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BlueSeats
Posts: 27272
Alba Posts: 41
Joined: 11/6/2005
Member: #1024
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I've always been of the opinion a franchise like NY (with money to spend and great FA draw potential) shouldn't steer itself below the cap as an aim unto itself, but to get within vicinity of the cap so they can avail themselves of an opportunity should one arise. Like if Lebron's agent tells Isiah he'd love to come to the Knicks in '08 if money is available. Then you make a move, like Phoenix did in dumping Steph and Penny for Nash and Q, or like the Clippers did for Kobe (while losing little in wins in the process).
That's simply a degree of opportunistic flexibility that we don't have now; flexibility that can turn the fortune of a franchise on a dime.
In addition, as a 'what if'... what if we had a payroll where everyone had a good market value contract, not burdened with 'unmovables' and dead weight? Wouldn't that help our trade options too? There are many teams out there who operate like that and remain quite competitive, like Phoenix, Detroit and San Antonio, to name a few.
I think we learn better and better every day that payrolls full of enormous, bloated and undesirable contracts leads to inflexibility which does NOT make a winning formula in this league.
Below I've compiled a list of teams in descending order of payroll from last season. Biggest spenders up top, lowest beneath. Next to each teams payroll (Based on the rosters for 12/20/04 http://www.dfw.net/~patricia/misc/salaries05.txt) I put their season final winning percentage. After each group of ten teams I looked at how many were over .500, .600, and .700. As you can see, the highest spenders fare no better than the middle or lowest thirds in any on those categories of winning.
Team Payrolls:
Team / Payroll / winning percentage 1. New York Knicks $102,442,544 -- .402 2. Dallas Mavericks $91,553,496 -- .707 3. Portland Trailblazers $83,671,312 -- .329 4. Philadelphia 76ers $71,951,888 -- .524 5. Minnesota Timberwolves $70,060,920 -- .537 6. Memphis Grizzlies $67,010,824 -- .549 7. Orlando Magic $66,445,252 -- .439 8. Indiana Pacers $65,792,068 -- .537 9. Los Angeles Lakers $65,059,100 -- .415 10. Boston Celtics $64,577,356 -- .549
Teams over .500 = 6. Teams over .600 = 1 Teams over .700 - 1
11. Sacramento Kings $61,807,688 -- .610 12. Toronto Raptors $61,703,772 -- .402 13. Houston Rockets $60,222,300 -- .622 14. Miami Heat $58,949,072 -- .720 15. Chicago Bulls $57,276,136 -- .537 16. Milwaukee Bucks $57,137,128 -- .366 17. New Orleans Hornets $56,572,880 -- .220 18. Golden State Warriors $54,943,724 -- .415 19. New Jersey Nets $54,729,028 -- .512 20. Detroit Pistons $54,574,980 -- .659
Teams over .500 = 6. Teams over .600 = 4. Teams over .700 = 1
21. Seattle Sonics $53,821,300 -- .643 22. Washington Wizards $49,547,056 -- .549 23. Cleveland Cavaliers $49,175,272 -- .512 24. San Antonio Spurs $47,149,172 -- .720 25. Los Angeles Clippers $45,170,768 -- .451 26. Denver Nuggets $45,621,812 -- .598 27. Phoenix Suns $44,256,720 -- .756 28. Utah Jazz $43,160,808 -- .317 29. Atlanta Hawks $40,684,848 -- .159 30. Charlotte Bobcats $23,380,124 -- ..220
Teams over .500 = 6. Teams over .600 = 3. Teams over .700 = 2
My best hunch is that somewhere in that middle group, with a payroll in say the 47-58M range is the sweets spot which gives the best balance of talent and roster/financial flexibility. And not surprisingly we see some of the better situated clubs of today, like Phoenix, Denver, San Antonio, Detroit, and Miami.
If spending big and 'over paying' for talent had a great track record in the league there'd be no argument against it, but we see all the big spenders of the past, like NY, Portland and Dallas, rethinking their strategies and finding a better, more flexible way.
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