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So, I'm Much More Optimistic About the Knicks Than I've Been In Quite a While But...
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Solace
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11/23/2008  1:08 PM
We still have two thorns in the Lebron plan. Right now, assuming we keep Chandler, Gallinari and at least two draft picks from '09 and '10, we're looking at probably at least $26 million. My concern is does that leave us enough to sign LeBron, then resign Lee, Nate, Duhon and possibly Harrington? I think the answer may be no. Feel free to fill in what you feel each player will get and where you feel the cap will be, as perhaps the numbers I've worked out quickly could be off.

My thought process here is if we can get rid of Curry and Jeffries, two players who I don't think are in our long term plans, we should have enough for that entire group, or possibly we could leave out Harrington and potentially add a second star, such as Bosh?

So, I guess my question is, what do you guys think our prospects for getting rid of Curry and Jeffries are? Personally, I'd be willing to give up the '09 first rounder to ensure that we can at least get rid of Curry for a contract that expires before '10. How about you guys?
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VDesai
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11/23/2008  1:12 PM
We don't have an 2010 draft pick.

If we remake Curry and Jeffries in this O (a possibility), we'd free up another 14-15 million or so.

The cap also gets bigger every year, so its a little more space then you think. And then you re-sign Nate, Lee and maybe Duhon to backloaded contracts (more realistic to keep 2 out of the 3). When all is said and done you still have enough room to mathematically bring in a Lebron and Amare.

And then you still have the mid-level exception to offer a cagey vet like Nash, Pierce, Ray Allen etc.
Solace
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11/23/2008  1:14 PM
Right right, I forgot that we lost our 2010 pick. I haven't been a hardcore fan in easily a year and a half, so it totally slipped my mind. Thanks Isiah.

Other than that, I definitely like what you are saying. The possibilities are looking much better than they did six months ago.
Wishing everyone well. I enjoyed posting here for a while, but as I matured I realized this forum isn't for me. We all evolve. Thanks for the memories everyone.
Knicksfan
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11/23/2008  1:19 PM
Did Isiah traumatized us so much that we think we have to include a draft pick just to get rid of a contract?

We are rebuilding on the fly so that means no more trading draft picks. Just play Curry when he is healthy and look to RECEIVE a draft pick for him.
Knicks_Fan
newyorknewyork
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11/23/2008  1:26 PM
We would be able resign Harrington after Lebron & Bosh no matter if we are over the cap since we will have his bird rights. I think anyway.

Maybe we could pursuade Lee & Nate to take one yr deals(if thats possible). This way we would be able to resign them after we sign any free agents.

I think thats how it works anyway. Philly was able to first sign Brand putting them over the cap. Then we were still able to resign Iggy because they had his bird rights.

If we could convince Nate & Lee to take one yr deals then we could sign free agents and then resign our own players afterwards no matter the cap.





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Solace
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11/23/2008  1:26 PM
Posted by Knicksfan:

Did Isiah traumatized us so much that we think we have to include a draft pick just to get rid of a contract?

We are rebuilding on the fly so that means no more trading draft picks. Just play Curry when he is healthy and look to RECEIVE a draft pick for him.

I'm all for that, if we really think we can get rid of Curry and possibly Jeffries without a pick. If that's realistic, great. If it isn't, I'm not opposed to giving up a pick to open up our cap space even further.
Wishing everyone well. I enjoyed posting here for a while, but as I matured I realized this forum isn't for me. We all evolve. Thanks for the memories everyone.
4949
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11/23/2008  1:27 PM
Posted by Solace:

We still have two thorns in the Lebron plan. Right now, assuming we keep Chandler, Gallinari and at least two draft picks from '09 and '10, we're looking at probably at least $26 million. My concern is does that leave us enough to sign LeBron, then resign Lee, Nate, Duhon and possibly Harrington? I think the answer may be no. Feel free to fill in what you feel each player will get and where you feel the cap will be, as perhaps the numbers I've worked out quickly could be off.

My thought process here is if we can get rid of Curry and Jeffries, two players who I don't think are in our long term plans, we should have enough for that entire group, or possibly we could leave out Harrington and potentially add a second star, such as Bosh?

So, I guess my question is, what do you guys think our prospects for getting rid of Curry and Jeffries are? Personally, I'd be willing to give up the '09 first rounder to ensure that we can at least get rid of Curry for a contract that expires before '10. How about you guys?

Don't forget, Marbury, Q, Jerome, Malik and Roberson are coming off the books before sweepstakes can be got. And if need be, Mobley and Thomas can very well be off the books also. All these guys are off the books after next season. That's the beauty of it. And if we can dump Curry, then that will make it all the more better. Lebron is the first priority. But that's not the question. We might even be able to get Bosh to. And then surround them with as much talent as possible with other signings, including Gallinari, Chandler, Lee, Nate and Duhon.

