Lopez was known as a PnR big it seems so simple to pair the two.

The knicks have depth with O'Quinn and KP to check Lopez out early and get him minutes with Grant. That assumes that he will eventually pass the great Sasha Vujacic on the depth chart.

Bonn1997
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12/18/2015  3:06 PM
Swishfm3 wrote:This is not the right offensive system for Robin Lopez.

And, IMO, I think we would have had the same problem if we would have signed D.Jordan. These type of players seem to have difficulty playing with their back to the basket.

Like Yellowboy mentioned, more PnR need to be ran in order to fully take advantage of Rolo on the offensive side.

but I do think Monroe, offensively, would have excelled in this type of offensive. I also believe OK4 would have also done well.


Have you seen Monroe's shot charts? He's useless beyond 3 feet from the basket.
Is Robin Lopez the basketball version of DeMarco Murray?

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