What's your deal? Without any personal affront to you, do you consider it awkward that you consistently criticize every move made by the Knicks these days? Seems like you are setting the table for another "I told you so" thread if we don't get any of the big three. Let me shut it down here. The Knicks are in a better position today to reap the benefits of free agency and build a team constructed to Coach D'antoni's coaching style (as opposed to Brigg's watching style) than if they did not have that cap space. Second, your $33M argument is a biased representation of the big money dollars left on the table. While true that each max FA player can guaranty themselves more $$$ by re-signing with their original team, there are several alternatives that could allow them to re-coup those $$$. Furthermore, each of these players left money on the table in their last set of contracts in a virtually identical scenario.
1) Compare Apples to Apples. You are comparing a 5 year contract to a 6 year contract. The math is unfair and biased.
2) Sign and trade. From a pure business standpoint, each of the Cavs, Raps and Heat are better off if they agreed to sign and trade their players in exchange for a Knick, a draft pick, etc... First, that team would receive a trade exception that would allow them to fill the void left by losing their star. For teams like the Cavs and Raptors, that would be valuable because they are capped out either way. Second, they get some form of draft pick compensation. Third, they could get up to $3M cash. From an emotional standpoint, it makes no sense for these teams to do that. From a business standpoint, they are pretty stupid not to. But, they may choose not to. In any event, even with Bird Rights, these particular players may favor a 5 year contract...keep reading below:
3) ETO. Early termination option. 5 year deals are permitted to have Early Termination Options that permit them to terminate their contracts after the third year. 6 year contract have ETOs in the 4th year. So, while the base contract amount in year one that is offered in Cleveland, Toronto or Miami is identical to the one offered in NY, the increases 2.5% differences between a bird contract and a veteran free agent max contract compounded are more neglible. After 3 years, they would be bird eligible in NY and could get 10.5% increases after the third year. So, those final 3 years would be comparable.
4) 35% MAX CONTRACTS::: NOW READ THIS: UNDER THE CURRENT CBA (WHICH DOES EXPIRE DURING THE TERM OF THESE CONTRACTS) 10 YEAR VETERANS ARE ELIGIBLE FOR A MAX CONTRACT OF 35% OF THE CAP AS OPPOSED TO THE 30% AVAILABLE TO 7+ YEAR PLAYERS. PRESUMING THE SAME RULES WILL BE APPLICABLE IN THREE YEARS WHEN THESE PLAYERS HAVE THE RIGHT TO TERMINATE THEIR CONTRACTS, THEY WILL BE ABLE TO RE-SIGN AT A HIGHER BASIS BECAUSE THEY WILL HAVE MAGICALLY REACHED THE 10 YEAR MARK. Note this point well. Assuming roughly similar CBA Rules, this $33M difference you speak of is a pure figment. There is a substantial likelihood that they would lose money based upon shifts in the salary cap and the current depressed economy. I would expect Basketball Related Income to be much higher in 3 years then it is today.
5) GUARANTEED DOLLARS? So, you turn this into a question of guaranteed dollars versus not guaranteed in the 6th year. You should note that all three of the top FAs opted for 5 year contracts the last time around to obtain the benefit of the 7 year max contract as opposed to the 4th year max. The difference was from 25% of the cap to 30% at 7+ years. It is not implausible that they would do it again for the 10 year/35% Max Contract. In both cases it was a 5% bump that guided their decisions and they (unlike Melo) opted for the 5 year contract with the 3rd year ETO. SO PLEASE BE AWARE THAT EACH OF THESE PLAYERS ALREADY TURNED DOWN GUARANTEED DOLLARS IN THE FORM OF A 6TH YEAR IN THEIR FIRST SET OF MAX CONTRACTS. Of the players willing to take a 5 year contract, Melo would be the one most likely to stay in Denver with a Bird Contract. Not these three.
No promises that any of the three come here. But I would love to be in the room when Donnie Walsh pushes two contracts across the table to Bron and Bosh.