They won't cost much more than what we paid guys like Q, Malik, Jeffries. Probably not even close. The money will be good and Donnie will find a way. It all comes down to who really wants to be here when things make the big turn around and we are positioned for a championship. I can see a few players making sacrifices for big money. Lebron and Bosh can take a lot of money, but after that? No one else is worth signing beyond 10 million at this point. I can see an average salary of about 4 to 5 million (excluding rooks). That's approximately 44 to 55 million right there.

Either way, we will not exceed 100 million again like we did before and besides this time we will have real talent on this team.
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VDesai
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11/23/2008  1:28 PM
Posted by Solace:

Right right, I forgot that we lost our 2010 pick. I haven't been a hardcore fan in easily a year and a half, so it totally slipped my mind. Thanks Isiah.

Other than that, I definitely like what you are saying. The possibilities are looking much better than they did six months ago.

Actually I was just looking at it again and if we only have Danilo and Chandler under contract, that's only about 5 mil. Lets say we re-sign Nate and Lee to contracts that average 6 and 8 mil a year respectively. We can backload it so they count about 5 and 7 against the cap that year. So that's 12. Plus a first rounder from 2009. Maybe 1.2 mil? If I'm doing this correctly thats around 19 mil for 2010.

This year the cap is roughly 59 million and the cap has roughly gone up by 3 mil a year. Lets be conservative and say the cap is 61 mil in 2010 (ie only going up by a mil each year). If I'm right we are talking about roughly 42 million in space! A max salary right now starts around 21 mil. I think with some creative structuring, 2 maxes are definitely possible.

And then after all that we can add an MLE player- lots of really good vets are FA's that year. Nash, Pierce, Ray Allen to name 3. All will be older, but still able to contribute.
izybx
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11/23/2008  1:30 PM
I admit I dont really know much about the salary cap, but arent you allowed to go over the cap to resign your own player? Couldnt we resign Duhon once were all capped put?
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toodarkmark
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11/23/2008  1:34 PM
If the salary cap is 64 million (which is the estimate) and we re-sign Lee and Robinson at let's say 8 mil each (which is high), and our 09 pick makes 2 mil, and Jeffries stays, then that's about 30 million. If, BIG IF, we can get rid of Curry, we have 34 mill to spend. Plus the 6 mil exception.

A max then will be 19.5 mill. If we wanted two maxes, we would need to open up 5 mill more. We would have to either move Jeffries or not re-sign Lee.

Can't teams resign players over the salary cap? So we could keep a Duhon and Harrington if we wanted. I think?
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newyorknewyork
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11/23/2008  1:36 PM
Nate & Lee have qualify offers. If we could convince them to accept the qualifying offers promising them long term contracts after we resign any free agents.

Pursuade them that they could be apart of a playoff contending team and that they will still get paid.

If we were to get them to do that as well as dump Curry. We would have a 12mil salary cap and possibly sign 3 big time free agents before resigning them.
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VDesai
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11/23/2008  1:43 PM
Posted by izybx:

I admit I dont really know much about the salary cap, but arent you allowed to go over the cap to resign your own player? Couldnt we resign Duhon once were all capped put?

No, we'd have to renounce his rights first in order to sign the two max FA's.
VDesai
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11/23/2008  1:45 PM
Posted by toodarkmark:

If the salary cap is 64 million (which is the estimate) and we re-sign Lee and Robinson at let's say 8 mil each (which is high), and our 09 pick makes 2 mil, and Jeffries stays, then that's about 30 million. If, BIG IF, we can get rid of Curry, we have 34 mill to spend. Plus the 6 mil exception.

A max then will be 19.5 mill. If we wanted two maxes, we would need to open up 5 mill more. We would have to either move Jeffries or not re-sign Lee.

Can't teams resign players over the salary cap? So we could keep a Duhon and Harrington if we wanted. I think?

Again we could- but then we're only talking about signing Lebron (or one big ticket FA). I'd rather Amare/Bosh etc. then Duhon and Harrington.

I think its possible to re-sign Duhon if we can get he, Nate and Lee to take a little bit of a hometown discount and backload their deals.
VDesai
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11/23/2008  1:47 PM
The other possibility is if we can't trade Curry and Jeffries beforehand, they could still be packaged together in a sign and trade deal for one of the superstars (and allow us to go over the cap to re-sign some of our own guys). Sign and trades are tricky though.
PhilinLA
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11/23/2008  1:53 PM
Posted by VDesai:

The other possibility is if we can't trade Curry and Jeffries beforehand, they could still be packaged together in a sign and trade deal for one of the superstars (and allow us to go over the cap to re-sign some of our own guys). Sign and trades are tricky though.

Yeah, hopefully they'll be gone before that.
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Knicksfan
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11/23/2008  2:02 PM
Posted by Solace:
Posted by Knicksfan:

Did Isiah traumatized us so much that we think we have to include a draft pick just to get rid of a contract?

