Posted by TMS:
is that even at a pisspoor record of 15W - 22L, they're still only 2.5 games out of the #8 seed... i don't want them making any stupid trades at the deadline to try & eek out a playoff berth... i think now is the time to jettison contracts & to use our trade chips to amass picks whereever we can.
the only thing that gives me hope is the fact that Donnie's been focused on 2010 since he got here... i just hope he doesn't veer from the plan for the sake of appeasing Dolan & the short sighted Knick fans that want playoffs at all costs.
I think the decision between tanking and trying to get to the playoffs is a bit more difficult than you indicate.
If the season ended today we are sitting in the #11 position with a very small % chance to jump up into the top 3. Sure it could happen (see the Bulls last year) but probably not. If we make the playoffs as a #8 seed we'd probably be looking at a pick in the #15 - #17 range. So we are potentially looking at a difference between the #11 position and say the #16 position (or 5 draft slots).
Making the playoffs could have some long term residual value. One it will give some of our young guys the playoff experience, 2 it could reinforce the notion that D'Antoni and Walsh have us heading in the right direction. 3 it could make us look a bit better to players considering NY as a destination in 2010. What if we got into the playoffs and stole a 1st round victory and squeezed 2 rounds out of it. That would be very good experience for this team and leave a great taste in everyones mouth over the summer.
Losing only begets more losing. There are no franchise type players sitting in this draft right now - as a matter of opinion it looks very weak right now.
I love the notion of the lottery balls falling our way but that is just like playing the pick-6 and thinking your going to hit it (that's why they call it the lottery).
I'd take the playoff experience and a #16 pick over throwing in the rest of the season and ending up with the #11 pick.
I think we'll probably end up with just as good a player at #16 as we might at #11.
Either way is fine with me - I just don't think the lotter is all we are making it out to be.