Posted by fishmike:
I would say thats a pretty disappointing draft to be honest. I would rather have Lee then Jack and Thompson.
Also 5 is pretty high for Thabeet. I am not sold on taking him that high at all. Maybe somewhere in the 8-12 range, but 1-5 (surely where we will be picking) I would like to draft a player we can possible build around.
A few concerns on Thabeet:
- African players tend to suck in the NBA, there is one Deke, and tons of Bomchjes, Diops, etc
- his rebounding is suspect for a guy his size. To be fair I saw him play twice. His man2man is nothing special and he got push around quite a bit. His help defense was the best I saw in CBB (I dont watch much) since Camby took UMass on that great run
- his skill set and short comings remind me a lot of Dalembert. I actually like Sam, but is that what you want at pick 5?
I've seen all his games this year and you aren't far off. Here is my assessment
Offense: Has a looooong way to go. His hands are two of the worst I have ever seen and he lacks natural bball instincts that take years to develop(he's only played for about 5 years). I will note that he does have a pretty good touch and has shown ridiculous improvement over this season. His free throw shooting went from 50% to almost 70%, including 19 for his last 21. He is developing a hook shot and has shown much better touch around the basket. He's even slowly developing a 12-15 foot jumpshot. He is light years away from being an offensive player but we can all agree this isn't why he is getting drafted.
Rebounds-Beginning of the year I would say he was mediocre. But his improvement here has been so gradual that it's difficult to notice. Over his last 11 games he's up around 10 rebounds per game and is attacking the ball, something he didn't do earlier this year and last year. I think this is the instinct thing taking over. The hands issue crops up here. He loses a lot of rebounds. Some he fumbles and some are just snatched right out of his hands.
Passing-He's a pretty good passer for a big guy. Calhoun is using him more and more in the high post and we are actually getting good results from it. He is able to find cutters but has moments where he becomes turnover prone. This will improve with time.
On the ball Defense-Fish I think you are right and wrong on this one. Quicker guys have no shot against Thabeet. He's able to play 5 feet off and still block shots and tends to be quicker than most big men anyway. You can put him on both PF's and centers and he has absolutely no problem. Usually by half-time guys aren't even taking shots against him or they are pump faking on every shot they take. Seeing it live is hilarious. You can actually see them thinking as they shoot. I do think Fish was right about how Thabeet guards the stronger centers. They tend to be able to body him and get their shots off. Thing about this is that he never gets in foul trouble and never gets frustrated. And even if his man is scoring he has such an impact on the rest of the game that it doesn't seem to matter.
Off the Ball defense I don't remember Hakeem or Deke in college but Thabeet is the best shotblocker I have ever seen. Like I said above, their are literally games where guys can't make layups against Uconn because they are terrified. Their are games where 3 point shooters are hesitating on jumpers because they see him in the paint 10 feet away and aren't sure if he can get out and block it. It's ridiculous.
OverallHe's a project. He has a great attitude and judging by his improvement, a great work ethic. How fast his hands and instincts improve will determine whether he is a career game changer like Deke or a career defensive role player. He's a risk no matter where you draft him. He has the potential to be a game changer and the work ethic to make it happen, but there are never guarantees with players like him. You roll the dice and let the development cycle take it's course.