Knicks vs. Heat prediction and odds for Game 4 (Miami should roll at home)

May 6, 2023; Miami, Florida, USA; Miami Heat forward Jimmy Butler (22) looks to dribble the ball as New York Knicks guard Miles McBride (2) defends during the second half of game three of the 2023 NBA playoffs at Kaseya Center. Mandatory Credit: Rich Storry-USA TODAY Sports
May 6, 2023; Miami, Florida, USA; Miami Heat forward Jimmy Butler (22) looks to dribble the ball as New York Knicks guard Miles McBride (2) defends during the second half of game three of the 2023 NBA playoffs at Kaseya Center. Mandatory Credit: Rich Storry-USA TODAY Sports /
facebooktwitterreddit

Can the Miami Heat advance to the Eastern Conference Finals as an eight seed?

Miami took a 2-1 series lead on the New York Knicks in the second round, dominating from start to finish in a 105-86 win on Saturday afternoon. Now, the Heat could go up 3-1 at home on Monday night.

New York is banged up right now, with Jalen Brunson, Julius Randle and Immanuel Quickley all dealing with ankle injuries. Quickley may be up in the air for Game 4 after going down at the end of Game 3.

When Jimmy Butler plays, the Heat are 2-0 in this series, and they have gotten solid contributions from different role players on each night.

Can New York, one of the best road teams in the NBA this season, bounce back and even the series before it heads back to Madison Square Garden?

Here’s a look at the latest odds for Game 4:

Knicks vs. Heat odds, spread and total

Knicks vs. Heat prediction and pick

I can’t back this Knicks team, especially when one of its better shooters in Quickley may not play.

The Knicks are shooting 27.2 percent from beyond the arc and 42.1 percent from the field in this series. Miami hasn’t been much better (30.9 percent from 3), but the team has made and attempted six more shots from 3.

During the regular season, Miami was brutal at home against the spread, but in the playoffs the team is a perfect 3-0.

Unless New York can start making shots to space the floor for Brunson, Barrett and Randle, the Heat are going to be able to shut them down defensively, like they did in Games 1 and 3.

I’ll lay the points with Butler and the Heat in Game 4.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.