Ernie, recognize the last 10 years as a bigger sample.
How many times we bring in coaches whom all had success elsewhere who had a formula and we deny them elements of success?
I can't even tell you the exact problem with this team except we have had enough samples with and without Carmelo that there is a chemistry problem.
So how do you fix it? Bring in a coach that advocates a what melo does best? Melo can put up good numbers but that does not elevate the level of play. The only reason you fire MDA at this point of the season is if the team turns him off and and is in free fall. Otherwise you wait until the off season.
Your question is really might be based on short term events. Someone said "If we lose in Milwaukee we are done"....A few weeks ago someone said "lose to the Nets and he is gone" which was the very night Linsanity was born.
How professional teams are run would dictate a certain sequence in most cases. MSG runs this team differently than most. It is my take that Dolan is a hard read. Most owners are vocal and speak to the media from time to time. Not Jimmy. Nor does his GM and president. Donnie had some power to speak. Right now Dolan runs the show. Right now I expect Dolan is in conflict as Donnie and perhaps others told him not to get Melo vs some that told him to get Melo. So where does he turn to?
I wrote that under the current environment MDA should leave because the formula for his teams to succeed is not being executed by the front office. MDA and his GM who hired him (Donnie) were on the same page and it took time to clean house and rid of players and clear cap space. Space for Lebron and friends, Amare, Cp3, Deron and Dwight. The talk was with melo was "Stars don't shake loose often" so he felt he (DOLAN) had to jump on it.
Look at the reaction from fans with Melo coming. The city stopped and hailed him the great one. Melo basked in his well executed exodus from Denver and even last season got a free pass as he scored lots of points, the team made it to the playoffs and he certainly did his part. I have no problem with last season and our early bounce from the playoffs with that roster.
Melo does play hard and I think has tried to fit in best he can. I think he tried to be the point forward, tried moving without the ball and tried to be the iso player when we need it. He can pass when we need to, rebound when we need to and play defense when asked. It just seems he can't do all this and shoot the ball. We are asking him to be a superstar which he kind of put himself in a position to be. When you do what he did to force a trade and the Knicks stepped up and traded players as they did, the expectations are there. He is not that player.
What to do with MDA? Ride out the season. Dolan needs to figure out his management as Grunwalds contract is up. Not sure about the rest of them. Decide on a direction and then decide on your coach. If the team has not already, it should very quietly reach out to Phil Jax and gauge his interest with a very strict deadline. Don't embarrass MDA or anyone else. Its not just MDA, there are other coach's lives and families that are involved also.
Even if Jax is on board you have to look at what is it that makes Melo a problem. Slow decision making when he gets the ball? Can't read the defense? Not look for the open man? Im not sure. But any new coach is going to need to fix him. Jax or any other is going to have to address this. Melo is not Durant/Kobe/Dirk/lebron/Rose kind of ball handling player. They make those around them better because they execute with different tools. Kobe can kill you in many ways. They are smarter with the ball.
Look at the team the way it is? Built for an uptempo style? Pretty much. If so, and you want an uptempo coach, objectively we might have the best one already in place. Defense minded? team is vastly improved this year statistically.
Fans are frustrated. Im sure Melo is, MDA is, Dolan is and those of us smarter than the teams management lurking on the internet are as well.
No easy answer.
To me, Dolan and Melo have a heart to heart. Dolan has to know if Melo is on board and willing to sacrifice some of his game to galvanize his team and if so will have superstar moments in the playoffs. If so willing, I then offer MDA a three year extension and hope he is willing to take it. If not, you better have Phil Jax in your pocket.