I saw this post in the rockets forum. pretty good read with real stats.
So Lin put in a good game tonight, obviously in the absence of Harden, so I went sifting through box scores, based on my detailed statistical analysis (I took a stats course at uni and got a HD thank you) basically;In 9 games without James Harden, Jeremy Lin has held averages of:
21.2PTS, 6.3AST, 3RPG, 4.2 T/O, 1.5 AST/TO
shot 84.8% from the line with 7.3 attempts per game,
shot 48.8% from 3PT land, (42.8% sans Sixers game),
shot 47.5% from the field with 13.3 Attempts.
The team has gone 5-4.
Now I was having a very mild mannered discussion with another poster on the topic of basically whether or not he or she felt that 'linsanity' (hate that word) was more or less a fluke.
Now obviously the league has had plenty of time to scout Lin since his time in New York, where shakey dribbling and jumpitis still plagued his play, but in 8 games without Carmelo Anthony, Lin has held averages of:
25 PTS, 9.5 AST, 3.6RPG, 6.5 T/O, 1.46 AST/TO
shot 70.7% from the line with 8.1 attempts per game,
shot 38.5% from 3PT land
shot 50.7% from the field with 17.8 Attempts.
The team went 7-1.
Thus, leading to a total of 17 games (not sure if this is enough statistical evidence), where Lin without another ball-dominant player in Harden and Anthony, has held averages of:
23PTS, 7.8AST, 3.3RPG, 5.3T/O, 1.46AST/TO
shot 77.8% from the line with 7.7 attempts per game,
shot 44.9% from 3PT land
shot 49.2% from the field with 15.4 Attempts.
Now obviously the NYK numbers are inflated due to Lin being unscouted, D'Antoni's ride em til they die PG offense that enhanced Lin's strengths (PnR play) and masked his weaknesses, but there is still some evidence (however limited) to suggest that Lin can indeed perform at a high level if given the opportunity, as shown by how he's performed without Harden.
Now the caveat however, is that the offence does not run through Lin, and so it shouldn't given we have two superstars in Harden and Howard. Harden is an elite offensive weapon and is a bonafide triple threat, while the post game of Howard has shown glimpses of improvement despite looking rather poor tonight (please run more PnR.)
Proponents of why Lin should start (the more rationale) believe that there is more offensive firepower with Harden and Lin on the court, and while there has been glimpses of the duo running on full cylinders, Lin has struggled immensely at times to find a suitable medium between being passive, aggressive, and reckless. It's the latter quality that lends to McHale preferring the much more consistent Beverley, who's performances can be rock solid compared to Lin who is more volatile.
As such, the main points to drawn on is that Lin needs as much time on the floor without Harden, as shown by however much 17 games of data can actually show. I feel he's perfectly suited to the 6th man role, provided he actually runs the offense with a high volume of PnR and brings the aggression night in and night out. People have different opinions on whether or not the minutes should simply be staggered, but if you give Lin a CLEAR defined role as the 6th man to attack and be aggressive, we'll hopefully see more of what we saw at the start of the season. When he's confident, attacking the rim and decisive, Lin has shown to be an effective PG in this league, despite his weaknesses. When he isn't..... its not pretty.