We are rebuilding on the fly so that means no more trading draft picks. Just play Curry when he is healthy and look to RECEIVE a draft pick for him.

I'm all for that, if we really think we can get rid of Curry and possibly Jeffries without a pick. If that's realistic, great. If it isn't, I'm not opposed to giving up a pick to open up our cap space even further.

There is a point in a rebuilding process when draft picks are as valuable as cap space, therefore its imperative to not only keep yours but also get some. After the deals we made we don't have to be that desperate to trade them that we give up a first round pick. Even if it doesn't get done this year, we MUST keep our pick. No way I include it in a Curry deal unless we get a young prospect or another 1st pic.
Knicks_Fan
SupremeCommander
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11/23/2008  2:09 PM
So, I don't want to get everyone's hopes up, because I don't necessarily think this will happen. But from what I've been reading, if the Knicks can get WAAAAAAAAAAY under the cap, there's a lot of chatter going on where three guys will come to NY at a discount, as long as all three come. The logic being that if the team is great, and the team is in NYC, there will be a ton of marketing dollars to go around. Not to mentiona ll these Olympic guys love playing with each other.

I mean, imagine if you're selling shoes. And there's a team of LBJ, Wade, and Amare, maybe Nash too at a really steep discount. All three of these guys go to the same shoe company in a package deal. I mean, they could roll out LBJ's signature shoe and the other guys could have their own as well, plus a "NYK Dynasty" shoe (or something to that effect). These guys could form a conglomerate on and off the court. The team could potentially go down as the best ever to boot. So, while I don't think it will happen, I've seen that type of possibility mentioned by a lot of people around the NBA.
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TMS
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11/23/2008  2:46 PM
no way would i give up our draft pick this year to move Curry or Fishlips... we now have a legitimate shot at signing Lebron, that was the main goal... we can look to dump Curry for any old garbage expiring if worse comes to worse at this point... i would also be looking to trade D Lee for another pick in this year's draft as well, cuz there's some guys i'd like to get that will be a better fit for this team's needs going forward.

i think signing Al Harrington to a MLE contract at that point would be a realistic option, unless they wanna use the MLE to re-sign Duhon... i'd be fine w/either option depending on who they pick up in this year's draft... my guess is Duhon or possibly even Nash might be the wiser option, assuming that Gallinari will by then be healthy & contributing in his role... he can probably fill some of Harrington's minutes.

looking at the 2010 roster as it currently stands, we will have the following guys:

Curry $11.2 mil
Fishlips $6.8 mil
Gallo $3.3 mil
Chandler $2.1 mil
'09 pick ~$2 mil

That adds up to $25.4 mil for 5 roster spots... assuming u can dump Curry for an expiring before then & re-sign Nate at say ~$7 mil per, that brings the total down to ~$21 mil, which leaves u with at least $40 mil to fill the rest of the roster spots assuming the cap will be at around $60-65 mil or so at that point... the MLE we will have regardless if we're capped out or not, so we can allocate say about $35 mil in cap to 2 bignames like a Lebron & Amare for example, & still have $5 mil or so left over as well as our MLE to fill the other 7 roster spots.

the trades Donnie made have had such a freakin' HUGE effect on our future flexibility & options to make moves, i can't even understate it... this is why trading Zach was so important, not because he was a crappy player or that we hated him... i'm seriously poppin' major wood over the cap flexibility we just got.

EDIT: disregard what i said about having both the MLE & the cap space... we can use either or, but not both.

[Edited by - TMS on 11-24-2008 1:04 PM]
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TMS
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11/24/2008  1:32 AM
no matter what happens from now til 2010, the Knicks just gotta keep doing this

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TheGame
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11/24/2008  1:48 AM
The only complication right now are Lee and Robinson. How much are they worth and how much can we afford to pay them? I think Nate is probably worth the full MLE, which would put his salary at about $6 mill per. Lee is probably worth about $7.5-$9 mill per. If we could resign both for these numbers, we would be alright. The problem is Lee is probably going to want $10 mil and Nate is going to want $8 mill. We can probably resign Nate, I am not sure we can afford to keep Lee unless he is willing to take $8 or 9 mill. I think we will eventually be able to trade Curry for an expiring contract. Harrington, JJ1, Q, Tim T, and Mobley will all be off the books. So the only other deal is JJ2, who is probably untradeable right now due to his tradekicker which would make him even more overpaid. So, unless JJ2 thrives under MDA system and plays up to his contract, he will still be with the team. We don't have to sign Chandler or DG to extensions until after 2010. So even if we resign Lee and Nate, we should be under the cap by $30 mill, which should be enough for a max player and a slightly below max player. We could trade Lee for draft picks and a prospect and guarantee two max slots.
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So, I'm Much More Optimistic About the Knicks Than I've Been In Quite a While But...

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